Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
74
lifetime
Volume
$401
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$38
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-10 00:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
84%
Politics
9%
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $15 36¢ $15 +$0 06-09 14:23
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-09 17:15
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes +25 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 06-09 17:13
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 $-0 06-03 08:02
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +20 $3 15¢ $3 $-0 06-03 09:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 06-10 00:17
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes -202 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-31 17:04
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? Yes -132 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-31 17:05
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 20:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-1 68¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 22:15
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-09 16:23
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 30¢ $-0 +$0 05-31 11:02