Opulent-Meteorology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$163

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,514

lifetime

Volume

$287.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-01 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

35% 100% +$1

Crypto

35% 100% +$162

Other

23% — —

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	95	$17.0K	17,016	0	+17,016	open	—	05-19 22:09
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	32	$13.2K	13,359	0	+13,359	open	—	05-18 11:50
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	35	$12.7K	12,818	0	+12,818	Yes	+$162	05-11 09:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	45	$11.0K	11,057	0	+11,057	open	—	04-24 19:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-22 21:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	12	$9.7K	9,758	0	+9,758	open	—	04-25 19:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	27	$9.3K	9,426	0	+9,426	open	—	05-22 10:29
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	49	$8.9K	8,977	0	+8,977	open	—	05-04 02:46
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	66	$7.8K	9,799	12,349	-2,550	open	—	06-01 21:00
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	81	$7.6K	3,278	4,470	-1,191	open	—	03-14 05:32
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	44	$7.6K	7,702	0	+7,702	open	—	03-23 01:14
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	22	$7.5K	7,467	0	+7,467	open	—	05-25 13:57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	10	$7.3K	7,365	0	+7,365	open	—	04-27 18:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	30	$7.2K	7,212	0	+7,212	open	—	04-22 01:54
nothing ever happens microstrategy	295	$6.6K	7,190	0	+7,190	open	—	03-14 13:42
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	94	$5.0K	1,932	3,104	-1,172	open	—	03-22 18:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	56	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-27 19:17
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	22	$4.5K	2,393	2,125	+269	open	—	05-31 14:50
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	21	$4.4K	2,622	2,412	+209	open	—	05-15 18:54
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	41	$4.4K	4,443	0	+4,443	open	—	03-04 16:35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	161	$4.4K	4,428	0	+4,428	open	—	05-28 19:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	89	$4.3K	2,830	1,549	+1,281	open	—	03-30 22:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	12	$4.3K	4,406	0	+4,406	open	—	04-13 08:21
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	46	$4.2K	4,328	0	+4,328	open	—	04-19 20:48
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?	28	$4.2K	4,195	0	+4,195	open	—	04-27 11:58
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	11	$3.9K	3,875	0	+3,875	open	—	03-08 16:55
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	16	$3.6K	3,671	0	+3,671	open	—	04-05 16:49
will seguro win all of portugals districts	89	$3.5K	3,676	0	+3,676	open	—	02-15 17:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	69	$3.4K	3,362	0	+3,362	open	—	03-02 23:08
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	33	$3.2K	3,208	0	+3,208	open	—	03-07 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 21:00:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xab1ca1…
06-01 13:21:31	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x408727…
06-01 13:20:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	1,075	0¢	$2	0x3b0755…
06-01 13:13:08	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x0446e8…
06-01 13:12:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xc0d288…
06-01 13:08:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x3829c1…
06-01 13:06:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	905	0¢	$2	0x8ebad4…
06-01 13:04:13	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	0¢	$2	0xdd02f4…
06-01 13:01:56	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x335386…
06-01 12:56:52	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0x71ba08…
06-01 12:54:37	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	641	1¢	$6	0xf809dc…
06-01 12:52:33	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0xe28264…
06-01 12:48:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0x35843b…
06-01 12:46:55	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	519	1¢	$5	0xa4090a…
06-01 12:46:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	139	1¢	$1	0x103b30…
06-01 12:42:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	432	1¢	$5	0x08e2dd…
06-01 12:42:33	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0x6e4a2d…
06-01 12:39:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0x4a5ca5…
06-01 12:37:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$9	0xc8e8e6…
06-01 12:36:55	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x22309c…
06-01 12:31:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$3	0xffdef2…
06-01 12:31:07	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	361	1¢	$4	0x0b20ac…
06-01 12:30:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x32409f…
05-31 22:49:13	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	34	66¢	$22	0x3a298c…
05-31 22:47:55	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0xda0cdd…
05-31 22:46:43	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	738	66¢	$489	0x010d60…
05-31 22:43:55	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	178	62¢	$111	0xd11adb…
05-31 22:40:53	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	2,221	44¢	$975	0x3c7cab…
05-31 22:11:59	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	983	75¢	$740	0x73a667…
05-31 20:23:01	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf2a1a0…
05-31 20:23:01	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xad468d…
05-31 19:43:05	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	2,418	97¢	$2,340	0x4a67fb…
