Fearless-Caravan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

182

Trades

49,828

lifetime

Volume

$129.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-16 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% $-258

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 12019 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	219	$610	1,016	+1,016	Down	$-21	05-08 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	196	$584	1,034	+1,034	Up	$-91	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	180	$498	846	+846	Down	$-116	05-08 13:54
btc updown 5m 1776757200	166	$467	676	+676	open	—	04-21 07:45
btc updown 5m 1776756600	138	$459	662	+662	open	—	04-21 07:34
btc updown 5m 1776762300	176	$457	829	+829	open	—	04-21 09:10
btc updown 5m 1776433500	180	$440	828	+828	open	—	04-17 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	165	$429	789	+789	Up	+$2	05-08 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	164	$416	720	+720	Down	+$19	05-08 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	152	$372	674	+674	Down	+$19	05-08 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	142	$370	655	+655	Up	$-177	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	167	$368	679	+679	open	—	05-03 09:30
btc updown 5m 1776652800	133	$362	609	+609	open	—	04-20 02:45
btc updown 5m 1776756300	129	$355	572	+572	open	—	04-21 07:29
btc updown 5m 1776758700	118	$355	564	+564	open	—	04-21 08:10
btc updown 5m 1776663000	150	$354	653	+653	open	—	04-20 05:34
eth updown 5m 1776708600	151	$344	654	+654	open	—	04-20 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776474900	142	$340	631	+631	open	—	04-18 01:20
btc updown 5m 1776755100	155	$332	677	+677	open	—	04-21 07:10
btc updown 5m 1776421800	146	$324	677	+677	open	—	04-17 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776658800	140	$320	616	+616	open	—	04-20 04:24
eth updown 5m 1776676800	129	$318	604	+604	open	—	04-20 09:24
eth updown 5m 1776709500	129	$317	577	+577	open	—	04-20 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776675600	141	$317	637	+637	open	—	04-20 09:05
btc updown 5m 1776474000	141	$315	633	+633	open	—	04-18 01:04
eth updown 5m 1776687600	144	$315	593	+593	open	—	04-20 12:25
btc updown 5m 1776643500	142	$312	594	+594	open	—	04-20 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	131	$308	581	+581	Up	$-10	05-08 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776838200	139	$301	607	+607	open	—	04-22 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	121	$297	546	+546	Up	$-82	05-12 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 17:13:13	atp norrie fokina 2026 06 15	Cameron Norrie	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0x4b58a2…
06-16 17:02:59	atp rinderk medjedo 2026 06 15	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x2383b4…
06-16 17:01:43	atp rinderk medjedo 2026 06 15	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	152	39¢	$60	0xf89306…
06-16 15:34:49	atp hijikat tabilo 2026 06 16	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x50848d…
06-16 15:34:19	atp hijikat tabilo 2026 06 16	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	137	50¢	$69	0x55c1d7…
06-16 12:51:09	atp perrica moutet 2026 06 15	Corentin Moutet	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x687e25…
06-15 04:26:33	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	357	21¢	$75	0xf164d6…
05-28 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3ac52e…
05-28 19:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9f7a6b…
05-28 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xce3a22…
05-28 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc16bc3…
05-28 19:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x313750…
05-28 19:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xafd301…
05-28 19:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5bb553…
05-28 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe489ef…
05-28 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x34eba1…
05-28 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd4fa06…
05-28 19:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0fe2d9…
05-28 19:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb92c38…
05-28 19:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd0532c…
05-28 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x453656…
05-28 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2b193a…
05-28 19:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8799bb…
05-28 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xa8b930…
05-28 19:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc4d4fe…
05-28 19:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6eaf41…
05-28 19:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe29690…
05-28 19:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x990a64…
05-28 19:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9d6b60…
05-28 19:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x937bd6…
05-28 19:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xde3038…
05-28 19:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x5e2a43…
05-28 19:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x59a6cd…
05-28 19:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x47c6a6…
05-28 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe496ce…
05-28 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2a0cc8…
05-28 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x19c393…
05-28 19:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x58092f…
05-28 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbeeab0…
05-20 05:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3dcf66…
05-20 05:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xd58cba…
05-20 05:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xd3b7a2…
05-20 05:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x306da3…
05-20 05:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdc905e…
05-20 05:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1d1926…
05-20 05:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x616bdf…
05-20 05:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb53e0e…
05-20 05:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa2032a…
05-20 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd926c1…
05-20 05:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x366f7e…
05-20 05:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa349ea…
05-20 05:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x290b04…
05-20 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x59001f…
05-20 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa7e70a…
05-20 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd61433…
05-20 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa3e4be…
05-20 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x596af9…
05-20 04:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x3fe27b…
05-20 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa54c3c…
05-20 04:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf96f9f…
05-20 04:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xfdde97…
05-20 04:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc0af0b…
05-20 04:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1cfd18…
05-20 04:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x020386…
05-20 04:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x3f1a59…
05-20 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0xc4dffe…
05-20 04:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xffb830…
05-20 04:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7a4058…
05-20 04:59:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9b067a…
05-20 04:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1a5144…
05-20 04:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x89dbb9…
05-20 04:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x122740…
05-20 04:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xaf3f88…
05-20 04:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x14bb19…
05-20 04:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x695fe7…
05-20 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xecdfb8…
05-20 04:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x52a304…
05-20 04:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x4b723e…
05-20 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xefacf1…
05-20 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa994c4…
05-20 04:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x293934…
05-20 04:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x915638…
05-20 04:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x07fd7c…
05-20 04:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x488ec8…
05-20 04:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x25d935…
05-20 04:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x88623e…
05-20 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xaef51f…
05-20 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x38a185…
05-20 04:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8292d9…
05-20 04:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5f458d…
05-20 04:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xff1e61…
05-20 04:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xe8c733…
05-20 04:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x888bf9…
05-20 04:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaca946…
05-20 04:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xcf2fda…
05-20 04:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa0825b…
05-20 04:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x959759…
05-20 04:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x074220…
05-20 04:54:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x15deb5…
05-20 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2b0ed3…