Interesting-Grenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	+11	$10	94¢	$11	+$1	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	+13	$10	78¢	$10	+$0	05-06 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x272b76…
05-06 05:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xe40de7…
05-06 05:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa29870…
05-06 04:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x079416…
05-06 03:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x698d93…
05-06 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbf3f64…
05-06 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1274b5…
05-06 03:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x347d5e…
05-06 02:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd0fd95…
05-06 02:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4dd722…
05-06 02:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xbf6bd5…
05-06 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xc1e3d6…
05-06 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6dce05…
05-06 01:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x58cd1c…
05-06 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4ff7cc…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x297032…
05-06 01:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xec3685…
05-06 01:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x61ec98…
05-06 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe7ef34…
05-06 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6b1385…
05-05 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xff0b75…
05-05 19:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x00f8de…
05-05 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb14081…
05-05 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x2e0188…
05-05 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8974a2…
05-04 23:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1c871f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$3.49K	172	05-06 05:35
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$2.84K	63	05-06 05:34
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	21	$520	100	05-06 05:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$11.0K	108	05-06 05:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	19	$1.99K	199	05-06 05:34
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	19	$956	81	05-06 05:34
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	19	$836	76	05-06 05:34
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	19	$688	79	05-06 05:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-06 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-06 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$7	0	11	-11	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$6	0	11	-11	Down	$-5	05-05 03:29