Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,740

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 04-28 05:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 33% $-2,150

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	343	$1.5K	96,174	0	+96,174	No	$-1,489	04-28 05:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	38	$983	1,128	878	+250	open	—	01-30 12:21
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	40	$941	913	1,013	-100	open	—	01-27 14:34
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	78	$625	936	952	-16	open	—	03-25 21:17
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	14	$608	597	596	+0	open	—	03-25 21:25
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	38	$564	9,199	9,199	+1	open	—	03-27 13:07
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	78	$496	20,336	0	+20,336	No	$-496	03-31 17:42
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by march 31 2026	22	$406	1,408	800	+608	open	—	03-04 16:06
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	5	$399	247	247	+0	open	—	02-27 20:08
will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	53	$371	636	666	-30	open	—	03-03 02:41
nvda close above 170 on february 6 2026	1	$357	360	0	+360	open	—	02-06 16:55
will nvda reach 200 in january	5	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	01-27 15:42
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	20	$332	520	98	+422	open	—	03-07 04:50
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	33	$310	812	924	-112	open	—	03-25 21:22
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	19	$303	193	193	+0	open	—	01-27 06:35
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of february 759 378 429 713 662 579	27	$274	408	408	+0	open	—	02-03 10:15
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	7	$242	140	140	+0	open	—	01-18 16:00
spx above 6960 jan 2026	12	$238	220	220	+0	open	—	01-30 16:09
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	29	$233	263	183	+80	open	—	02-22 06:45
will the sp 500 index lose at least 2 on any day in q1	17	$230	190	138	+52	open	—	01-20 19:31
nvda above 190 on january 30 2026	16	$228	200	176	+25	open	—	01-29 16:27
will the us add between 75k and 100k jobs in january	27	$221	184	146	+38	open	—	02-02 11:16
amzn above 240 on january 30 2026	8	$199	175	175	+0	open	—	01-29 16:26
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$197	3,108	0	+3,108	No	$-197	04-11 13:54
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	34	$195	491	618	-127	Yes	+$31	03-06 23:14
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 2 and 3	25	$189	169	102	+67	open	—	03-03 02:36
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 0 and 2	17	$187	146	106	+40	open	—	03-03 11:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	54	$186	4,183	4,182	+1	open	—	03-27 06:05
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 3 and 4	29	$174	228	142	+86	open	—	03-03 11:46
will the sp 500 index gain at least 5 on any day in q1	22	$170	235	183	+52	open	—	03-06 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 05:42:34	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2b9f9f…
04-19 16:35:52	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x823d26…
04-19 16:20:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf82cbf…
04-19 16:20:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc63245…
04-19 16:20:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x611dbf…
04-19 16:20:44	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4e33ee…
04-19 13:34:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x2c4ac1…
04-18 00:53:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc74d54…
04-18 00:53:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x99a785…
04-18 00:52:52	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc03ff4…
04-18 00:52:52	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x419a05…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfef819…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe605f1…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd7b736…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xc534c2…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc3ab8d…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc13fbb…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xbe6e09…
04-18 00:52:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xa1e5dd…
04-18 00:52:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xc0080a…
04-18 00:52:40	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa07ffe…
04-18 00:52:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe818a7…
04-18 00:52:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x79de63…
04-18 00:52:38	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x50802a…
04-18 00:01:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x774ad2…
04-17 23:41:04	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xba122f…
04-17 23:41:00	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3392f1…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe27e8e…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xc0a9d6…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb174ae…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x819683…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7409ef…
04-17 23:40:58	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x288ef2…
04-17 23:40:56	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x96fe00…
04-17 23:40:56	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x254359…
04-17 23:40:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xcb4a2d…
04-17 23:40:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xafe13d…
04-17 23:40:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x695907…
04-17 23:40:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x004a84…
04-17 23:40:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x8e88ab…
04-17 23:40:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x6c3070…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf3d615…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xeee50a…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xdecb16…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdc3755…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xab6cea…
04-17 23:40:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d864d…
04-17 23:40:28	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9f1f7…
04-17 23:40:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe7e63c…
04-17 23:40:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc9787b…
04-17 23:40:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaf9d1c…
04-17 23:40:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2757be…
04-17 23:40:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x20ef76…
04-17 23:39:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x8d6156…
04-17 23:32:48	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x14b416…
04-17 23:32:26	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5ae09e…
04-17 23:32:24	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x83fb32…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb1c484…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8b5582…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x63f850…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x522d95…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x45cd7b…
04-17 23:32:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3a7104…
04-17 23:32:20	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x021207…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xed6447…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xdfc7c4…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd1db9c…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9c2bf1…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x992794…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x3cf242…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x25100d…
04-17 23:32:18	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x1171a9…
04-17 23:01:48	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0xf5efb7…
04-17 22:43:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0xb51248…
04-17 22:28:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xc6652f…
04-17 20:55:48	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x5024fd…
04-17 20:52:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0xaf8245…
04-17 20:48:08	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x791e2e…
04-17 20:40:36	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x2a71a7…
04-14 09:50:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,966	1¢	$36	0x333258…
04-14 09:34:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	28,134	1¢	$338	0x60a57f…
04-13 20:15:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x8f60ae…
04-13 15:16:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$1	0x2a41b1…
04-13 14:43:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x6dd0e8…
04-13 14:37:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	132	1¢	$2	0x33f06c…
04-13 14:30:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x2092a6…
04-13 14:21:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	99	1¢	$1	0x6a9b28…
04-13 14:13:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x23a396…
04-13 03:17:19	Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $590 in April?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x3304d2…
04-11 18:51:07	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x92fa35…
04-11 18:43:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc68614…
04-11 18:40:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$2	0x6b843d…
04-11 18:25:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1e43c3…
04-11 18:22:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	112	1¢	$2	0x5bcb9e…
04-11 16:04:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x77c3d6…
04-11 15:58:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xab6ce9…
04-11 15:56:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x1ffa7a…
04-11 15:53:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x334672…
04-11 15:47:31	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$2	0xf542b6…
04-11 15:47:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xf3d41d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	126	$14.4K	2,833	05-11 22:11
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	101	$55.8K	5,536	03-28 06:06
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	101	$2.82K	814	03-27 19:34
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	99	$5.63M	8,190	04-29 14:22
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	95	$82.5K	6,726	05-03 12:30
Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99	91	$9.38K	2,588	04-12 00:33
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	89	$5.91K	4,130	05-10 04:31
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	85	$40.1K	15,958	04-17 06:19