05-31 18:54:35	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xbf726f…
05-31 18:51:33	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0xd6e302…
05-31 18:47:33	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x73dec9…
05-31 18:30:20	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x8f04f1…
05-31 18:21:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	320	97¢	$310	0x71c761…
05-31 17:51:31	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9ad15b…
05-31 17:46:25	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0x37d2f0…
05-31 17:42:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x36fb7b…
05-31 17:35:29	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0x5acd91…
05-31 17:33:30	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x2bb879…
05-31 17:30:29	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x14fe8f…
05-31 17:26:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x425337…
05-31 17:24:31	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x5167b7…
05-31 17:20:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x036185…
05-31 17:19:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x15f35c…
05-31 17:15:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xba7f43…
05-31 17:14:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xe6a222…
05-31 17:13:29	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf2ac46…
05-31 17:11:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	48	96¢	$47	0x8e49d2…
05-31 17:09:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xe9c9ab…
05-31 17:08:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x15cb11…
05-31 17:07:29	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xfd394b…
05-31 17:06:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xad45a2…
05-31 17:00:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0x531a0b…
05-31 16:51:03	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x488298…
05-31 16:51:00	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	198	96¢	$190	0xcfcc3f…
05-31 16:32:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0x44c8de…
05-31 16:32:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	17	95¢	$17	0x74d1a6…
05-31 14:50:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xdc8ac5…
05-31 13:41:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdca195…
05-31 13:36:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x9ea5a5…
05-31 13:35:35	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x00a45e…
05-31 13:32:49	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdc4c90…
05-31 13:32:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x933162…
05-31 13:30:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x924f18…
05-31 13:29:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xc31734…
05-31 13:29:12	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x10d7d5…
05-31 13:28:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x95f6df…
05-31 13:28:05	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0xcc7ca7…
05-31 13:21:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5900ed…
05-31 13:20:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	196	93¢	$182	0x5977e0…
05-31 13:18:15	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	194	92¢	$178	0x851674…
05-31 13:16:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xdef4cf…
05-31 13:16:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0xb30cd2…
05-31 04:24:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb556d…
05-31 04:24:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc31276…
05-31 03:28:23	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x60b76a…
05-31 03:27:48	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	360	100¢	$359	0x365d6e…
05-31 03:27:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd635cb…
05-31 03:27:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x337e40…
05-31 03:27:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	674	100¢	$673	0x30899a…
05-31 03:27:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x2bee21…
05-29 14:53:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce02fb…
05-29 14:53:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1a5040…
05-29 11:06:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x138558…
05-29 09:07:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$593	0x0ac0ce…
05-28 19:29:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cd29e…
05-28 19:29:11	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe580fe…
05-28 19:27:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e07b6…
05-28 19:24:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2ce738…
05-28 19:21:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9ebf9f…
05-28 19:17:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x54a8e8…
05-28 19:15:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18f8ed…
05-28 19:14:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6e7b2e…
05-28 19:10:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x331de8…
05-28 19:08:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ded7d…
05-28 19:05:03	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb71d1d…
05-28 19:01:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb2db02…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	93	$476.4K	8,100	05-31 20:40
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	83	$68.2K	545	05-29 21:27
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	80	$12.9K	3,256	05-30 12:07
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	78	$103.4K	9,125	03-28 06:08
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	71	$10.8M	13,558	05-28 12:56
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	71	$200.9K	1,147	05-25 23:35
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	70	$357.7K	3,905	05-24 17:11
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	70	$34.1K	14,652	04-16 15:35