Realized P&L
+$14.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.1K
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
205
Trades
2,640
lifetime
Volume
$599.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$50.8K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-10 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
71% 64% +$17,975
Politics
25% 73% -$1,038
Tech
4% 78% -$2,078
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +17,205 $4,862 98¢ $16.8K +$11,964 09-30 09:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +15,022 $3,458 98¢ $14.8K +$11,293 09-30 12:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $9,300 92¢ $9.2K -$50 09-27 18:56
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $6,300 66¢ $6.7K +$350 09-27 18:56
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,622 $578 98¢ $1.6K +$1,013 09-28 15:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,310 $498 68¢ $897 +$400 05-31 09:11
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +625 $331 94¢ $585 +$253 07-07 12:37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,000 $318 11¢ $211 -$107 05-31 14:56
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +200 $73 38¢ $76 +$3 10-07 10:14
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -19 -$3 11¢ $-2 +$1 10-10 17:18