Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

Trades

779

lifetime

Volume

$4.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$190

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-30 16:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

98% 74% +$13

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 451 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	+131	$86	62¢	$81	-$5	10-30 07:27
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+48	$40	99¢	$48	+$7	10-30 15:23
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+35	$24	67¢	$23	-$1	10-30 16:32
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+28	$19	70¢	$19	+$1	10-30 16:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+58	$17	30¢	$17	+$0	10-30 16:32
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+5	$1	29¢	$1	$0	10-30 14:10
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+28	$0	1¢	$0	$0	10-30 16:34
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+8	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-30 15:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	72	$438	360	350	+10	No	+$0	10-25 22:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	51	$318	186	186	+0	No	+$9	10-25 23:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	45	$305	157	157	+0	No	+$2	10-25 23:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	37	$268	135	135	+0	No	+$0	10-25 23:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	61	$249	308	293	+15	Yes	-$11	10-25 23:03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	41	$241	139	139	+0	No	+$1	10-25 22:54
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	31	$230	178	173	+5	open	—	10-30 14:10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	51	$224	186	186	+0	No	+$6	10-25 23:03
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	26	$222	213	155	+58	open	—	10-30 16:32
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	17	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 17:56
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$195	132	84	+48	open	—	10-30 15:23
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	41	$157	139	139	+0	Yes	-$3	10-25 22:54
Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	4	$129	130	0	+130	No	+$1	10-16 21:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	8	$93	137	6	+131	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	13	$82	140	121	+19	open	—	10-30 15:23
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	10	$77	49	49	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 07:47
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	25	$70	112	112	+0	open	—	10-26 20:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	14	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	10-25 22:25
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	11	$70	194	63	+131	open	—	10-29 15:15
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	17	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	10-27 17:56
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	8	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	10-22 21:39
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	7	$67	80	80	+0	open	—	10-29 12:45
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$67	90	26	+64	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?	10	$59	36	36	+0	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska?	10	$58	36	36	+0	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	8	$50	61	11	+50	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	8	$47	71	15	+56	open	—	10-28 04:32
Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?	10	$44	36	36	+0	open	—	10-30 07:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	9	$43	35	10	+25	No	+$1	10-25 22:59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?	9	$43	35	10	+25	No	+$1	10-25 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:34:34	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xe3ff35…
10-30 16:34:34	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x48b9b1…
10-30 16:34:34	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x22b333…
10-30 16:32:52	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xe60172…
10-30 16:32:52	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5df7cd…
10-30 16:32:42	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xef3790…
10-30 16:32:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x4822e6…
10-30 16:32:42	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x12192a…
10-30 16:32:31	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x794aec…
10-30 16:32:31	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6d9fcd…
10-30 15:23:40	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x99af42…
10-30 15:23:39	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd5ca37…
10-30 15:23:39	Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9b3289…
10-30 15:23:39	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x0f9024…
10-30 15:23:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x871258…
10-30 15:23:31	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x2b0764…
10-30 14:10:55	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xbcc0ed…
10-30 14:10:55	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x820a19…
10-30 14:10:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf5df03…
10-30 14:10:45	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x45e298…
10-30 14:10:36	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x413612…
10-30 14:10:34	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5ab847…
10-30 14:10:25	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x55ef9e…
10-30 14:10:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb6075b…
10-30 14:10:24	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7638ce…
10-30 14:10:13	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x7b4edf…
10-30 14:10:13	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x25e9d0…
10-30 13:57:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xaa27bf…
10-30 13:57:57	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x9f8cdb…
10-30 13:57:57	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x98637c…
10-30 13:57:48	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x91a691…
10-30 13:57:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0dbc91…
10-30 07:27:15	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfc90c5…
10-30 07:27:15	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0xc36ddf…
10-30 07:27:06	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xa401cb…
10-30 07:27:06	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x8a7691…
10-30 07:27:06	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x49d265…
10-30 07:27:06	Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Kansas and Nebraska?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x42d13e…
10-30 07:27:06	Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and Republicans win Nebraska?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x3cf3d8…
10-30 07:27:06	Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x00c31f…
10-30 01:40:09	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x75e3ba…
10-29 15:15:37	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xf2acf8…
10-29 15:15:37	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x741455…
10-29 15:15:28	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x4a1d9b…
10-29 15:14:58	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x5b501f…
10-29 12:45:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1b9fb1…
10-29 12:45:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0e6baa…
10-29 12:45:17	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x368f39…
10-29 12:45:17	Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x18102a…
10-29 12:34:46	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xb002dd…
10-29 12:34:46	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x6d3bda…
10-29 12:34:37	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2f0ab…
10-29 12:34:37	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x9ab7ce…
10-29 12:34:37	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8d2f05…
10-29 12:34:29	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xeed3e6…
10-29 12:34:28	Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x38a1b8…
10-29 12:34:28	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x24f531…
10-28 23:35:10	Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xc0ba27…
10-28 23:35:10	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x62559a…
10-28 23:35:10	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	41	64¢	$26	0x1120dd…
10-28 23:35:01	Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x365f87…
10-28 23:35:01	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x33209d…
10-28 04:32:07	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0a0b3…
10-28 04:32:07	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x06a968…
10-28 04:32:05	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x5d8625…
10-28 04:05:05	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xf7b3ca…
10-28 04:05:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x902071…
10-28 04:05:05	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x3d3716…
10-28 02:23:41	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xdf4eb7…
10-28 02:23:41	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xbcafab…
10-28 02:23:41	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xa1fc73…
10-28 02:06:21	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x3f64b5…
10-28 02:06:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x2ae911…
10-28 02:06:12	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x1f7c3c…
10-28 01:55:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdc9c77…
10-28 01:55:27	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb7d5dc…
10-28 01:53:44	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x76b61d…
10-27 20:47:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x97e2fc…
10-27 20:47:39	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x90f768…
10-27 20:46:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x46e40c…
10-27 20:46:51	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x83b059…
10-27 20:16:42	Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc76ad8…
10-27 20:16:42	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$11	0xb280aa…
10-27 20:16:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x756b87…
10-27 20:10:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd33869…
10-27 20:10:03	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x51149c…
10-27 20:10:03	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x4bca89…
10-27 19:33:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	26	66¢	$17	0xe9b7d2…
10-27 19:33:03	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x32e22e…
10-27 19:33:03	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x1738e9…
10-27 19:28:02	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4b318e…
10-27 19:28:00	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xad376c…
10-27 19:28:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x703859…
10-27 19:14:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x3f6247…
10-27 19:14:38	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x3986b4…
10-27 19:14:33	Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xdff41b…
10-27 18:21:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xf68021…
10-27 18:21:53	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x754470…
10-27 18:21:53	Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4bd0a2…
10-27 18:21:23	Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xcde36d…