Junior-Supply — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$292

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-06 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 100% +$35

Other

36% 93% -$80

Tech

12% 100% +$16

Politics

5% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$1.8K	911	911	-0	No	+$3	06-30 14:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$1.6K	828	826	+1	No	+$15	04-27 13:01
will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	3	$1.6K	812	812	+0	No	+$4	03-27 02:33
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$1.6K	809	809	+0	No	+$3	03-21 15:35
trump out as president by march 31	2	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	+$9	03-19 01:37
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	2	$1.6K	795	795	+0	No	+$6	03-13 14:50
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	2	$1.4K	724	724	+0	No	+$52	06-21 22:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	2	$1.3K	673	673	+0	Yes	+$5	06-12 16:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$1.3K	674	674	+0	Yes	+$16	06-06 16:04
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$1.1K	750	750	+0	open	—	08-26 00:55
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	2	$1.0K	517	517	+0	Yes	+$1	03-11 14:41
bitcoin above 78k on march 11	3	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$1	03-11 00:53
will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	2	$1.0K	514	514	+0	No	+$1	03-09 02:12
will bitcoin reach 77000 on march 6	4	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	+$1	03-06 18:54
xrp above 1pt1 on march 5	3	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$2	03-04 19:45
xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	4	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$1	03-03 21:15
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	12	$1.0K	509	508	+0	No	+$1	02-25 13:48
xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	4	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$3	02-10 22:19
bitcoin above 78k on february 10	3	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$1	02-10 01:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$824	826	0	+826	No	+$2	04-28 04:04
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 13	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$2	02-12 19:57
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on february 10	7	$659	330	330	+0	No	+$1	02-09 01:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	3	$651	569	569	+0	open	—	10-06 00:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$604	307	307	+0	No	+$7	05-24 21:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$582	293	293	+0	No	+$2	06-10 06:47
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$543	273	272	+0	Yes	+$1	03-12 09:13
bitcoin above 78k on march 12	3	$542	272	272	+0	No	+$0	03-11 13:51
will solana reach 120 february 9 15	1	$504	507	0	+507	No	+$3	02-13 09:46
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	1	$370	371	0	+371	No	+$1	02-26 08:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$366	186	186	+0	No	+$4	06-23 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 00:23:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	291	81¢	$236	0x7eca0f…
10-06 00:22:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	410	43¢	$176	0xd6bc49…
10-06 00:22:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	159	41¢	$65	0x7894ca…
08-26 00:55:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	569	72¢	$410	0x2d6557…
08-26 00:55:15	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xd16009…
08-26 00:55:09	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	54¢	$405	0xd31d17…
07-13 00:25:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	410	55¢	$227	0xe416dd…
07-11 23:39:13	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x14b579…
07-04 12:54:23	Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	233	98¢	$228	0xb2905d…
07-04 12:53:40	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xc9fcde…
07-04 12:52:40	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	87¢	$652	0x64111c…
06-30 14:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x1d4121…
06-30 12:24:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xe6c315…
06-30 11:52:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	634	100¢	$633	0x90f72b…
06-24 12:17:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	911	100¢	$907	0xf859ce…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$185	0xba0072…
06-21 22:39:14	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	724	100¢	$721	0xee8ce8…
06-16 11:54:04	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	724	92¢	$669	0xdc56a9…
06-12 16:19:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	673	100¢	$672	0xa7aca9…
06-10 14:59:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	673	99¢	$666	0xdb8f0a…
06-10 06:47:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0xad2070…
06-06 16:04:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	379	99¢	$375	0x03c8e0…
05-30 11:46:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$181	0xd3a8f8…
05-24 21:16:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$180	0x868199…
05-18 14:14:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0x70a832…
05-15 13:51:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0x21d274…
05-15 11:28:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0xf7b100…
05-15 11:28:17	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x4c10e7…
05-09 07:17:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x0a2a9e…
05-08 14:48:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	127	97¢	$123	0xff17ab…
05-05 12:52:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	674	96¢	$647	0x531f75…
05-05 12:52:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	181	98¢	$177	0x2667f1…
04-28 04:04:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	826	100¢	$824	0x475aab…
04-27 13:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xe3207e…
04-27 12:47:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x525e89…
