Well-Documented-Blog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

269

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 07-10 11:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

37% 100% +$0

Other

31% 0% $-26

Tech

28% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	22	$2.2K	1,129	1,129	+0	open	—	04-16 07:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	27	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-27 11:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-16 06:31
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-27 09:52
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	9	$1.1K	980	980	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 10:24
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-09 05:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$980	500	500	+0	open	—	04-02 08:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	8	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	04-02 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$386	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 06:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$338	200	200	+0	open	—	04-06 06:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	10	$250	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-18 14:18
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	7	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	03-30 05:52
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$207	105	105	+0	open	—	05-07 11:31
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	14	$204	293	293	+0	GenOne	$-16	05-09 12:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 07:47
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	10	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 11:58
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	2	$126	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 13:58
will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$119	129	129	+0	open	—	07-07 09:51
will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	1	$82	357	0	+357	open	—	07-06 21:36
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	3	$77	171	171	+0	open	—	03-13 16:18
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-25 10:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	11	$72	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 11:43
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	6	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	07-10 11:42
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	2	$71	91	91	+0	open	—	03-28 13:58
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	05-27 03:40
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	03-27 11:47
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-25 10:22
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 12:01
will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-24 14:55
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	03-17 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 11:58:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x9be3a9…
07-10 11:58:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xab18c8…
07-10 11:53:07	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	No	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0xbfd499…
07-10 11:52:44	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xb41847…
07-10 11:51:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x041a8c…
07-10 11:51:34	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x89b93b…
07-10 11:49:31	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x74a79c…
07-10 11:49:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xc8ea26…
07-10 11:48:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x83d650…
07-10 11:48:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd1cf2c…
07-10 11:42:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x197a1e…
07-10 11:41:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xb3e23a…
07-10 10:16:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3badf3…
07-10 09:35:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x0cd74d…
07-10 09:28:13	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x15f08f…
07-10 09:27:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x6d1322…
07-10 09:21:13	will the announcers say cleat during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543757	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x12928a…
07-10 09:20:40	will the announcers say cleat during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543757	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x83cfbb…
07-07 09:51:04	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	129	48¢	$61	0xa54975…
07-06 21:36:25	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	357	23¢	$82	0xc9ef36…
07-02 12:27:05	will bitcoin reach 75000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	129	45¢	$58	0xc0427e…
06-30 12:21:58	will lab reach 20 before 2027	No	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xc11156…
06-29 10:24:28	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x1f6954…
06-29 10:15:49	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x598db2…
06-29 10:05:34	will lab reach 20 before 2027	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0a8713…
06-29 09:57:59	will lab reach 20 before 2027	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9834a9…
06-29 09:50:10	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x48c3cd…
06-29 09:46:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xbdd4a0…
06-29 09:18:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x2d9e04…
06-29 09:17:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf46598…
06-29 09:15:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xfef5a5…
06-29 09:15:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd3bd2c…
06-29 08:52:53	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x433330…
06-29 08:52:22	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xb6533b…
06-29 08:50:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x404f29…
06-29 08:49:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x73dc11…
06-29 08:49:31	will cap reach 0pt20 before 2027	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x407336…
06-29 08:48:14	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xea0aef…
06-29 08:48:01	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x572ecf…
06-29 08:48:01	will lab dip to 8 before 2027	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1ea15f…
06-29 08:47:13	will cap reach 0pt15 before 2027	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x973a92…
06-19 08:47:47	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x3cffe8…
06-19 08:47:26	will the announcers say what a save during the spain vs saudi arabia fifa world cup match 20260618180505071	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x016446…
06-13 04:02:46	john stones 20260609175104683	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa5e361…
06-09 15:06:55	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	2¢	$13	0x6912ea…
06-06 09:44:45	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0x4b831c…
06-04 17:42:40	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0x5d06a7…
06-04 11:58:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x0799ba…
06-04 11:58:24	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xb4e016…
06-01 17:26:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7aa53b…
06-01 16:09:39	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x7e8373…
06-01 16:08:08	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$22	0x40bcb2…
06-01 16:02:38	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xf0973d…
06-01 15:59:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x9e2a02…
06-01 15:56:06	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$21	0x7bc6ed…
05-31 08:40:23	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xfd466d…
05-31 08:20:07	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2936ff…
05-31 08:19:41	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4ea068…
05-31 08:15:36	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x2c932d…
05-31 08:09:12	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x777763…
05-31 08:09:00	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x9721f8…
05-31 07:59:59	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6d3edb…
05-31 07:56:10	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc26a38…
05-31 07:33:15	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x30dc61…
05-31 07:32:54	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x061eaf…
05-31 07:24:58	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4a733b…
05-31 07:17:44	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x3a6d72…
05-31 07:00:29	Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xd0d6fd…
05-31 06:59:54	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0x9f7975…
05-31 06:59:39	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xd1da72…
05-31 06:57:20	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xef24c1…
05-31 06:56:51	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xfd87c5…
05-27 03:40:57	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xd540b7…
05-27 03:37:32	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x1f39b7…
05-19 04:47:11	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x269c14…
05-19 04:46:40	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x242849…
05-18 14:18:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$90	0xac3e50…
05-18 14:17:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0xe1e247…
05-18 14:15:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe7d3a9…
05-09 13:13:51	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0x6be1d4…
05-09 13:12:01	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x7d0f1e…
05-09 12:32:09	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	43	40¢	$17	0xc93fe2…
05-09 12:25:10	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x0edf61…
05-09 12:07:04	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xb88108…
05-09 12:06:58	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0xc55519…
05-09 12:06:55	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xcb32fd…
05-09 12:06:55	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0ddf9c…
05-09 12:06:51	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x60e4ae…
05-09 12:06:51	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4f697f…
05-09 12:06:51	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x19b4dd…
05-09 12:06:50	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x5c8bb4…
05-09 12:06:50	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x55d455…
05-09 12:06:48	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd93e38…
05-09 12:06:46	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	SELL	178	31¢	$55	0x2876cc…
05-09 12:02:18	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Ursa	BUY	250	36¢	$90	0x0b46ab…
05-07 11:31:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$27	0xabc9e0…
05-07 11:31:38	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x1efa4c…
05-07 11:07:11	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$104	0x98037b…
05-07 07:05:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	573	3¢	$15	0x584bf5…
05-07 07:00:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xa18283…