Defiant-Mineshaft — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved (30d)

1,014

Trades (30d)

1,069

5,855 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$18.7K

$182.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-29 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

99% 89% +$113

Politics

0% 35% -$9

Sports

0% 78% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	21	$3.1K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$75	06-26 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	12	$1.8K	906	906	+0	No	+$21	07-11 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	13	$1.5K	820	820	+0	No	+$48	06-27 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	11	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$20	06-28 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	20	$1.3K	740	740	+0	No	+$187	06-27 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?	11	$1.2K	590	590	+0	No	+$2	06-26 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	25	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$29	06-26 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3?	15	$1.0K	514	514	+0	No	+$1	08-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	5	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$20	07-05 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 16?	15	$999	521	521	+0	No	+$42	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?	3	$984	495	495	+0	No	+$5	06-27 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?	16	$943	480	480	+0	No	+$16	05-17 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	55	$912	909	787	+121	No	+$47	06-09 05:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 11?	3	$844	422	422	+0	No	+$0	08-11 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?	4	$833	424	424	+0	No	+$14	07-11 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?	7	$810	416	416	+0	No	+$20	07-05 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 6?	10	$810	411	411	+0	No	+$11	07-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 15?	2	$783	392	392	+0	No	+$1	07-15 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	33	$759	582	512	+71	Yes	-$1	06-09 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?	8	$742	450	300	+150	No	+$6	07-14 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?	6	$730	368	368	+0	No	+$4	05-16 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 8?	7	$718	365	365	+0	No	+$12	07-08 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?	8	$706	451	271	+180	No	+$16	06-28 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	35	$699	656	569	+87	No	-$238	06-10 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?	2	$695	350	350	+0	No	+$5	07-12 04:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	6	$677	340	340	+0	No	+$3	06-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 14?	2	$623	312	312	+0	No	+$1	07-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?	14	$615	323	323	+0	No	+$30	07-08 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	9	$603	636	0	+636	No	+$33	06-11 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 6?	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	07-06 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:06:22	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7e383d…
10-29 13:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6cd623…
10-29 12:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8671f9…
10-29 12:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x74b247…
10-29 12:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf9cf46…
10-29 11:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5f8a20…
10-29 11:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x96eda3…
10-29 11:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc16949…
10-29 10:53:47	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd3d6c…
10-29 10:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf8b3b7…
10-29 10:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x838f4c…
10-29 08:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2df30a…
10-29 07:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3b9e86…
10-29 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x52c93e…
10-29 06:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xece7ba…
10-29 06:53:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x81a198…
10-29 06:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xba840a…
10-29 06:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfa9c2b…
10-29 05:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xffba6a…
10-29 05:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x736a17…
10-29 05:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x67be7f…
10-29 04:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4663f1…
10-29 04:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5bb887…
10-29 04:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3ab2bf…
10-29 04:04:26	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2244eb…
10-29 04:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd35cb1…
10-29 03:55:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9d90ff…
10-29 03:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3206b9…
10-29 03:05:47	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x39a4d5…
10-29 02:25:31	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc35233…
10-29 01:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd62560…
10-29 01:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe53371…
10-29 01:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x683df2…
10-29 01:23:41	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 3°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80580b…
10-29 01:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aeed4…
10-29 00:34:26	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9d7ed1…
10-28 23:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf7d769…
10-28 23:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x84f73b…
10-28 23:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x380e8e…
10-28 23:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xddc239…
10-28 22:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa83ec0…
10-28 22:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x45cd2d…
10-28 21:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7032da…
10-28 21:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C or below on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x91b514…
10-28 21:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x70e1a6…
10-28 21:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a5b09…
10-28 19:58:41	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcfafb6…
10-28 19:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xca4f62…
10-28 19:53:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x925213…
10-28 18:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x623346…
10-28 18:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x932f9f…
10-28 18:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x18d659…
10-28 18:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8594b…
10-28 17:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc57fd2…
10-28 17:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1f31d3…
10-28 17:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2487cd…
10-28 17:05:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd62a74…
10-28 16:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xed53aa…
10-28 16:36:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf06743…
10-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x93b0e3…
10-28 16:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63c85f…
10-28 15:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x59917f…
10-28 15:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x670edf…
10-28 15:34:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcfe464…
10-28 15:34:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x85a56a…
10-28 15:34:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61e195…
10-28 15:34:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x174339…
10-28 14:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa656a3…
10-28 14:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90d47f…
10-28 14:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x39dc55…
10-28 13:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x344f0d…
10-28 13:55:49	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe4587c…
10-28 13:34:38	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33df57…
10-28 13:24:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3cd4bf…
10-28 13:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x374146…
10-28 12:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ba1e9…
10-28 12:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x079259…
10-28 11:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5f9cb9…
10-28 11:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa4e5a6…
10-28 10:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x33cc02…
10-28 10:24:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x11bd18…
10-28 10:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe58e1e…
10-28 09:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1a33a…
10-28 09:53:38	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12a88e…
10-28 09:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8dd021…
10-28 09:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0cbe1…
10-28 08:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7db31a…
10-28 08:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcdf430…
10-28 07:55:29	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9f5309…
10-28 07:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfad95b…
10-28 06:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0e6814…
10-28 05:56:11	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3133da…
10-28 05:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaaae04…
10-28 05:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x469692…
10-28 05:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf41e2c…
10-28 05:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa0036a…
10-28 04:50:44	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b7b92…
10-28 04:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69b642…
10-28 04:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26d91a…
10-28 04:24:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x81704f…