Hateful-Collapse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$34

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-14 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 50% +$5

Politics

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+7	$3	31¢	$2	$-1	05-14 17:54
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+6	$3	36¢	$2	$-1	05-14 17:54
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	+4	$1	22¢	$1	$-0	05-14 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	05-14 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$6	0	8	-8	Down	+$6	05-13 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	05-14 18:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 17:54
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-14 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-12 19:41
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-14 18:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:42:47	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x30afe6…
05-14 21:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5cb745…
05-14 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xbf625e…
05-14 20:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd4e118…
05-14 19:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xf85a6c…
05-14 18:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xdf4cc8…
05-14 18:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xd82811…
05-14 17:54:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0d1d54…
05-14 17:54:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x004e70…
05-13 20:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x109c69…
05-12 19:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x87750b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	8	$2.62K	71	05-14 21:13
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	8	$2.25K	90	05-14 21:13
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$958	105	05-14 21:13
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	7	$609	56	05-14 21:12
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	7	$572	73	05-14 21:12
Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0	5	$594	107	05-14 21:12
Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3	4	$1.12K	61	05-14 21:09
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$729	9	05-14 20:14