Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$247

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-25 03:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 29% +$24

Other

27% 38% -$4

Sports

19% 62% +$6

Politics

17% 33% -$4

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+2	$2	66¢	$2	$0	10-25 03:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$50	45	45	+0	Up	+$40	09-23 23:36
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	7	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	10-04 15:25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	10-08 14:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	10-02 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?	3	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$3	09-23 23:32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-25 03:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$6	6	3	+2	open	—	10-25 03:35
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	09-28 15:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	10-12 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	09-24 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	10-12 21:59
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$2	09-13 16:19
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	10-02 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	-$3	10-12 21:59
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	10-03 23:53
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	09-23 20:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	09-30 02:33
Spread: Packers (-7.5)	2	$3	2	2	+0	Vikings	+$1	09-13 23:53
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	10-03 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:10 UTC	2	$3	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	09-30 21:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$3	3	2	+0	open	—	10-04 07:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	21	21	+0	open	—	10-04 08:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	09-15 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 19:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	09-17 15:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	09-19 22:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	09-24 22:32
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	2	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	09-24 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	09-24 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:35:12	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xcf963a…
10-25 03:31:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x920c6a…
10-23 23:38:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x155b42…
10-19 02:53:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xc7dc73…
10-19 02:52:27	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xc34581…
10-19 02:52:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x7ba0b3…
10-14 01:27:43	Will Trudy peak at Category 4?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x99ed25…
10-14 01:21:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xa78635…
10-14 01:20:55	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x17e0a5…
10-12 21:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x9c0ffc…
10-12 21:59:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x6a7dd0…
10-12 21:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x06a3b0…
10-12 21:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 12?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x66115c…
10-12 03:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x473e80…
10-12 00:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcdf3ed…
10-12 00:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9306cb…
10-11 02:39:51	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x57a4e2…
10-10 22:29:12	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcd6fa1…
10-09 16:44:56	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xceffdb…
10-09 16:44:37	Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x600669…
10-09 04:36:40	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x944f33…
10-09 04:32:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d7410…
10-08 14:56:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x57dead…
10-08 14:50:21	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x18158b…
10-05 02:25:23	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1b9108…
10-05 02:21:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x1e62e6…
10-04 21:31:35	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in October 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x65e98e…
10-04 19:02:31	Will there be 0 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7ed46b…
10-04 15:25:59	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5c3a20…
10-04 10:03:50	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7c6b28…
10-04 09:55:40	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x48f69d…
10-04 09:54:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb2801c…
10-04 09:42:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf4b18c…
10-04 08:59:55	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd00130…
10-04 08:59:34	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x01ca97…
10-04 08:59:13	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0xb755b6…
10-04 07:00:55	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6b33e6…
10-04 07:00:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x68a850…
10-03 23:56:26	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xbf74ac…
10-03 23:53:46	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xf3e9f9…
10-03 21:08:59	f1 bahrain grand prix safety car 2026 10 04	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd5ebec…
10-03 21:05:41	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x6951c9…
10-03 05:22:54	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xdaa6cc…
10-03 05:20:39	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x2fc684…
10-02 04:52:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xba00f9…
10-02 04:51:54	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xdff8dd…
10-02 00:15:35	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x757391…
10-02 00:00:17	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9ba4da…
10-01 00:27:57	will russia capture bilytske by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xda1e67…
10-01 00:25:18	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc5ff6d…
10-01 00:17:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x41775e…
10-01 00:15:51	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x166a3c…
10-01 00:15:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd13f68…
09-30 23:42:03	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x08d342…
09-30 23:41:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7d941d…
09-30 23:40:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd212e0…
09-30 21:16:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd54399…
09-30 21:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x354eac…
09-30 21:13:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8678db…
09-30 21:11:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x487a9c…
09-30 21:00:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7e873…
09-30 20:58:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4b3629…
09-30 20:45:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18715d…
09-30 20:44:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe33812…
09-30 20:36:26	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xe89e09…
09-30 20:36:20	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x9c98cb…
09-30 20:36:12	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x715ea9…
09-30 19:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xab0a8d…
09-30 19:12:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xae90ed…
09-30 19:08:00	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xe51f5e…
09-30 19:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?	No	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x47748b…
09-30 02:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa06dd2…
09-30 02:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9ee064…
09-30 02:34:06	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x60559f…
09-30 02:33:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9f5b2c…
09-28 21:03:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc0702c…
09-28 21:02:21	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x911431…
09-28 20:59:45	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x78b6ee…
09-28 18:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0e25a…
09-28 15:04:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x3c4a22…
09-28 15:03:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04254f…
09-28 15:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x49e5ea…
09-28 15:01:12	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x6a71ad…
09-27 17:31:06	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xb8111e…
09-26 21:18:39	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x734079…
09-26 21:17:45	Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0836aa…
09-26 21:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x849f7f…
09-24 22:32:32	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xea38ae…
09-24 16:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x105c55…
09-24 14:49:15	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7a4588…
09-24 06:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x586649…
09-24 06:27:12	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe75976…
09-24 06:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 25?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x99a571…
09-24 06:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1ee25b…
09-24 05:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2902fa…
09-24 05:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf1647…
09-24 04:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd13dd6…
09-24 04:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa67459…
09-24 04:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2730fb…
09-24 04:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5151b8…