Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
194
Trades
371
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$118
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-27 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
59% 54% +$5
Sports
23% 53% -$8
Politics
12% 67% +$0
Crypto
5% 100% +$2
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 10-19 07:07
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 10-16 08:15
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 10-19 06:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 10-20 06:36
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$1 10-20 06:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +6 $4 78¢ $5 +$0 10-27 14:54
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 10-24 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-19 08:17
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 10-12 23:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5 $4 79¢ $4 +$0 10-23 04:45
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 10-14 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$1 10-19 08:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 64¢ $4 $0 10-26 09:51
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 $0 10-26 06:25
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$0 10-19 06:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 $0 10-19 08:17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 64¢ $4 $0 10-26 10:15
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $3 75¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 10-21 05:55
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +6 $4 62¢ $4 $0 10-25 20:17
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $4 73¢ $4 $0 10-19 08:17
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $4 60¢ $4 $0 10-26 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 10-16 08:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 56¢ $3 +$0 10-26 05:04
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +5 $4 66¢ $3 $0 10-19 08:26
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No — +6 $3 55¢ $3 $0 10-26 05:04
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5 $3 65¢ $3 +$0 10-17 03:56
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 10-22 18:01