Lively-Provider 0x1fee90…d2ed5e
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$240.8K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
209
4,065 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$146.4K
$3.04M lifetime
Avg / trade
$747
Open exposure
$1.03M
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-29 15:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
70% 73% +$123,439
Other
30% 62% -$44,448
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 463 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +211,133 $180,329 72¢ $151.0K -$29,368 10-04 02:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +420,100 $151,236 34¢ $140.7K -$10,502 10-03 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +190,482 $132,360 52¢ $98.1K -$34,262 10-03 10:41
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +166,641 $100,023 57¢ $95.6K -$4,455 10-07 02:42
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +121,309 $103,792 72¢ $86.7K -$17,056 10-01 22:32
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +144,830 $86,341 56¢ $81.8K -$4,512 10-09 18:16
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +238,364 $106,239 32¢ $75.1K -$31,155 10-01 22:25
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +137,117 $96,058 52¢ $70.6K -$25,443 10-03 10:39
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +197,902 $86,941 32¢ $62.3K -$24,602 10-01 21:46
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +105,205 $59,559 53¢ $55.8K -$3,800 10-01 22:07
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +40,101 $27,269 70¢ $28.3K +$1,003 09-24 12:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -420,100 -$29,407 6¢ $-27306 +$2,100 10-04 14:52
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +48,200 $28,103 53¢ $25.5K -$2,558 10-01 18:59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +43,481 $12,021 36¢ $15.4K +$3,415 10-28 22:26
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +46,411 $9,520 12¢ $5.3K -$4,182 10-22 03:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes -420,100 -$2,535 1¢ $-3151 -$616 10-04 16:52
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +3,573 $2,291 70¢ $2.5K +$228 09-18 20:48
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +9,000 $2,520 21¢ $1.9K -$630 09-22 07:12
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +9,000 $2,494 21¢ $1.9K -$604 09-22 08:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,629 $335 36¢ $933 +$598 10-29 15:07
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +82,912 $6,341 0¢ $124 -$6,217 06-05 23:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $196 68¢ $0 -$196 07-03 01:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +0 -$937 94¢ $0 +$937 08-16 13:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +0 -$107 26¢ $0 +$107 08-19 02:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +0 $49,021 32¢ $0 -$49,021 10-27 23:52