Luminous-Shrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,438

lifetime

Volume

$50.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 07-22 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 12% $-54

Politics

22% — —

Sports

13% — —

Crypto

6% 56% +$27

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$28	16¢	$16	$-12	07-20 04:38
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes		+6	$3	20¢	$1	$-2	06-13 05:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	38	$1.8K	2,000	1,870	+130	open	—	05-22 06:00
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	2	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-01 07:54
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-25 04:55
Cervia: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Guido Justo	16	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 05:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	15	$1.1K	768	768	+0	open	—	05-24 20:19
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)	12	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-25 05:05
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	12	$1.0K	1,000	959	+41	open	—	05-26 19:48
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 06:56
Sporting Kansas City vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-23 23:24
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	4	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-25 06:53
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jong	2	$963	830	830	+0	open	—	05-25 08:06
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	2	$960	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 06:59
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Benjamin Hassan	2	$820	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-20 05:17
cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	2	$770	500	500	+0	open	—	06-13 08:30
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry	2	$720	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-01 07:05
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien	3	$700	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-26 05:57
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	2	$690	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 19:18
cs2 g2 m80 2026 06 06	14	$682	500	500	+0	open	—	06-05 22:01
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	5	$680	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 00:02
lol sly gal 2026 06 15	10	$675	500	492	+8	open	—	06-15 06:10
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	8	$658	500	500	+0	open	—	05-26 09:43
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	2	$625	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 16:18
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	2	$620	500	500	+0	open	—	05-20 07:03
cs2 aur1 ts7 2026 06 12 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$620	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 07:28
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	8	$603	485	485	+0	open	—	06-10 18:37
cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$600	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 08:09
lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game3	2	$585	500	500	+0	open	—	06-15 15:30
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	2	$565	500	500	+0	open	—	07-19 17:35
val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	2	$560	500	500	+0	open	—	06-08 07:37
lol sly gal 2026 06 15 game2	2	$560	500	500	+0	open	—	06-15 15:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 19:52:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	203	53¢	$108	0xced9bf…
07-22 19:44:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0x85aac7…
07-22 19:39:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xa92b80…
07-22 19:26:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x3d466d…
07-22 19:19:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8aa8cf…
07-22 19:19:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x4f354a…
07-22 19:17:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xf877fd…
07-22 19:17:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x2b6f16…
07-22 18:59:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x9f8371…
07-22 18:58:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xe21774…
07-22 18:58:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0xd2da55…
07-22 18:27:22	val fpx edg1 2026 07 23 map handicap home 1pt5	EDward Gaming	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0xa7358a…
07-20 04:38:06	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa71096…
07-20 04:33:18	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x2eb91c…
07-20 04:25:10	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	60	15¢	$9	0xbfee1f…
07-20 03:24:24	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x4362c9…
07-20 02:16:21	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x197a5d…
07-20 01:09:49	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x845a96…
07-20 00:28:37	btc updown 5m 1784507100	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x166702…
07-20 00:23:19	btc updown 5m 1784507100	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5c1fae…
07-19 22:02:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0xab48b6…
07-19 17:35:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	500	56¢	$280	0x907ec4…
07-19 17:31:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	300	62¢	$185	0xefc941…
07-19 17:31:18	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0x863a2a…
07-19 17:27:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x32a4be…
07-19 15:52:19	val vit bbl1 2026 07 19 game1	BBL Esports	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x382682…
07-19 13:41:39	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x3bf416…
07-19 11:42:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x027ecd…
07-19 10:30:21	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19 game handicap home 1pt5	Gen.G	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0xc67620…
07-19 10:30:21	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19 game handicap home 1pt5	Gen.G	SELL	411	34¢	$140	0x060ccc…
07-19 08:17:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x045cc7…
