Parched-Surge 0x212fd2…7e7870 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$186
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
31.5%
Resolved
106
Trades
1,362
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.25K
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 10-26 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
49% 60% +$13
Other
36% 8% -$75
Crypto
11% 60% -$124
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 330 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +590 $465 87¢ $516 +$51 10-26 10:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +391 $314 90¢ $350 +$36 10-26 05:30
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +165 $124 76¢ $124 $0 10-25 19:40
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +593 $125 13¢ $74 -$51 10-26 09:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +60 $45 98¢ $59 +$14 10-26 08:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +451 $88 11¢ $47 -$41 10-26 06:08
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +163 $42 24¢ $40 -$2 10-25 11:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +34 $30 90¢ $31 +$1 10-24 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +54 $6 10¢ $5 -$1 10-25 15:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $20 2¢ $2 -$18 10-25 19:48