Realized P&L
+$213
Unrealized P&L
+$354
Hit rate
55.4%
Resolved
19,362
Trades
140,206
lifetime
Volume
$2.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
61% 53% +$12,190
Sports
29% 52% -$14,888
Politics
10% 51% +$2,631
Crypto
0% 54% +$272
Tech
0% 100% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 1139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner GamerLegion — +828 $602 91¢ $753 +$151 10-28 22:03
Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune Holger Rune +485 $222 99¢ $480 +$259 10-28 22:07
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +141 $133 93¢ $130 -$2 10-17 06:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +242 $93 50¢ $120 +$27 10-28 17:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +114 $103 88¢ $100 -$3 10-23 07:31
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +129 $89 74¢ $95 +$6 10-26 23:55
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +98 $76 78¢ $76 $0 10-15 21:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +266 $51 24¢ $65 +$14 10-25 22:05
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +38 $35 92¢ $35 +$0 10-26 20:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +29 $28 97¢ $28 $0 10-28 17:13
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-28? No +21 $16 98¢ $20 +$5 10-28 20:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +26 $18 74¢ $19 +$1 10-27 14:04
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +19 $14 94¢ $18 +$3 10-26 18:02
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +18 $16 98¢ $18 +$2 10-25 12:46
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +50 $13 33¢ $16 +$4 10-20 17:19
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +61 $16 26¢ $16 $0 10-26 16:15
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +21 $16 74¢ $15 -$1 10-28 09:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +14 $25 96¢ $13 -$12 10-27 07:08
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +19 $11 68¢ $13 +$2 10-20 07:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +12 $11 98¢ $12 +$1 10-21 14:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +190 $8 3¢ $5 -$3 10-26 13:52
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +59 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 10-26 19:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +6 $3 50¢ $3 $0 10-27 15:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +6 $2 36¢ $2 $0 10-23 07:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +4 $2 52¢ $2 $0 10-23 17:48
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +26 $7 7¢ $2 -$5 10-15 21:11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 -$4 90¢ $1 +$6 10-21 22:40
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +131 $99 1¢ $1 -$97 10-27 16:09
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2 -$1 26¢ $1 +$2 10-27 12:50
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-24 15:56