Elastic-Tanktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

404

lifetime

Volume

$3.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-29 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% — —

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Sports

17% 0% $-18

Other

12% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	+35	$20	57¢	$20	$-0	05-31 22:27
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	+26	$10	50¢	$13	+$3	05-31 06:38
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$10	82¢	$11	+$1	05-31 13:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	38¢	$8	$-2	06-01 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	23	$525	6,915	0	+6,915	open	—	02-03 00:52
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	2	$356	346	346	+0	open	—	01-31 18:06
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	3	$212	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-31 20:13
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	3	$203	1,064	4	+1,061	open	—	06-14 08:52
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$199	104	104	+0	open	—	01-31 00:36
ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	2	$150	1,283	0	+1,283	open	—	06-29 08:19
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	06-18 22:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-31 22:20
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	2	$80	130	0	+130	open	—	01-05 20:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 10	2	$62	47	47	+0	open	—	02-10 17:05
ethereum above 2700 on february 1	2	$60	1,637	0	+1,637	open	—	01-31 22:59
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	02-03 00:50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	1	$59	64	0	+64	open	—	01-30 23:33
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$50	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	01-31 22:26
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$50	5,358	0	+5,358	open	—	01-31 22:49
will silver si hit high 180 by end of february 127 147	1	$50	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	01-31 22:18
bitcoin above 66k on february 13	3	$50	116	0	+116	open	—	02-12 23:55
the masters 2026 hole in one	1	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	04-04 12:30
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$43	30	30	+0	open	—	02-09 17:54
btc updown 15m 1770937200	3	$41	125	0	+125	open	—	02-12 23:14
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	1	$40	84	0	+84	open	—	06-28 23:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$40	83	83	+0	open	—	06-01 21:38
bitcoin above 92k on january 7	5	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	01-07 09:24
bitcoin above 90k on january 5	3	$39	49	0	+49	open	—	01-04 23:18
bitcoin up or down on february 10	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	02-10 17:04
will people be said 100 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week february 22	1	$31	144	0	+144	open	—	02-15 01:12
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$31	212	212	+0	open	—	02-19 22:16
btc updown 15m 1770743700	2	$30	143	142	+1	open	—	02-10 17:25
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	1	$30	97	0	+97	open	—	05-31 22:19
trump approval up or down this week 119	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	04-04 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:19:07	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	317	16¢	$50	0x2df1a2…
06-29 00:01:02	zuffa trini ancaj 2026 06 27	Ancajas	BUY	73	28¢	$20	0x10c040…
06-28 23:47:13	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	966	10¢	$100	0xeb21f7…
06-28 23:46:28	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Cody Garbrandt	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x1ac9dd…
06-28 23:45:46	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Nikita Krylov	BUY	55	37¢	$20	0x56a2c6…
06-28 23:44:47	ufc ode cod2 2026 07 11	Ode' Osbourne	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x783844…
06-28 23:43:17	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	84	48¢	$40	0xf4c14e…
06-18 22:47:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xf96034…
06-14 08:52:46	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x28f96f…
06-04 13:11:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x00935f…
06-04 13:10:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xe9b095…
06-01 21:38:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	83	18¢	$15	0x6a82ec…
06-01 15:46:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2f49eb…
05-31 22:27:02	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x4d616f…
05-31 22:26:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9ac1d1…
05-31 22:20:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe663cc…
05-31 22:20:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x1df0d3…
05-31 22:19:49	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x055faa…
05-31 18:33:14	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0c6b4c…
05-31 13:58:46	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xed1a2a…
05-31 13:49:47	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?	No	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xe200ad…
05-31 13:42:37	Will Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x8b7517…
05-31 13:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf39a61…
05-31 13:38:18	Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4900+ by June 30?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3eac5b…
05-31 13:36:22	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x6903bf…
05-31 06:38:21	Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2	Pacquiao	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe8ed67…
05-31 06:24:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1cfa60…
05-02 23:37:08	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x36f893…
04-30 13:56:40	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xd0b3d5…
04-26 20:14:20	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x416da9…
04-26 20:13:26	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3e3886…
04-22 22:05:26	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x840938…
04-13 17:39:53	btc updown 5m 1776101700	Up	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x196b3e…
04-04 12:30:13	the masters 2026 hole in one	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x23c9d0…
04-04 12:25:21	trump approval up or down this week 119	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0xf415c6…
