Opulent-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$142

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

239

Trades

7,673

lifetime

Volume

$404.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

$644

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 10-29 21:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Politics

33% 97% +$408

Crypto

28% 97% -$10,835

Other

24% 100% +$1,093

Tech

15% 89% +$132

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes		+800	$786	80¢	$644	-$142	10-29 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	95	$17.0K	17,016	0	+17,016	No	+$34	05-19 22:09
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	255	$16.3K	8,208	8,203	+5	Yes	+$24	05-30 06:25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	417	$13.6K	7,514	6,124	+1,391	Yes	+$16	05-31 15:05
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	32	$13.2K	13,359	0	+13,359	Yes	+$130	05-18 11:50
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	35	$12.7K	12,818	0	+12,818	Yes	+$162	05-11 09:01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	487	$12.5K	12,502	0	+12,502	Yes	+$13	05-09 00:04
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	72	$11.7K	14,461	12,349	+2,111	No	-$11,558	06-01 21:00
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	45	$11.0K	11,057	0	+11,057	No	+$83	04-24 19:39
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	28	$10.1K	10,176	0	+10,176	No	+$84	05-22 10:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$10	04-22 21:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	12	$9.7K	9,758	0	+9,758	No	+$10	04-25 19:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	44	$9.6K	5,249	4,449	+800	open	—	10-29 22:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	58	$9.2K	7,811	1,475	+6,337	No	+$83	04-30 11:41
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	49	$8.9K	8,977	0	+8,977	No	+$29	05-04 02:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	249	$8.5K	4,737	3,831	+906	No	+$5	05-31 14:24
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	23	$8.3K	8,367	0	+8,367	No	+$22	05-25 13:57
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	81	$7.6K	3,278	4,470	-1,191	Yes	+$26	03-14 05:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	112	$7.6K	4,068	3,568	+500	Yes	+$11	10-27 22:21
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	44	$7.6K	7,702	0	+7,702	Yes	+$114	03-23 01:14
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	111	$7.3K	3,026	4,330	-1,304	No	+$32	05-31 14:50
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	30	$7.2K	7,212	0	+7,212	No	+$31	04-22 01:54
nothing ever happens microstrategy	295	$6.6K	7,190	0	+7,190	No	+$579	03-14 13:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	205	$5.6K	5,639	0	+5,639	No	+$40	05-28 19:29
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	94	$5.0K	1,932	3,104	-1,172	No	+$5	03-22 18:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	56	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	04-27 19:17
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	21	$4.4K	2,622	2,412	+209	Yes	-$199	05-15 18:54
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	41	$4.4K	4,443	0	+4,443	No	+$5	03-04 16:35
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	89	$4.3K	2,830	1,549	+1,281	Yes	-$9	03-30 22:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	12	$4.3K	4,406	0	+4,406	Yes	+$130	04-13 08:21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	26	$4.2K	2,131	2,131	+0	No	+$1	10-26 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:11:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x21e10a…
10-29 21:41:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3de9ed…
10-29 17:31:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xfee013…
10-29 17:27:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xb1165c…
10-29 17:12:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xad7422…
10-29 15:00:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xa66b25…
10-29 13:44:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xe91438…
10-29 13:06:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	788	100¢	$785	0x9ae985…
10-29 11:41:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x2c276a…
10-29 11:37:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x801a5a…
10-29 10:37:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	505	100¢	$502	0x6c425f…
10-29 09:13:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xe777af…
10-29 09:06:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	643	100¢	$641	0xe9fcd2…
10-29 08:37:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	643	100¢	$640	0xeca99a…
10-29 07:55:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	753	100¢	$750	0x7d8067…
10-29 07:45:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xa1fe4d…
10-29 07:44:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x522052…
10-29 07:43:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x36afcc…
10-28 21:39:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	788	99¢	$782	0xfcceae…
10-28 20:12:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	788	100¢	$785	0x81d947…
10-28 17:55:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	341	99¢	$338	0x259a58…
10-28 17:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0x467151…
10-28 17:00:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0c009a…
10-28 16:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x8dbddd…
10-28 16:37:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x40a6c5…
10-28 16:36:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x65a82a…
10-28 16:35:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a9b13…
10-28 16:28:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x575793…
10-28 16:26:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xbadb85…
10-28 15:56:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	788	99¢	$780	0xe3b32f…
10-28 13:13:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	704	99¢	$694	0x8b1189…
10-28 13:09:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5cc439…
10-28 13:08:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xbbe472…
10-28 11:14:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	235	99¢	$231	0xa8d52d…
10-28 10:55:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	159	99¢	$157	0x9bc399…
10-28 10:49:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0xfd0c81…
10-28 10:48:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	127	98¢	$125	0x2d0fdc…
10-28 10:22:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	285	99¢	$281	0xfd4743…
10-28 10:17:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcaf8e2…
10-28 10:02:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$56	0x01b5ef…
10-28 09:11:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xda005c…
10-28 08:40:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc273ea…
10-27 22:21:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xae1966…
10-27 20:09:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x2d12ee…
10-27 17:56:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x433f85…
10-27 16:06:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x8c0f93…
10-27 14:44:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9eb79d…
10-27 09:31:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1ff732…
10-27 08:20:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdee81b…
10-27 08:07:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	606	100¢	$605	0x16b04f…
10-27 07:57:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9fcb9c…
10-27 07:49:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x62daa4…
10-27 07:37:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe8edbc…
10-27 05:06:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0x62d8ec…
10-27 04:55:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xbfc075…
10-27 04:44:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xb7cc0e…
10-27 04:01:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x77584e…
10-27 03:52:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	760	100¢	$758	0x86c197…
10-27 03:37:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xc5250c…
10-27 03:37:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x403412…
10-27 03:00:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	692	100¢	$691	0x950d33…
10-27 01:19:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x5b23f6…
10-26 20:55:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	544	100¢	$541	0x4819b1…
10-26 20:50:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xc18020…
10-26 19:31:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x724168…
10-26 15:56:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c4d1e…
10-26 15:47:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xf981f0…
10-26 15:47:02	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x015065…
10-26 15:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xe4eec0…
10-26 15:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xd2fb6e…
10-26 15:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xbc7c45…
10-26 15:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	68	94¢	$64	0x2c9683…
10-26 15:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x67f2fe…
10-26 15:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x76e620…
10-26 15:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb202f7…
10-26 15:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd7a4c5…
10-26 15:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x376863…
10-26 15:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	134	84¢	$112	0xf4a954…
10-26 14:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x5e0df6…
10-26 14:44:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x767b8e…
10-26 14:44:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xab399f…
10-26 14:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x648ef4…
10-26 14:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	382	100¢	$381	0xc2d512…
10-26 14:16:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	382	100¢	$380	0x9f2320…
10-26 14:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x18b3c6…
10-26 14:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x43f788…
10-26 13:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x1331a5…
10-26 13:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x0cf024…
10-26 13:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x0ad202…
10-26 13:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7fab59…
10-26 13:46:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x3f6870…
10-26 13:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x20d8df…
10-26 13:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x4d69e8…
10-26 12:39:11	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x30cae7…
10-26 12:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xcd2db2…
10-26 09:55:47	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xab7df9…
10-26 09:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x50ade0…
10-26 08:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x32aff4…
10-26 08:53:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$95	0xc078d3…
10-26 08:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	349	99¢	$346	0x585641…