(anonymous) 0x20997b…1ac1bd
whale 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$267
Unrealized P&L
+$949
Hit rate
5.8%
Resolved
27
Trades
3,394
lifetime
Volume
$150.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$14.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-28
last 10-26 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
51% 0% -$104
Other
43% 23% -$155
Sports
4% 0% -$8
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,243 $1,003 90¢ $1.1K +$109 10-26 06:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $867 92¢ $925 +$58 10-26 03:49
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,200 $844 68¢ $822 -$22 10-26 14:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +800 $712 100¢ $796 +$84 10-23 00:21
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +799 $249 99¢ $790 +$541 10-24 17:15
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +800 $774 95¢ $763 -$11 10-25 03:43
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +603 $573 99¢ $594 +$22 10-26 03:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +600 $558 94¢ $567 +$9 10-26 18:35
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +500 $449 90¢ $452 +$3 10-26 08:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +600 $444 74¢ $447 +$3 10-23 09:39
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +600 $498 74¢ $441 -$57 10-26 16:15
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +518 $296 82¢ $425 +$129 10-25 00:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +413 $314 100¢ $413 +$99 10-25 03:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +500 $407 80¢ $402 -$4 10-26 03:13
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +400 $350 100¢ $400 +$49 10-24 15:09
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +400 $374 98¢ $394 +$20 10-24 19:25
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +400 $385 96¢ $383 -$2 10-24 02:38
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,200 $355 32¢ $378 +$23 10-26 14:10
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +400 $358 90¢ $358 +$0 10-26 20:12
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +400 $366 89¢ $356 -$10 10-23 17:19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +400 $346 88¢ $350 +$4 10-22 15:51
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +500 $347 69¢ $345 -$2 10-26 07:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +400 $328 84¢ $334 +$6 10-23 05:24
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +400 $328 78¢ $310 -$18 10-23 09:29
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +464 $381 64¢ $295 -$87 10-26 00:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $298 72¢ $286 -$12 10-26 14:29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $288 68¢ $270 -$18 10-26 10:22
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +332 $255 80¢ $267 +$12 10-26 08:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +300 $237 84¢ $254 +$16 10-25 13:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +400 $239 60¢ $242 +$3 10-26 16:52