Crazy-Miss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$62

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

1,106

Trades

2,736

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$276

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-26 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 168 days

Categories

Other

48% 13% -$311

Crypto

38% 5% +$3,494

Sports

15% 27% +$1,682

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+634	$214	44¢	$276	+$62	10-24 16:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	12	$998	2,375	2,108	+267	No	+$726	08-30 16:38
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$917	3,206	904	+2,302	Yes	+$1,192	07-19 22:53
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	5	$893	1,194	1,194	+0	Yes	+$806	08-21 10:05
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	4	$618	1,776	605	+1,171	Yes	+$590	08-21 09:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$505	703	703	+0	Yes	+$326	07-19 17:46
will nflx dip to 70 in february	10	$444	1,530	1,530	+0	No	-$41	02-25 02:40
xrp above 1pt1 on june 5 2026	8	$372	476	476	+0	No	+$353	06-05 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	8	$310	2,618	1,490	+1,128	No	+$223	08-30 16:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	6	$304	427	427	+0	No	+$293	06-02 15:42
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	3	$272	219	219	+0	No	+$12	06-21 06:14
will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	13	$256	1,046	396	+650	Yes	+$114	03-31 17:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	5	$244	333	333	+0	Yes	+$178	09-11 06:03
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	2	$214	634	0	+634	open	—	10-24 16:34
lol gen dk 2026 07 18	5	$208	212	212	+0	Dplus KIA	-$24	07-18 15:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	3	$207	210	210	+0	Yes	+$196	06-30 18:26
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$197	206	206	+0	Yes	+$97	06-06 03:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	6	$194	585	414	+172	No	+$104	09-24 15:24
will gold gc settle at 4750 in march	12	$178	2,124	224	+1,900	Yes	+$44	03-31 17:44
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	3	$176	272	120	+152	G2 Esports	+$57	07-03 10:01
will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	3	$175	1,822	0	+1,822	No	-$175	06-19 14:49
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	19	$165	1,968	1,558	+410	No	+$29	03-29 08:02
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	2	$126	129	129	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$34	07-09 08:57
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	7	$125	529	371	+157	No	+$94	03-30 14:21
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	4	$122	202	202	+0	Yes	+$116	08-19 15:49
Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	6	$118	669	182	+487	open	—	10-26 13:49
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$117	84	84	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 14:48
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	5	$111	313	313	+0	No	-$11	03-25 17:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$99	191	0	+191	Yes	-$99	09-03 10:12
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	3	$97	115	115	+0	Yes	+$70	06-11 05:53
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$91	80	80	+0	T1	+$67	05-16 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x4c3f3a…
10-26 13:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0x2a3d63…
10-26 13:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	187	1¢	$1	0x41f3bf…
10-26 13:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x23c367…
10-26 13:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	185	0¢	$1	0x472667…
10-26 13:49:23	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xf005f1…
10-25 23:11:36	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x90d1aa…
10-25 23:10:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0xb7a5c1…
10-25 23:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x7ab6fe…
10-25 23:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	118	2¢	$3	0x60e993…
10-25 23:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xd8781a…
10-25 19:13:44	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xa44f18…
10-25 19:12:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x36da03…
10-25 19:12:14	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xac4eab…
10-25 19:11:48	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x540763…
10-25 18:25:36	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa99a61…
10-25 17:41:41	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x6682a9…
10-25 17:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xe0594e…
10-25 09:45:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x575ff2…
10-25 09:44:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	142	1¢	$2	0xdb70bd…
10-25 09:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	454	0¢	$1	0x433e1f…
10-25 09:41:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x8464f0…
10-25 09:39:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0x37a6a2…
10-25 09:35:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x612045…
10-25 09:33:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x0713de…
10-25 09:33:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x94ff10…
10-25 05:15:38	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	116	21¢	$25	0xea9398…
10-25 05:14:11	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	150	22¢	$33	0x9e70cb…
10-24 16:51:02	Will T1 Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	BUY	133	42¢	$56	0xa08ae3…
10-24 16:50:08	Will Gen.G Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	BUY	121	46¢	$56	0xd841aa…
10-24 16:36:21	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	285	12¢	$34	0x482a34…
10-24 16:34:47	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	33¢	$51	0xa9dfc5…
10-23 11:40:44	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0xf61bf5…
