Parched-Surge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

222

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-08 07:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 70% $-4

Other

9% 8% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774276500	1	$81	87	0	+87	open	—	03-23 14:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$74	41	41	+0	No	$-1	05-05 23:27
btc updown 5m 1776221100	7	$69	64	48	+16	open	—	04-15 02:49
btc updown 5m 1776171900	4	$49	35	34	+1	open	—	04-14 13:07
btc updown 5m 1776215400	5	$46	43	29	+14	open	—	04-15 01:13
btc updown 5m 1776228300	5	$43	41	25	+15	open	—	04-15 04:48
btc updown 5m 1776230700	5	$42	36	24	+12	open	—	04-15 05:27
btc updown 5m 1776219600	4	$40	28	28	+1	open	—	04-15 02:24
btc updown 5m 1776231900	4	$40	28	27	+1	open	—	04-15 05:49
btc updown 5m 1776175500	3	$38	46	19	+27	open	—	04-14 14:06
btc updown 5m 1776218700	4	$37	26	25	+1	open	—	04-15 02:08
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	6	$37	33	17	+17	No	+$4	05-06 08:25
btc updown 5m 1774573200	2	$37	72	0	+72	open	—	03-27 01:04
btc updown 5m 1776215700	4	$36	25	24	+1	open	—	04-15 01:18
btc updown 5m 1776222900	4	$35	28	28	+1	open	—	04-15 03:18
btc updown 5m 1775784300	1	$35	265	0	+265	open	—	04-10 01:29
btc updown 5m 1775781600	1	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	04-10 00:44
btc updown 5m 1776210600	3	$29	25	13	+12	open	—	04-14 23:52
btc updown 5m 1776197100	3	$29	34	17	+17	open	—	04-14 20:07
btc updown 5m 1776172200	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 13:11
btc updown 5m 1776239700	4	$27	26	23	+4	open	—	04-15 07:57
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	4	$25	17	17	+0	No	+$2	05-07 17:48
btc updown 5m 1776191700	2	$25	18	17	+0	open	—	04-14 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776180300	2	$24	21	20	+1	open	—	04-14 15:28
btc updown 5m 1776174300	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-14 13:49
btc updown 5m 1774570500	1	$24	68	0	+68	open	—	03-27 00:19
btc updown 5m 1776295200	3	$23	19	10	+9	open	—	04-15 23:24
btc updown 5m 1776297300	4	$22	28	9	+19	open	—	04-15 23:58
btc updown 5m 1776236700	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 07:07
btc updown 5m 1776234000	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-15 06:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:14:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x4f4c18…
05-07 17:48:49	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xed4c72…
05-07 17:48:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x7c9bcf…
05-07 17:48:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9b8afb…
05-07 09:26:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd78e85…
05-06 22:59:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xabb7b4…
05-06 22:59:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x37ce41…
05-06 16:38:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xa969a3…
05-06 16:38:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x9c98bd…
05-06 13:50:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xd0c2cd…
05-06 13:50:08	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x50ea07…
05-06 13:40:20	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x809b60…
05-06 13:40:10	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $272 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x7246d7…
05-06 10:16:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x057068…
05-06 09:49:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd09271…
05-06 09:49:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x164060…
05-06 09:15:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xd9189b…
05-06 09:15:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x403d75…
05-06 09:14:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $735 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xf1861c…
05-06 09:14:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x03c354…
05-06 09:14:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x996430…
05-06 09:14:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xc48e53…
05-06 09:14:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x9a4d0f…
05-06 09:01:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x336de2…
05-06 09:01:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x369f31…
05-06 08:55:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x07519b…
05-06 08:55:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x89567e…
05-06 08:55:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x07e8f0…
05-06 08:55:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x246098…
05-06 08:55:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x0ed53b…
05-06 08:45:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x318da7…
05-06 08:25:04	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xbdc488…
05-06 08:24:54	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xaf0fcf…
05-06 08:24:52	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xfda413…
05-06 08:24:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8c9834…
05-06 08:24:28	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xddf98e…
05-06 08:24:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x56ea7b…
05-06 08:24:22	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x923623…
05-06 08:24:12	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xd07a34…
05-06 08:24:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x631e29…
05-06 08:24:04	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3f8d4d…
05-06 08:24:02	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x19585d…
