Thankful-Chatter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

53 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$40

$24.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$455

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 11-08 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% -$5

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No		-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	11-08 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 14	1	$2.0K	2,022	0	+2,022	No	+$4	07-15 03:22
xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	1	$2.0K	2,019	0	+2,019	No	+$4	07-14 08:36
will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 13	1	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	No	+$4	07-14 02:59
xrp above 1pt2 on july 13 2026	1	$2.0K	2,012	0	+2,012	No	+$4	07-13 08:16
will xrp dip to 1 july 6 12 2026	1	$2.0K	2,007	0	+2,007	No	+$4	07-13 03:31
xrp above 1pt8 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	No	+$2	03-11 01:41
solana above 70 on march 10	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	Yes	+$2	03-10 01:31
ethereum above 1600 on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	Yes	+$2	03-09 02:52
bitcoin above 60k on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	Yes	+$2	03-08 01:20
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	No	+$2	03-07 01:11
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	No	+$2	03-06 01:17
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	No	+$2	03-05 02:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	No	+$3	03-04 01:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	No	+$3	03-03 02:17
will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	No	+$2	03-02 02:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,057	0	+1,057	No	+$2	03-01 06:19
xrp above 1pt1 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,055	0	+1,055	Yes	+$2	02-28 05:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,053	0	+1,053	No	+$3	02-27 09:16
bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	08-07 06:10
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	Yes	+$0	07-30 07:35
bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-12 05:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	09-08 08:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 26?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-25 04:10
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-02 09:14
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-10 13:46
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-21 06:05
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-23 00:28
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-13 07:21
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-21 06:37
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	11-08 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 09:30:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6a322b…
11-08 09:29:03	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0xd4aec0…
09-08 08:56:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa4bf03…
08-12 05:25:48	bitcoin above 58k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x242b07…
08-07 06:10:16	bitcoin above 60k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb2a8db…
07-30 07:35:39	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5c5f95…
07-25 04:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3b1bd0…
07-15 03:22:04	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 14	No	BUY	2,022	100¢	$2,018	0x2f4793…
07-14 08:36:53	xrp above 1pt2 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	2,019	100¢	$2,015	0xaebfb4…
07-14 02:59:38	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 13	No	BUY	2,015	100¢	$2,011	0xea933e…
07-13 08:16:50	xrp above 1pt2 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	2,012	100¢	$2,008	0x057801…
07-13 03:31:26	will xrp dip to 1 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	2,007	100¢	$2,003	0x542b92…
07-12 09:47:17	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	Yes	BUY	2,028	0¢	$4	0xd9faff…
07-12 02:54:56	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 11	Yes	BUY	2,033	0¢	$4	0x5df6b9…
07-12 02:54:23	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 11	Yes	BUY	1,999	0¢	$4	0x735303…
07-11 02:43:04	will ethereum reach 1850 on july 10	Yes	BUY	2,029	0¢	$4	0x8fa87a…
07-10 02:12:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 9	Yes	BUY	2,020	0¢	$4	0x78c542…
07-09 09:19:37	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2,015	0¢	$4	0xd90301…
07-09 02:12:52	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 8	Yes	BUY	2,076	0¢	$4	0x5d2a19…
07-08 07:54:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2,072	0¢	$4	0xb0a165…
07-06 08:14:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2,057	0¢	$4	0xedbd5c…
07-05 04:02:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2,052	0¢	$4	0x321b09…
07-02 09:14:22	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x339fa8…
06-26 07:08:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2eb049…
06-21 06:05:53	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc21dc7…
05-21 06:37:46	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x23c6cb…
05-13 07:21:33	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87a1c5…
05-05 08:45:16	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0xb1ffde…
04-23 00:28:26	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa034f3…
04-10 13:46:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x78bfa1…
03-21 02:34:49	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	Yes	BUY	1,071	0¢	$2	0xf2958e…
03-11 01:41:45	xrp above 1pt8 on march 11	No	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,078	0x2f7e0d…
03-10 01:31:41	solana above 70 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,076	0xd1c4fa…
03-09 02:52:05	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0xf6bfb7…
03-08 01:20:07	bitcoin above 60k on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0x8793b0…
03-07 01:11:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x88ae9d…
03-06 01:17:11	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,068	0x8cbd21…
03-05 02:32:15	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0x59ee80…
03-04 01:28:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,062	0x837558…
03-03 02:17:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,059	0x7da386…
03-02 02:12:21	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 2	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,057	0x76cd30…
03-01 06:19:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 1	No	BUY	1,057	100¢	$1,055	0xb05b78…
02-28 05:16:43	xrp above 1pt1 on february 28	Yes	BUY	1,055	100¢	$1,053	0x1ffab5…
02-27 09:16:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	No	BUY	1,053	100¢	$1,050	0x1a40a7…
02-18 02:29:13	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,077	0¢	$4	0x16f5cf…
02-13 01:53:37	ethereum above 2200 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$3	0x06154b…
02-07 02:27:21	will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt10 on february 7	Yes	BUY	1,088	0¢	$4	0xb25f13…
02-02 07:41:26	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8724b7…
01-30 10:53:22	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa69f8e…
01-30 01:46:32	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$1	0xefedf1…
01-29 08:03:48	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed1aa5…
01-26 10:16:17	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x024a60…
01-23 02:05:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,030	0¢	$1	0xea1f55…