04-27 12:39:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x375d5a…
04-27 12:37:42	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xac1411…
04-27 12:37:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x9ef7c1…
04-27 12:36:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x634749…
04-27 11:31:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$698	0xde4d6d…
04-07 01:47:49	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	828	98¢	$810	0xf21288…
03-27 02:33:49	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xb82364…
03-27 01:14:41	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	SELL	613	100¢	$612	0x296b05…
03-21 15:36:15	will gold gc hit high 5800 by end of march	No	BUY	812	99¢	$806	0x3d5622…
03-21 15:35:37	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	809	100¢	$806	0x5d4b64…
03-19 01:38:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	809	99¢	$803	0xe320f6…
03-19 01:37:53	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	807	99¢	$802	0xa99421…
03-14 00:37:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	807	98¢	$794	0xf2b818…
03-13 14:50:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	SELL	795	100¢	$794	0x18799c…
03-12 09:14:23	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	No	BUY	795	99¢	$788	0x01ef58…
03-12 09:13:29	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0x619776…
03-11 14:41:49	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	SELL	517	100¢	$516	0x3d6cdf…
03-11 14:10:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$271	0xc8adb9…
03-11 13:51:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 12	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x9b9002…
03-11 13:45:03	bitcoin above 78k on march 12	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x91d4db…
03-11 12:30:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 12	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0xf10af6…
03-11 12:29:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	517	100¢	$515	0x7ec5dd…
03-11 00:53:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 11	No	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x4a3586…
03-11 00:53:07	bitcoin above 78k on march 11	No	SELL	284	100¢	$284	0x98d0d2…
03-10 13:44:17	bitcoin above 78k on march 11	No	BUY	515	100¢	$513	0x9f6a27…
03-09 02:12:29	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	SELL	514	100¢	$513	0xc46d59…
03-08 15:59:13	will bitcoin dip to 61500 on march 8	No	BUY	514	100¢	$512	0x5447ad…
03-06 18:54:05	will bitcoin reach 77000 on march 6	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x7e0a66…
03-06 18:52:31	will bitcoin reach 77000 on march 6	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xf3d31c…
03-06 18:35:51	will bitcoin reach 77000 on march 6	No	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x32f44c…
03-06 15:26:41	will bitcoin reach 77000 on march 6	No	BUY	513	100¢	$511	0x2cec36…
03-04 19:45:59	xrp above 1pt1 on march 5	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xd670f2…
03-04 19:41:45	xrp above 1pt1 on march 5	Yes	SELL	434	100¢	$433	0xfeec67…
03-04 05:45:25	xrp above 1pt1 on march 5	Yes	BUY	512	99¢	$509	0x4dcd63…
03-03 21:15:21	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	SELL	426	100¢	$426	0x588cf8…
03-03 21:12:47	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa4a948…
03-03 21:10:59	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x3bd8d1…
03-03 09:17:25	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0xe5daa9…
02-26 08:17:10	will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x28eeee…
02-26 08:16:58	will silver si settle over 55 on the final trading day of february 2026	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0xa5589e…
02-25 13:48:22	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5fa088…
02-25 13:44:04	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x5c8d13…
02-25 13:43:14	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x5646e8…
02-25 13:41:02	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe538e4…
02-25 13:39:34	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6f48f4…
02-25 13:36:12	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x276399…
02-25 13:34:20	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x48b8bf…
02-25 13:33:12	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xe4e490…
02-25 13:32:52	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x6ca508…
02-25 13:32:32	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x97e7a0…
02-25 13:25:42	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xb4a072…
02-19 14:42:46	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	509	100¢	$507	0xb2a380…
02-13 09:46:01	will solana reach 120 february 9 15	No	BUY	507	99¢	$504	0x595141…
02-12 19:57:21	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 13	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xf332a5…
02-11 09:55:43	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on february 11	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x511404…
02-11 07:35:13	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on february 11	No	BUY	104	99¢	$104	0x0a6056…
02-11 07:34:15	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 13	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x308d73…
02-10 22:19:27	xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f0242…
02-10 21:53:55	xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2f2feb…
02-10 21:21:13	xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	No	SELL	478	100¢	$477	0x068ed4…
02-10 14:51:09	xrp above 1pt7 on february 11	No	BUY	503	99¢	$499	0x1d1ad4…
02-10 01:43:23	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	No	SELL	359	100¢	$359	0xb5c7d3…
02-10 01:43:15	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x43b28f…
02-09 14:02:25	bitcoin above 78k on february 10	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x21ba04…
02-09 01:05:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 86000 on february 10	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xb9c442…