Realized P&L (30d)
+$940
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved (30d)
29
Trades (30d)
154
1,868 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$12.3K
$319.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$171
Open exposure
$2.70K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 11:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Politics
56% 65% -$3,954
Other
38% 75% +$1,223
Crypto
4% 67% +$1,076
Sports
1% 38% -$643
Tech
1% 67% -$287
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -626 -$514 84¢ $-523 -$9 05-29 16:02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -500 -$336 84¢ $-420 -$85 05-29 16:52
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +549 $344 70¢ $387 +$43 10-04 04:33
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +400 $276 74¢ $294 +$17 10-17 16:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +250 $185 80¢ $199 +$14 09-19 23:13
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +230 $148 72¢ $167 +$18 09-17 18:50
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $172 74¢ $149 -$23 09-20 13:47
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $120 74¢ $147 +$27 08-23 05:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +200 $126 72¢ $143 +$17 10-19 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $98 70¢ $141 +$43 09-13 14:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -146 -$103 86¢ $-126 -$23 06-03 07:06
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $2 74¢ $0 -$2 10-14 16:22