05-06 08:23:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x81645c…
05-06 08:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe97706…
05-06 08:07:30	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xa1100f…
05-06 08:07:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0x05f6d3…
05-05 23:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0xd1a785…
05-05 23:27:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xd7047b…
05-05 23:27:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x2605d5…
05-05 23:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0xbc5309…
05-05 23:15:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x7fee46…
05-05 23:15:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x1ced03…
05-05 23:15:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x4f7b92…
05-05 23:15:16	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9c025a…
04-15 23:58:14	btc updown 5m 1776297300	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xc7a43d…
04-15 23:57:14	btc updown 5m 1776297300	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x7ed54a…
04-15 23:57:04	btc updown 5m 1776297300	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xf7a0d1…
04-15 23:56:42	btc updown 5m 1776297300	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x10ac58…
04-15 23:42:32	btc updown 5m 1776296400	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb050a7…
04-15 23:42:10	btc updown 5m 1776296400	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc71b0f…
04-15 23:41:12	btc updown 5m 1776296400	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x60ab26…
04-15 23:24:36	btc updown 5m 1776295200	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x52f2d3…
04-15 23:24:26	btc updown 5m 1776295200	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x232ce8…
04-15 23:23:52	btc updown 5m 1776295200	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x14019a…
04-15 23:14:04	btc updown 5m 1776294600	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x2366ea…
04-15 23:13:00	btc updown 5m 1776294600	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x25ff25…
04-15 22:17:22	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x949faa…
04-15 22:16:38	btc updown 5m 1776291300	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x440f3a…
04-15 21:21:28	btc updown 5m 1776288000	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xdddf8a…
04-15 21:21:10	btc updown 5m 1776288000	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x967cf1…
04-15 19:59:44	btc updown 5m 1776282900	Down	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0x9f1da5…
04-15 19:58:20	btc updown 5m 1776282900	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x787eb7…
04-15 18:38:00	btc updown 5m 1776278100	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xf5e27b…
04-15 18:37:22	btc updown 5m 1776278100	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xad5623…
04-15 17:59:32	btc updown 5m 1776275700	Down	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0x3f4d94…
04-15 17:57:50	btc updown 5m 1776275700	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xa8bed6…
04-15 17:18:48	btc updown 5m 1776273300	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x56902c…
04-15 17:18:18	btc updown 5m 1776273300	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x808d31…
04-15 17:17:42	btc updown 5m 1776273300	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$5	0x15ca1e…
04-15 17:12:44	btc updown 5m 1776273000	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3c5da9…
04-15 16:29:02	btc updown 5m 1776270300	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xe3ab1f…
04-15 16:14:34	btc updown 5m 1776269400	Down	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x4b78ca…
04-15 16:13:22	btc updown 5m 1776269400	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xdd5d61…
04-15 16:13:04	btc updown 5m 1776269400	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd2b6b4…
04-15 16:08:22	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$4	0xdd8144…
04-15 16:07:46	btc updown 5m 1776269100	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd0b7aa…
04-15 15:59:40	btc updown 5m 1776268500	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x22fcb6…
04-15 15:58:18	btc updown 5m 1776268500	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8054b9…
04-15 15:29:10	btc updown 5m 1776266700	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x3f772a…
04-15 15:28:42	btc updown 5m 1776266700	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x92e032…
04-15 14:59:44	btc updown 5m 1776264900	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x3dc98d…
04-15 14:59:38	btc updown 5m 1776264900	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xa0a337…
04-15 14:59:00	btc updown 5m 1776264900	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xae2185…
04-15 13:17:46	btc updown 5m 1776258900	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xbe5ba9…
04-15 13:17:06	btc updown 5m 1776258900	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x86cd3a…
04-15 13:02:30	btc updown 5m 1776258000	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1aba98…
04-15 13:01:34	btc updown 5m 1776258000	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x9808e5…
04-15 10:27:28	btc updown 5m 1776248700	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xa2487d…
04-15 10:26:30	btc updown 5m 1776248700	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc2df51…
04-15 09:54:16	btc updown 5m 1776246600	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x59b60d…