Haunting-Impediment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

31,977 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$241

$1.62M lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-31 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 73% -$24,889

Other

1% 72% -$294

Politics

1% 70% +$50

Tech

0% 62% +$20

Sports

0% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	10-26 23:53
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	+3	$3	98¢	$3	+$0	10-26 01:31
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	10-30 23:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:35 UTC	20	$7.8K	4,669	4,648	+21	Up	+$77	03-24 09:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:00 UTC	47	$7.7K	5,132	5,087	+44	Down	-$81	03-24 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 02:20 UTC	12	$7.2K	3,767	3,761	+6	Up	+$151	03-24 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:20 UTC	6	$6.0K	4,728	3,300	+1,428	Down	-$1,632	03-24 10:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:10 UTC	24	$5.9K	4,023	4,008	+16	Down	-$280	03-24 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:25 UTC	22	$5.7K	4,276	2,759	+1,517	Up	+$18	03-24 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:50 UTC	30	$5.0K	3,239	3,238	+1	Up	-$571	03-24 10:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:15 UTC	9	$4.9K	2,726	2,716	+10	Up	+$282	03-24 09:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 11:05 UTC	20	$4.7K	2,674	2,668	+7	Up	-$24	03-24 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:45 UTC	22	$4.7K	2,462	2,459	+4	Down	+$33	03-24 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:45 UTC	9	$4.6K	2,830	2,811	+19	Up	+$105	03-24 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:05 UTC	43	$4.4K	2,370	2,369	+2	Up	+$39	03-24 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:05 UTC	14	$4.3K	4,169	2,762	+1,407	Up	-$1,547	03-24 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:45 UTC	16	$4.1K	2,300	2,288	+12	Down	+$74	03-23 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:30 UTC	23	$4.1K	2,293	2,282	+11	Down	+$76	03-24 03:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:10 UTC	4	$4.1K	2,199	2,187	+12	Down	+$271	03-24 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:25 UTC	10	$4.1K	2,097	2,096	+1	Down	+$8	03-23 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:30 UTC	8	$4.0K	4,287	3,392	+895	Down	-$1,636	03-24 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 04:05 UTC	21	$4.0K	2,292	2,183	+109	Up	-$33	03-24 04:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:25 UTC	28	$4.0K	2,553	1,923	+630	Up	+$210	03-24 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 10:25 UTC	5	$3.8K	2,143	2,098	+45	Down	+$367	03-24 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:20 UTC	4	$3.8K	1,928	1,927	+1	Down	+$25	03-21 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:00 UTC	3	$3.8K	1,991	1,987	+4	Up	+$165	03-24 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 09:45 UTC	50	$3.8K	2,292	2,282	+10	Down	+$135	03-24 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:55 UTC	6	$3.8K	3,238	3,202	+36	Down	-$718	03-19 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:55 UTC	16	$3.7K	2,217	2,212	+5	Up	+$244	03-23 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 01:15 UTC	15	$3.7K	2,144	2,132	+13	Up	+$189	03-24 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:15 UTC	7	$3.7K	1,905	1,903	+2	Down	+$92	03-21 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:40 UTC	12	$3.6K	2,319	2,302	+18	Up	-$12	03-24 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:30 UTC	9	$3.5K	1,956	1,830	+126	Down	+$55	03-24 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe8cc70…
10-31 14:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xc1a958…
10-31 14:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x3eafce…
10-31 14:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x2f822d…
10-31 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x1ca2aa…
10-31 14:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x13845b…
10-31 14:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x8787cf…
10-31 13:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb77dd5…
10-31 13:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x6becaa…
10-31 13:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x68a080…
10-31 13:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xdc381e…
10-31 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xeb1e01…
10-31 13:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xad3389…
10-31 12:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4cec1a…
10-31 12:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf8234c…
10-31 12:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x85572a…
10-31 12:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xbf0d0f…
10-31 10:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe17b3b…
10-31 10:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xaaae97…
10-31 10:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2a8ebf…
10-31 10:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xae82d3…
10-31 10:19:55	Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb66da5…
10-31 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x069a9e…
10-31 10:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x9fae30…
10-31 10:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xaeed92…
10-31 09:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xdd521a…
10-31 09:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x303061…
10-31 09:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x78bf91…
10-31 09:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd2f7f3…
10-31 09:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfbe891…
10-31 09:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x9413d9…
10-31 09:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb01869…
10-31 09:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x05ef2b…
10-31 08:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfab1c4…
10-31 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x850688…
10-31 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x13c9cd…
10-31 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x837793…
10-31 07:47:46	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1bdd32…
10-31 07:07:22	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3bb3be…
10-31 07:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa46e04…
10-31 07:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x53e0b3…
10-31 06:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6c81b4…
10-31 06:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x64a08e…
10-31 06:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa8cc7e…
10-31 05:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4da0ef…
10-31 05:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf9e07e…
10-31 05:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc0e7d3…
10-31 05:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa97e4f…
10-31 05:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0c418c…
10-31 05:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7cfa4a…
10-31 04:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x67b47b…
10-31 04:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xff80e3…
10-31 04:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc3dc88…
10-31 04:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xf3e864…
10-31 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8f9a71…
10-31 03:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe1b508…
10-31 02:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xed69e8…
10-31 02:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x3872d5…
10-31 02:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x9c8ce4…
10-31 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xe80782…
10-31 02:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x25dc5d…
10-31 01:01:03	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3e0b0e…
10-31 00:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xaeb36f…
10-31 00:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x733d1b…
10-30 23:50:48	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x14be4b…
10-30 23:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8dbb94…
10-30 23:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc5fb12…
10-30 17:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xc025da…
10-30 10:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6f6663…
10-30 10:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x5db405…
10-30 07:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfaaecf…
10-30 07:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xc0b3fb…
10-30 06:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb2878b…
10-30 06:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd62b96…
10-30 05:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xee9fe0…
10-30 05:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x94e844…
10-30 04:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5ebfb9…
10-30 04:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x344ca7…
10-29 23:48:40	Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe354af…
10-29 17:27:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xcada60…
10-29 17:27:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x545f27…
10-29 17:26:55	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa859af…
10-29 17:26:50	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xaab3f3…
10-29 17:26:47	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x425be0…
10-29 17:26:41	Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb527b3…
10-29 01:12:20	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8aa284…
10-28 23:10:28	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x4d62df…
10-28 21:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9032d8…
10-28 21:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7e757d…
10-28 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x57e22f…
10-28 21:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1a734a…
10-28 19:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0a6a6d…
10-28 19:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb3241d…
10-28 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xa29b23…
10-28 16:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf0277b…
10-28 16:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x9dcab2…
10-28 16:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x58d766…
10-28 16:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xf716ae…
10-28 16:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x9bd4a5…
10-28 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xac7d6e…