Old-Fashioned-Illustration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$365

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

11,789

Trades

19,554

lifetime

Volume

$78.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% +$258

Other

1% 27% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 623 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	15	$697	365	365	+0	open	—	09-07 07:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	09-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Down	+$2	09-03 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$198	200	0	+200	Up	+$2	09-03 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 11:40 UTC	7	$102	557	0	+557	Down	-$102	08-20 11:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:25 UTC	7	$100	110	110	+0	Up	-$1	08-03 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-04 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-04 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-04 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-04 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	09-04 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-05 00:24
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	2	$90	89	89	+0	Yes	+$88	03-27 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$81	82	0	+82	Down	+$1	09-07 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$81	82	0	+82	Up	+$1	09-07 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	9	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	09-06 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	09-06 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	7	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	09-07 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$79	80	0	+80	Down	+$1	09-06 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$79	80	0	+80	Up	+$1	09-06 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$77	78	0	+78	Up	+$1	09-06 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	6	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	09-06 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$77	78	0	+78	Down	+$1	09-06 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$77	78	0	+78	Up	+$1	09-06 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:20 UTC	9	$74	160	0	+160	Down	+$26	08-05 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:15 UTC	8	$70	150	0	+150	Up	-$20	08-05 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7361dd…
10-28 20:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xce48f2…
10-28 20:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbd585d…
10-28 20:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2b3ca4…
10-28 20:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14ea3b…
10-28 20:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xef8727…
10-28 19:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x004aeb…
10-28 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4d099d…
10-28 16:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbee7a8…
10-28 15:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5b03db…
10-28 15:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xbbf0ce…
10-28 14:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe06708…
10-28 14:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x6bf2fe…
10-28 14:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x6509f5…
10-28 14:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29b95d…
10-28 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x60a3fd…
10-28 14:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xed514e…
10-28 14:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xcfbbd7…
10-28 14:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x710759…
10-28 14:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a8006…
10-28 14:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x17ab2b…
10-28 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd5dfa5…
10-28 13:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xcea325…
10-28 13:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6701d2…
10-28 13:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc66800…
10-28 13:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9e377d…
10-28 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe0549f…
10-28 13:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x45970f…
10-28 12:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfbac78…
10-28 12:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3ca8a4…
10-28 12:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x78af39…
10-28 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1fc747…
10-28 10:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x271274…
10-28 10:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb22788…
10-28 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x95a013…
10-28 09:21:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x426caa…
10-28 09:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9f7499…
10-28 08:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x97a03c…
10-28 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xe4026f…
10-28 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa1ff8e…
10-28 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x283327…
10-28 08:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x488b3d…
10-28 07:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa91959…
10-28 07:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x79d1a0…
10-28 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa867dc…
10-28 05:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x50459a…
10-28 05:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfde4ce…
10-28 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf4209a…
10-28 04:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3b8698…
10-28 04:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0b30f7…
10-28 04:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9bd935…
10-28 04:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x74b9f6…
10-28 04:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf161c2…
10-28 04:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x268fe3…
10-28 03:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb0f17d…
10-28 03:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x307298…
10-28 03:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb7f93e…
10-28 03:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xab510d…
10-28 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb411ff…
10-28 00:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xccc958…
10-27 23:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa1f057…
10-27 23:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1be74c…
10-27 23:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa1e683…
10-27 21:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6c1cd0…
10-27 20:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5ff8ea…
10-27 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5d744e…
10-27 20:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x19c739…
10-27 20:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0c87ba…
10-27 20:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x44a86c…
10-27 18:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x236121…
10-27 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x227b86…
10-27 17:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x997751…
10-27 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7e7ba1…
10-27 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5f74c5…
10-27 16:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x703992…
10-27 15:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xddb7a2…
10-27 14:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01a1ca…
10-27 12:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf59388…
10-27 12:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc79165…
10-27 12:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x1b7966…
10-27 12:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc24d8c…
10-27 12:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xc2986d…
10-27 12:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x397f84…
10-27 12:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbd16c5…
10-27 10:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4ff090…
10-27 10:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7340a7…
10-27 10:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2ac71e…
10-27 09:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4f95e4…
10-27 09:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x66b980…
10-27 09:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4fe3d…
10-27 09:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9bc9a6…
10-27 08:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd1b809…
10-27 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x064324…
10-27 07:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x74ef79…
10-27 07:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x057a02…
10-27 07:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfa3b33…
10-27 07:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x266f42…
10-27 07:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x63b31a…
10-27 06:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdd71fa…
10-27 06:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0204d0…