Defiant-Mineshaft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

2,339

Trades

5,948

lifetime

Volume

$185.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-30 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

99% 89% +$116

Politics

0% 35% -$9

Sports

0% 78% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?	21	$3.1K	1,608	1,608	+0	No	+$75	06-26 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	12	$1.8K	906	906	+0	No	+$21	07-11 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	13	$1.5K	820	820	+0	No	+$48	06-27 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 28?	11	$1.4K	688	688	+0	No	+$20	06-28 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 27?	20	$1.3K	740	740	+0	No	+$187	06-27 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 26?	11	$1.2K	590	590	+0	No	+$2	06-26 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?	25	$1.1K	595	595	+0	No	+$29	06-26 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 3?	15	$1.0K	514	514	+0	No	+$1	08-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?	5	$1.0K	523	523	+0	No	+$20	07-05 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 16?	15	$999	521	521	+0	No	+$42	05-16 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 27?	3	$984	495	495	+0	No	+$5	06-27 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 17?	16	$943	480	480	+0	No	+$16	05-17 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 9?	55	$912	909	787	+121	No	+$47	06-09 05:07
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 11?	3	$844	422	422	+0	No	+$0	08-11 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?	4	$833	424	424	+0	No	+$14	07-11 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?	7	$810	416	416	+0	No	+$20	07-05 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 6?	10	$810	411	411	+0	No	+$11	07-06 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 15?	2	$783	392	392	+0	No	+$1	07-15 02:43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?	33	$759	582	512	+71	Yes	-$1	06-09 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 14?	8	$742	450	300	+150	No	+$6	07-14 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 16?	6	$730	368	368	+0	No	+$4	05-16 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 8?	7	$718	365	365	+0	No	+$12	07-08 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 28?	8	$706	451	271	+180	No	+$16	06-28 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?	35	$699	656	569	+87	No	-$238	06-10 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?	2	$695	350	350	+0	No	+$5	07-12 04:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?	6	$677	340	340	+0	No	+$3	06-28 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 14?	2	$623	312	312	+0	No	+$1	07-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 8?	14	$615	323	323	+0	No	+$30	07-08 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?	9	$603	636	0	+636	No	+$33	06-11 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 6?	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	07-06 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:31:39	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc09f5…
10-30 19:31:39	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4e5a05…
10-30 19:06:42	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x124537…
10-30 19:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb211af…
10-30 19:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f881c…
10-30 18:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x71059c…
10-30 18:35:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x011c18…
10-30 18:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on October 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x11da22…
10-30 18:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaec7e1…
10-30 17:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xfc64fb…
10-30 17:35:49	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x98ee98…
10-30 17:35:48	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9897fd…
10-30 17:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd87f41…
10-30 17:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xaaa8c4…
10-30 17:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x42188e…
10-30 17:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x307fb0…
10-30 17:06:13	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x29d75b…
10-30 17:06:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7e3384…
10-30 17:06:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1cc01f…
10-30 17:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4c37f2…
10-30 16:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc9d226…
10-30 16:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x40b5c1…
10-30 16:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc0b6ca…
10-30 16:36:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6cfbe0…
10-30 15:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x985043…
10-30 15:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 67°F or below on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1ce7af…
10-30 15:38:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x13130b…
10-30 15:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbcd894…
10-30 15:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x834050…
10-30 15:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x48de54…
10-30 15:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8e801e…
10-30 15:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0795a7…
10-30 14:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x33b233…
10-30 14:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xbeb79e…
10-30 13:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa95d5f…
10-30 13:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x201334…
10-30 12:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x48adf7…
10-30 11:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x98705c…
10-30 10:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4f1a57…
10-30 10:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0fae14…
10-30 10:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdf904a…
10-30 09:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x271aa0…
10-30 09:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd4c541…
10-30 08:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4135c3…
10-30 07:58:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9d4e29…
10-30 07:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa426d8…
10-30 07:55:25	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9c3c62…
10-30 07:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf681ee…
10-30 07:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc0606e…
10-30 06:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6430e5…
10-30 05:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xab28ae…
10-30 05:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x94fe3f…
10-30 04:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x336115…
10-30 04:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xc42d2c…
10-30 02:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x22ceb0…
10-30 02:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdc5b96…
10-30 01:32:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe415d4…
10-30 01:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3ca400…
10-30 00:32:36	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xed84cd…
10-30 00:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf5e830…
10-30 00:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa98594…
10-30 00:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4a24a7…
10-30 00:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1424f1…
10-30 00:25:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x03d927…
10-30 00:25:31	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd3b47a…
10-29 23:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 5°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdb9cac…
10-29 23:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x08a1e6…
10-29 23:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or higher on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb6fe9c…
10-29 23:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x987b8f…
10-29 23:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2f4dec…
10-29 23:32:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2aa045…
10-29 23:27:42	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83fea0…
10-29 22:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x580c72…
10-29 22:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x039375…
10-29 21:35:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0756c5…
10-29 21:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x31cbb3…
10-29 21:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7d842a…
10-29 21:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x34fdcb…
10-29 20:57:48	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x807e3f…
10-29 20:51:31	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2b41ad…
10-29 20:35:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4518a6…
10-29 19:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa47349…
10-29 19:27:30	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on October 29?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6bdf31…
10-29 19:06:10	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x8d6dce…
10-29 19:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4ee363…
10-29 19:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9193e1…
10-29 17:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x858e8e…
10-29 17:53:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x46ab47…
10-29 17:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1463bc…
10-29 17:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf25072…
10-29 16:35:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x534a0d…
10-29 16:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4d3490…
10-29 16:04:49	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xf9b814…
10-29 15:38:17	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x428393…
10-29 15:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x68159f…
10-29 15:34:41	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3f1aa7…
10-29 15:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6b9c93…
10-29 14:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xd327e7…
10-29 13:06:22	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 12°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7e383d…
10-29 13:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6cd623…