07-19 08:08:01	val vit bbl1 2026 07 19 game1	BBL Esports	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x3624d6…
07-19 07:56:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x2a82ae…
07-19 06:58:21	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x8a449b…
07-19 06:44:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xc7a7cf…
07-19 04:54:16	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xde3837…
07-19 04:38:40	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19 game handicap home 1pt5	Gen.G	BUY	427	34¢	$145	0x8cf2b6…
07-19 03:10:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0xdc4051…
07-19 03:10:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x77828c…
07-19 03:08:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xceb84e…
07-19 02:24:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xbe5eac…
07-19 02:24:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xbb5bb5…
07-19 01:59:43	val vit bbl1 2026 07 19	Team Vitality	SELL	35	56¢	$20	0xc55c15…
07-19 01:59:39	val vit bbl1 2026 07 19	Team Vitality	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xee6c2c…
07-19 00:34:06	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	29	46¢	$13	0xd8163a…
07-19 00:33:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf3ee2b…
07-19 00:32:52	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf799f9…
07-19 00:32:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xaa12a3…
07-19 00:32:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x6b7ff7…
07-19 00:32:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2d8be8…
07-14 18:40:05	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	82	42¢	$34	0xd54271…
07-14 18:32:13	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x819a36…
07-14 18:32:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xce0f7b…
07-14 18:32:08	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	66	43¢	$28	0xafa7f0…
07-14 11:29:20	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	89	34¢	$30	0xf26ec7…
07-14 10:22:49	dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14	PlayTime	SELL	500	47¢	$235	0x13def1…
07-14 08:21:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	196	45¢	$88	0xad1314…
07-14 07:01:32	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x4e40a7…
07-14 07:00:37	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x033872…
07-14 06:50:20	dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14	PlayTime	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x69941e…
07-14 06:06:28	val wol ag1 2026 07 14	All Gamers	SELL	213	74¢	$158	0x029e07…
07-14 06:06:22	val wol ag1 2026 07 14	All Gamers	BUY	213	74¢	$158	0x938c9b…
07-14 05:48:43	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x38bcd9…
07-14 05:48:43	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x0533af…
07-14 05:48:37	will xagusd dip to 54 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5fc33e…
07-14 03:25:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	197	27¢	$53	0x015566…
07-14 03:14:17	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x82d459…
07-14 03:11:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	37¢	$22	0x3c5d08…
07-14 02:45:02	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xef07ee…
07-14 02:43:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xad097a…
07-14 02:43:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x565a9d…
07-14 02:42:32	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xfc1ba0…
07-14 02:41:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	37¢	$5	0xf18915…
07-14 02:41:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xe20411…
07-14 02:39:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xb0d2b7…
07-14 02:36:37	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xbcfec3…
07-14 02:26:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x49f273…
07-14 01:43:59	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0302aa…
06-23 10:15:05	btc updown 5m 1782209700	Up	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x9101d3…
06-23 10:10:01	btc updown 5m 1782209400	Down	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xebc869…
06-23 10:05:01	btc updown 5m 1782209100	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x973c42…
06-23 09:59:58	btc updown 5m 1782208800	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xee3259…
06-23 09:54:58	btc updown 5m 1782208500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4088c8…
06-23 09:29:59	btc updown 5m 1782207000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5dbf06…
06-23 09:09:59	btc updown 5m 1782205800	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x83d679…
06-23 09:04:58	btc updown 5m 1782205500	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc5779a…
06-23 08:59:59	btc updown 5m 1782205200	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe6f214…
06-23 08:54:58	btc updown 5m 1782204900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2fb299…
06-23 07:04:59	btc updown 5m 1782198300	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0x9341f0…
06-23 07:00:02	btc updown 5m 1782198000	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x15ceab…
06-23 06:54:59	btc updown 5m 1782197700	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xa876e4…
06-23 06:50:01	btc updown 5m 1782197400	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa80816…
06-23 06:45:01	btc updown 5m 1782197100	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f55c1…
06-23 06:39:59	btc updown 5m 1782196800	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8aa661…
06-23 06:35:01	btc updown 5m 1782196500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa2c306…
06-23 06:29:56	btc updown 5m 1782196200	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x651a33…
06-23 06:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782195900	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa1bab8…
06-23 06:19:56	btc updown 5m 1782195600	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x03c4b5…
06-23 06:14:58	btc updown 5m 1782195300	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x368caf…
06-23 06:09:58	btc updown 5m 1782195000	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe54233…