Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
27.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
14
lifetime
Volume
$18
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
5 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 33% +$2
Tech
27% — —
Other
24% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4 $3 66¢ $3 $0 10-05 04:27
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $2 18¢ $2 $0 10-26 23:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2 $2 68¢ $2 $0 10-07 14:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 10-05 04:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +3 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 10-05 04:28