(anonymous) 0x20f97f…554cdb
cold 5L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$20.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
22.4%
Resolved
237
Trades
1,293
lifetime
Volume
$33.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$1.72K
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-26 19:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
53% 64% -$7,806
Politics
28% 40% -$7,276
Sports
20% 60% -$5,136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 594 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +63,773 $576 1¢ $542 -$34 10-26 18:06
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +155 $150 99¢ $153 +$3 10-25 23:36
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +153 $150 100¢ $153 +$3 10-25 21:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +161 $150 94¢ $152 +$2 10-25 21:25
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +155 $150 97¢ $150 +$0 10-25 22:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +158 $150 94¢ $149 -$1 10-25 21:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +150 $147 99¢ $148 +$2 10-25 21:25
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +160 $150 92¢ $146 -$4 10-25 21:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +23,574 $136 0¢ $59 -$77 10-23 13:27
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +21 $12 55¢ $12 $0 10-21 02:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +20 $11 55¢ $11 +$1 10-21 12:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +20 $9 46¢ $9 $0 10-21 08:01
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $7 40¢ $8 +$1 10-20 20:39
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +10 $6 68¢ $7 +$1 10-20 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 10-21 12:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $0 10-21 07:40
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $5 16¢ $3 -$1 10-20 17:21
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $4 32¢ $3 -$1 10-20 17:33