Yearly-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

296

Trades

296

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-05 00:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 228 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-06 10:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:38
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:05:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdef253…
11-05 00:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19a239…
11-03 17:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9cb85f…
11-03 09:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f1cdb…
11-02 12:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x4eccd5…
10-31 17:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x9b44da…
10-31 08:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45f008…
10-30 09:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe83991…
10-29 07:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a507e…
10-28 04:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa53861…
10-27 07:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc29e0b…
10-26 05:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79eadb…
10-24 06:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab6209…
10-23 07:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x651f17…
10-21 08:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d9b83…
10-19 06:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x379893…
10-18 07:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x939d2b…
10-17 07:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x956362…
10-16 05:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8540af…
10-15 06:38:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61ceb9…
10-14 07:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x475ec7…
10-13 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01de86…
10-12 04:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc191f9…
10-11 03:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f914b…
10-08 07:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x494d1a…
10-07 08:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb98f6b…
10-06 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6fc23…
10-04 08:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87033d…
10-03 04:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f5c83…
10-02 07:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f84b5…
10-02 03:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x203a26…
10-01 07:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4d14d…
09-30 09:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5070b…
09-29 08:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2263f…
09-28 08:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa07dfa…
09-27 02:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b942…
09-25 07:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0820ea…
09-24 06:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8853f7…
09-23 05:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x972e6f…
09-22 06:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb72c3d…
09-21 08:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a70ef…
09-20 03:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x394a9d…
09-19 06:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x643cda…
09-18 01:11:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04376…
09-17 03:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34e525…
09-16 08:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f4990…
09-15 23:35:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88ff25…
09-15 02:28:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2558aa…
09-14 02:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0dae31…
09-13 12:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc3ddf…
09-12 08:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa460dc…
09-11 06:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57b333…
09-10 01:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x144a8d…
09-09 09:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0eaa24…
09-08 15:43:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff821e…
09-08 01:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x724c15…
09-07 01:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb5642…
09-06 01:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x245645…
09-05 09:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd8ef4…
09-04 08:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x565fb2…
09-03 01:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa2673…
09-01 01:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b7078…
08-30 01:01:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572118…
08-29 05:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb60393…
08-28 01:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf315b3…
08-27 01:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x050f40…
08-26 02:03:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x981610…
08-25 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x363c64…
08-24 07:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d448b…
08-23 07:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x466ea9…
08-22 06:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95aaeb…
08-21 01:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc5b5b…
08-20 05:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae5291…
08-19 07:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00d943…
08-18 01:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8194e6…
08-17 06:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb51781…
08-16 10:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25871c…
08-15 02:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x509041…
08-14 06:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcaaa7…
08-13 00:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24b61…
08-12 06:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b9b8…
08-11 00:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b9f06…
08-10 00:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf090e…
08-09 07:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08b2d3…
08-09 00:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15ddf9…
08-08 07:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04400c…
08-07 00:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dbd7f…
08-06 00:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x496400…
08-05 00:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ab2ac…
08-04 03:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef5f15…
08-03 00:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7174af…
08-02 00:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8014d8…
08-01 00:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda0840…
07-31 07:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa32d5d…
07-30 00:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7095f…
07-29 01:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b11d3…
07-28 00:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x395b83…
07-27 07:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d0014…
07-26 01:10:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a6d9…
07-25 00:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x064c92…