Happy-Go-Lucky-Blame — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-08 10:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Tech

82% — —

Politics

9% — —

Other

8% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	14	$1.9K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	07-01 06:20
gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	5	$984	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	07-08 10:46
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$205	105	105	+0	open	—	05-13 01:41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$200	222	0	+222	open	—	04-24 03:14
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$199	212	0	+212	open	—	04-27 10:15
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	05-13 01:41
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	04-24 03:37
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 8?	1	$100	122	0	+122	Yes	+$22	05-08 10:18
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$20	22	0	+22	No	$-20	05-09 06:29
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-09 06:55
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	200	200	+0	open	—	06-30 12:50
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-12 02:24
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-11 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 10:46:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x92b55c…
07-08 10:41:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	641	98¢	$630	0xb1ce6b…
07-08 10:33:46	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$62	0x58ba03…
07-08 10:33:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	117	98¢	$116	0x9566cb…
07-08 10:33:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x382fab…
07-01 06:20:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	268	3¢	$8	0xb04093…
07-01 06:19:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xa24c2a…
07-01 06:16:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xf906b4…
07-01 06:13:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x0ec5d9…
07-01 05:07:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x7d73a3…
07-01 05:04:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xfb5695…
07-01 05:04:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x3a7e57…
07-01 05:03:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x22aa13…
07-01 05:00:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xee28b9…
07-01 04:58:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	192	98¢	$189	0x45628d…
07-01 04:57:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	808	98¢	$792	0xe7d6bb…
07-01 01:17:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	332	94¢	$312	0x262a50…
07-01 01:17:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	667	94¢	$627	0xe9b3fa…
07-01 01:13:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x632a37…
06-30 12:50:25	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x0d28fe…
06-29 10:14:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xbb27c6…
05-13 01:41:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xa2374f…
05-13 01:41:06	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x9573e9…
05-12 02:24:51	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1b49e6…
05-11 08:19:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xddde3d…
05-11 03:32:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x5a1d93…
05-09 06:55:41	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb588ea…
05-09 06:29:22	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x9b02af…
05-08 10:18:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5511b9…
05-07 12:34:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe64e9e…
04-27 10:15:58	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	212	94¢	$199	0xe47f70…
04-24 03:37:56	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x9e3e10…
04-24 03:14:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x2c293c…