Hasty-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-30 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

38% 100% +$4

Other

32% — —

Crypto

29% 100% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$293	295	+295	open	—	05-30 09:02
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$270	278	+278	open	—	05-26 08:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$270	277	+277	open	—	05-19 19:06
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$137	148	+148	open	—	05-15 19:52
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$132	133	+133	Yes	+$1	05-05 06:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	1	$125	126	+126	open	—	05-15 05:39
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$125	126	+126	open	—	05-14 20:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$124	125	+125	open	—	05-12 13:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$121	126	+126	No	+$4	05-09 08:38
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$88	91	+91	No	+$2	04-14 02:54
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	1	$66	71	+71	open	—	04-27 20:02
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$63	66	+66	open	—	04-24 16:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$52	63	+63	open	—	04-21 04:11
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	1	$27	27	+27	open	—	03-31 22:43
amzn above 290 on february 27 2026	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	02-23 21:41
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	01-24 18:27
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	01-09 09:45
nflx above 140 on february 27 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	02-20 11:41
will bnb dip to 600 in january	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-06 01:35
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	01-10 14:36
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-23 01:56
will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-18 18:37
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	02-20 11:33
will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-24 02:37
bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	3	$10	10	+10	open	—	03-10 17:30
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-11 08:24
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-20 11:39
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-13 15:03
will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	03-24 18:19
googl above 360 on february 27 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-23 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:02:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	295	99¢	$293	0x3e722a…
05-26 15:46:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x92d370…
05-26 08:15:54	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	278	97¢	$270	0xa292ef…
05-19 19:06:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	277	98¢	$270	0xa171d6…
05-15 19:52:22	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	92¢	$137	0xb803a3…
05-15 05:39:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x989165…
05-14 20:52:17	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xfff3d2…
05-12 13:28:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$124	0x54ddf7…
05-10 00:09:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11adc4…
05-09 08:38:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$121	0xbeb64a…
05-06 07:11:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x752287…
05-05 06:31:18	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x6877e9…
04-29 06:48:56	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73846c…
04-28 07:55:50	Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcf104d…
04-27 20:02:34	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$66	0x34ea6a…
04-24 16:05:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0xe2f891…
04-24 14:11:46	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7e094…
04-23 12:59:46	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22add4…
04-23 11:10:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3a306e…
04-21 04:11:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	63	82¢	$52	0xe5b388…
04-20 05:53:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc6a0b…
04-20 04:26:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdad667…
04-19 22:31:16	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x398301…
04-19 14:31:18	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7db64d…
04-19 12:32:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x180526…
04-19 11:07:14	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ad76f…
04-19 10:34:14	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf17979…
04-19 00:55:42	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xae2aa4…
04-18 09:15:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd0707a…
04-18 06:45:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf9c4c…
04-18 04:58:14	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7ccdee…
04-18 00:44:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc2459…
04-17 16:57:18	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7099d5…
04-16 19:31:06	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf5111…
04-16 06:21:26	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xb4eb8a…
04-15 16:21:08	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x263b45…
04-14 07:00:41	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb1467…
04-14 02:54:37	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$88	0x7c89ac…
04-13 07:57:25	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x601f93…
04-12 12:26:29	Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf59375…
04-12 11:23:49	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $20 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdf9886…
04-11 18:48:03	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f5c36…
04-11 10:48:33	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4fbe59…
04-11 02:54:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x652c67…
04-10 23:17:05	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x43a832…
04-10 13:30:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c5247…
04-10 06:54:05	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xdcea84…
04-08 16:01:11	Will BNB dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1d46e1…
04-07 11:26:57	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xba9ef2…
04-07 09:54:07	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfee993…
04-06 12:38:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x73a402…
04-06 10:20:15	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb1fa89…
04-06 07:17:31	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x54dd9a…
03-31 22:43:59	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7654b2…
03-30 20:29:27	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe66969…
03-29 21:29:26	will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c8eff…
03-29 03:06:46	aapl above 230 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882d1e…
03-28 15:34:25	will hyperliquid reach 48 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3ecb0e…
03-27 23:22:49	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xba1e79…
03-27 19:25:27	googl above 350 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa0e9cc…
03-27 00:42:07	will chainlink reach 16 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb0383d…
03-26 03:24:11	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xd94c54…
03-26 03:15:01	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9f14cd…
03-26 02:49:17	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x09fa10…
03-25 10:16:49	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ac648…
03-25 02:01:31	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe1aa9d…
03-25 00:13:49	tsla above 460 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3e132c…
03-24 20:06:27	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x78dec2…
03-24 18:19:49	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd57700…
03-24 18:01:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a2296…
03-24 06:15:23	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5fb571…
03-23 00:44:29	nvda above 230 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x466c29…
03-11 23:12:57	will zai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xabbd9d…
03-10 22:40:55	msft above 495 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x463498…
03-10 17:53:51	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x41f11f…
03-10 17:30:47	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8fe7e1…
03-10 13:23:05	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2f8e42…
03-09 16:01:59	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xf1b60a…
03-08 21:46:17	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe910f2…
03-08 14:40:31	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2674cd…
03-08 11:15:55	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3f734f…
03-08 05:35:11	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39d30c…
03-07 22:35:09	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe86eb0…
03-07 16:20:47	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc3985e…
03-07 14:55:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4f52f1…
03-07 08:09:17	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x047f6a…
03-07 01:53:51	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70fcc8…
03-06 14:38:45	nflx above 40 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xaa2008…
03-06 14:02:29	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xce484c…
03-06 10:54:21	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc59c47…
03-05 23:50:37	nflx above 60 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x81d736…
03-05 10:17:41	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0a2205…
03-05 05:38:25	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0780e5…
03-05 04:50:05	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb604d3…
03-04 21:48:01	will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfc94f6…
03-04 03:54:57	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6ae4e2…
03-04 01:36:29	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafb8bb…
03-03 16:39:37	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa9860e…
02-24 07:57:26	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd34b71…
02-24 02:37:54	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x770f14…