10-23 11:40:06	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xbe631f…
10-23 11:38:42	Will LYON Go 3-0 in the Worlds 2026 Swiss Stage?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x080d0e…
10-23 11:32:32	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	34¢	$163	0x6db395…
10-23 11:30:03	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	235	7¢	$16	0xfcb10c…
10-23 00:15:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 23?	No	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x74887b…
10-23 00:14:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x7f6778…
10-23 00:14:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4b0a8b…
10-23 00:13:56	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	9¢	$8	0xa2cf32…
10-10 18:58:27	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0x302e55…
10-10 17:13:58	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x904794…
10-10 17:13:52	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x0ca6c0…
10-10 16:49:34	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x07d345…
10-10 16:45:33	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe6819a…
10-10 16:45:31	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x812021…
10-10 16:45:03	Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc4cd97…
10-10 16:13:03	Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	13¢	$13	0xc4513e…
09-30 21:41:56	will xagusd dip to 59 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xaf18ba…
09-30 18:21:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x34794b…
09-30 18:20:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4bd45b…
09-30 18:20:06	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x87aed5…
09-30 18:19:48	will xauusd reach 4300 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	484	0¢	$2	0xd62a18…
09-30 17:50:47	wti closes above 89 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x569b6c…
09-30 17:22:53	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	460	1¢	$4	0xe9f838…
09-30 17:22:20	Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	18¢	$19	0xa663be…
09-30 12:57:05	bitcoin above 90k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x7286a7…
09-30 12:56:44	bitcoin above 90k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x47f59e…
09-30 12:56:24	bitcoin above 90k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xd686f7…
09-30 11:23:00	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0xcf48a3…
09-30 11:22:26	will xauusd reach 4300 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	85	4¢	$3	0xfacedb…
09-29 01:18:50	Will Hyperliquid dip to $72 in September?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x614add…
09-28 21:05:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	Yes	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0x473273…
09-28 21:04:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x3f40a6…
09-28 21:02:53	will xauusd dip to 3900 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x664935…
09-28 21:01:44	will xagusd dip to 56 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0x1dac79…
09-28 21:01:09	will xagusd dip to 57 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xb28a1e…
09-28 21:00:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x1ea71e…
09-25 21:23:11	Will Solana reach $170 in September?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x61934a…
09-25 21:22:44	Will Solana reach $160 in September?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x29a2fb…
09-25 21:22:23	Will Solana reach $150 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0fdb30…
09-25 10:05:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0xef80df…
09-25 10:04:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	123	2¢	$2	0xafd05b…
09-25 10:03:27	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0xea0405…
09-25 10:03:09	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x669e97…
09-24 15:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x3db467…
09-24 15:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x15b519…
09-24 15:23:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0xc51ace…
09-24 15:22:20	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0xedb655…
09-24 15:21:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0xa16c2e…
09-24 15:20:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0x53f2d1…
09-23 23:27:53	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x967a8c…
09-23 23:27:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	156	2¢	$2	0x4a46f7…
09-23 23:24:58	ethereum above 2800 on september 24 2026	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x958f3d…
09-23 16:04:13	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	1,087	0¢	$1	0x2e983f…
09-23 16:01:38	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x79438f…
09-23 15:46:38	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x82bdb7…
09-23 15:31:55	ethereum above 2700 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xbe114f…
09-23 11:28:52	bitcoin above 82k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x197f5a…
09-23 11:28:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	26	6¢	$1	0xfa14a0…
09-23 11:24:04	ethereum above 2600 on september 23 2026	No	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0xa19f7d…
09-23 11:22:58	bitcoin above 82k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0x1139d9…
09-23 11:22:38	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x5c0c1f…
09-23 01:15:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	296	1¢	$4	0xedf2fc…
09-23 01:14:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x8eb7a3…
09-23 01:13:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$3	0x1d02c1…
09-23 01:09:10	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xc969dd…
09-23 01:08:26	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x76fbeb…
09-23 01:07:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	253	3¢	$8	0xda4ced…