Lively-Provider 0x1fee90…d2ed5e
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$211.9K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
1,066
4,042 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$742.8K
$3.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$748
Open exposure
$1.08M
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-28 14:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
70% 73% +$123,439
Other
30% 62% -$44,448
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +211,133 $180,329 72¢ $153.1K -$27,257 10-04 02:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +420,100 $151,236 34¢ $140.7K -$10,502 10-03 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +190,482 $132,360 60¢ $115.2K -$17,118 10-03 10:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +166,641 $100,023 56¢ $92.7K -$7,288 10-07 02:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +121,309 $103,792 72¢ $87.9K -$15,843 10-01 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +137,117 $96,058 60¢ $83.0K -$13,102 10-03 10:39
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +144,830 $86,341 54¢ $78.2K -$8,133 10-09 18:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +238,364 $106,239 32¢ $75.1K -$31,155 10-01 22:25
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +197,902 $86,941 32¢ $62.3K -$24,602 10-01 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +105,205 $59,559 56¢ $59.4K -$118 10-01 22:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -420,100 -$29,407 8¢ $-31507 -$2,100 10-04 14:52
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +40,101 $27,269 72¢ $28.7K +$1,404 09-24 12:09
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +48,200 $28,103 56¢ $27.2K -$871 10-01 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +70,135 $22,149 38¢ $26.3K +$4,151 10-28 15:52
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +46,411 $9,520 12¢ $5.6K -$3,904 10-22 03:16
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +11,367 $3,656 38¢ $4.3K +$607 10-28 14:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -420,100 -$2,535 1¢ $-3571 -$1,036 10-04 16:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,573 $2,291 74¢ $2.6K +$353 09-18 20:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +9,000 $2,520 22¢ $2.0K -$495 09-22 07:12
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +9,000 $2,494 22¢ $2.0K -$469 09-22 08:05
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +82,912 $6,341 0¢ $124 -$6,217 06-05 23:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $196 66¢ $0 -$196 07-03 01:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +0 -$937 92¢ $0 +$937 08-16 13:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +0 -$107 26¢ $0 +$107 08-19 02:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $49,021 34¢ $0 -$49,021 10-27 23:52