French-Sheath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-29 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% -$3

Crypto

42% 92% +$13

Politics

7% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$597	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-21 12:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-20 07:38
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	09-29 06:04
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	04-07 03:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:32
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	06-28 07:43
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	04-23 08:14
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	06-17 15:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	04-28 05:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-28 11:34
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	05-26 13:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	04-13 13:04
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	08-27 16:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$266	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-31 10:00
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$266	134	134	+0	open	—	05-19 07:54
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$265	133	133	+0	No	$0	03-25 08:43
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-06 13:38
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 08:22
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 09:18
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 10:50
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-22 09:55
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 06:54
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 07:56
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-05 12:50
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-09 06:17
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-12 12:56
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-28 04:15
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-15 11:25
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 06:06:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x7380ec…
09-29 06:04:06	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xece716…
09-29 06:03:50	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xe3bd80…
08-27 16:01:43	will bitcoin reach 86k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x6c07ad…
08-27 16:00:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x10b3ef…
08-27 16:00:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xd9aa9a…
06-28 07:44:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x7742c8…
06-28 07:43:50	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xb17130…
06-28 07:43:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x0166e8…
06-17 15:19:17	will bitcoin reach 72k on june 17	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xc35507…
06-17 15:17:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xe052e3…
06-17 15:15:14	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xaf35bd…
05-26 13:30:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xc26ef9…
05-26 13:28:20	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x548e02…
05-26 13:27:59	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x2e0f3e…
05-19 07:55:35	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xa6020a…
05-19 07:54:56	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x434281…
05-19 07:54:40	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0x5af16d…
05-13 06:34:34	Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x984d6a…
05-13 06:32:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x9e6d30…
05-13 06:31:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x932a4e…
04-28 05:42:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xbd3902…
04-28 05:42:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xc3a065…
04-28 05:41:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x1aeea3…
04-24 13:59:06	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xbaac03…
04-23 08:15:44	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xc130a1…
04-23 08:14:58	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xe2ed25…
04-23 08:14:54	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xab807e…
04-20 05:13:54	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x8c8a55…
04-13 13:05:39	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xe7cea4…
04-13 13:04:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0xe53156…
04-13 13:04:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xe116bd…
04-07 03:34:01	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x6cc96f…
04-07 03:33:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x0507c9…
04-07 03:33:15	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xbe19ef…
03-31 10:01:09	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 31	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x60f5d5…
03-31 10:00:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x936e19…
03-31 10:00:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xfaac24…
03-28 11:35:37	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x4285e1…
03-28 11:34:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x1f2014…
03-28 11:34:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x777b8c…
03-27 07:33:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 27	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x5a5994…
03-27 07:32:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x6ea95a…
03-27 07:32:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x146427…
03-25 08:43:49	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 25	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb614db…
03-25 08:43:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x938b2d…
03-25 08:43:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x34589b…
03-22 09:56:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x431f0a…
03-22 09:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x720f05…
03-22 09:55:37	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 300 319	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc3176c…
03-18 09:42:37	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x798af1…
03-18 09:42:21	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe4bb7a…
03-18 09:42:13	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe8fba9…
03-17 10:51:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x368423…
03-17 10:50:59	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x480191…
03-17 10:50:51	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 215 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb1546b…
03-15 11:26:13	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x567395…
03-15 11:25:17	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xffc64c…
03-15 11:25:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc9d7e6…
03-12 07:57:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2bf638…
03-12 07:56:31	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x79a21b…
03-12 07:56:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12098d…
03-09 06:17:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x15a552…
03-09 06:17:03	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a4c67…
03-09 06:16:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd6cbd9…
03-06 13:40:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd71c92…
03-06 13:38:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa714b7…
03-06 13:38:13	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x86111c…
03-02 11:14:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0c542…
03-02 11:14:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a4f06…
03-02 11:13:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5bb246…
03-01 04:40:49	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x734088…
03-01 04:39:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xfe789f…
03-01 04:31:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66da1a…
02-10 11:53:23	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce64fb…
02-10 11:52:59	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7efc71…
02-10 11:52:47	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x86643e…
02-06 14:56:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6fd939…
02-06 14:53:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x356aad…
02-06 14:53:19	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x91a117…
02-05 12:51:01	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd79e73…
02-05 12:50:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x59f61e…
02-05 12:50:25	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa98dbd…
02-04 09:18:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7fc53a…
02-04 09:18:32	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xaabb39…
02-04 09:18:24	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70e1db…
02-02 13:27:58	bitcoin above 84k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe4cf15…
02-02 13:27:10	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x72d3fb…
02-02 13:26:40	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1eac8d…
01-31 06:55:04	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe6b639…
01-31 06:54:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x43c637…
01-31 06:54:04	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99f35f…
01-28 04:15:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x605bd0…
01-28 04:15:35	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x08dd5b…
01-28 04:15:11	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6bd3a4…
01-23 08:23:00	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x74f469…
01-23 08:22:42	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x724fbb…
01-23 08:22:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xad9ad0…
01-21 12:45:26	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf49206…
01-21 12:44:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5fb12c…