04-04 12:24:19	over 400 us flights cancelled on april 5	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xa648a7…
04-01 18:52:57	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe564c3…
03-29 22:35:26	ufc man13 tom15 2026 04 04	Manolo Zecchini	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x312d57…
03-29 21:40:02	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xf14deb…
03-14 22:57:31	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x22cb84…
03-14 22:56:31	will kanye tweet again by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xed81aa…
03-09 00:28:13	will trump say maga or make america great again this week march 15	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xda6ebb…
03-07 21:26:47	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5bd820…
03-07 08:51:25	trump approval up or down this week 596	Down	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x406141…
03-02 00:45:57	will iran strike nine or more countries in march	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1c1192…
03-02 00:44:31	trump approval up or down this week 596	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9b4ffd…
02-23 21:48:52	btc updown 5m 1771883100	Down	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x03f85d…
02-23 21:48:26	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	SELL	42	4¢	$1	0xac1fb8…
02-22 22:36:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf9c0ab…
02-22 22:31:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x86828f…
02-22 15:11:36	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcffd75…
02-22 15:08:02	btc updown 5m 1771772700	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x615b09…
02-22 15:07:50	btc updown 5m 1771772700	Up	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xef8d4c…
02-22 15:07:18	btc updown 5m 1771772700	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc44064…
02-22 15:06:58	btc updown 5m 1771772700	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9b8f32…
02-22 14:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x71eb51…
02-22 14:59:54	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x6001c8…
02-22 14:59:52	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xaf7562…
02-22 14:59:52	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x90ed53…
02-22 14:59:52	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x647175…
02-22 14:58:46	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x5774bb…
02-22 14:57:36	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xe04ee7…
02-22 14:57:20	btc updown 5m 1771772100	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8899ce…
02-20 22:14:08	btc updown 5m 1771625400	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x080958…
02-20 22:13:48	btc updown 5m 1771625400	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7dfcb2…
02-20 20:25:48	trump approval up or down this week 481	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5b1426…
02-20 15:05:54	btc updown 5m 1771599900	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1e9643…
02-19 22:18:38	Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x061a36…
02-19 22:16:26	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	212	5¢	$11	0x425251…
02-19 22:14:18	btc updown 5m 1771539000	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x82d8f9…
02-19 22:09:46	will solana reach 140 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x070fa1…
02-18 18:34:06	btc updown 5m 1771439400	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeaa88c…
02-16 22:13:39	btc updown 5m 1771279800	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc2f839…
02-16 22:09:33	btc updown 5m 1771279500	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x29a20b…
02-16 22:08:53	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x74d3b6…
02-15 11:54:29	btc updown 5m 1771156200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa9e45c…
02-15 11:49:03	btc updown 5m 1771155900	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x171ade…
02-15 11:48:25	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 180 199	Yes	SELL	125	3¢	$3	0xbf1dfb…
02-15 01:12:07	will people be said 100 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week february 22	No	BUY	144	22¢	$31	0x56b085…
02-14 20:14:49	bitcoin above 68k on february 15	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xb66623…
02-14 20:11:45	btc updown 5m 1771099800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5f06b9…
02-14 05:37:45	bitcoin above 72k on february 14	Yes	BUY	334	1¢	$3	0x619d7c…
02-14 05:37:33	bitcoin above 68k on february 14	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbe2e0f…
02-14 05:37:29	bitcoin above 66k on february 14	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xfce563…
02-14 05:32:59	btc updown 5m 1771047000	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8b2a14…
02-14 05:32:39	btc updown 5m 1771047000	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xbe58c2…
02-14 05:32:07	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x30ee7e…
02-14 05:30:47	bitcoin up or down on february 14	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3c1b5b…
02-14 05:29:43	btc updown 5m 1771046700	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x51444b…
02-14 05:29:03	btc updown 5m 1771046700	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6dbbe1…
02-14 05:24:19	btc updown 5m 1771046400	Down	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x36f30e…
02-13 13:53:23	btc updown 5m 1770990600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3db45a…
02-13 13:46:51	btc updown 5m 1770990300	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xec47f8…
02-13 13:46:01	btc updown 5m 1770990300	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5c7a6c…
02-13 13:45:35	btc updown 5m 1770990300	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xdd1823…
02-13 13:44:25	btc updown 5m 1770990000	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xea64bc…
02-13 13:43:53	bitcoin up or down on february 13	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x64d16a…
02-13 00:06:23	btc updown 5m 1770941100	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xfd118b…
02-12 23:55:11	bitcoin above 66k on february 13	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x06454e…
02-12 23:29:27	bitcoin above 66k on february 13	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6c2c3a…