Soupy-Creche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$372

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

282

Trades

416

lifetime

Volume

$41.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-15 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 68% -$191

Other

24% 12% -$136

Politics

7% 0% -$26

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	42	$7.6K	8,594	8,594	+0	Yes	-$194	05-29 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	28	$7.0K	6,024	6,024	+0	No	-$13	06-07 22:25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	06-12 02:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$0	06-14 19:12
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$966	800	800	+0	No	-$26	03-13 01:38
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$952	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$0	06-02 22:46
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	2	$802	600	600	+0	No	-$93	03-17 17:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 19:45 UTC	4	$453	413	229	+184	Up	-$72	01-04 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 00:15 UTC	3	$434	237	237	+0	Down	+$34	01-05 00:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 00:30 UTC	4	$424	251	250	+2	Down	+$26	01-11 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 01:15 UTC	1	$388	670	0	+670	Down	-$388	01-11 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$353	278	167	+111	Down	+$64	05-23 12:04
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	7	$333	208	208	+0	Yes	-$1	05-22 17:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	3	$327	1,473	375	+1,099	Down	-$73	06-12 17:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	3	$315	628	628	+0	Down	+$115	06-12 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$315	310	199	+111	Down	+$26	05-25 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$303	215	114	+101	Up	+$4	05-29 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 02:00 UTC	2	$294	451	0	+451	Down	+$158	01-05 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$282	216	216	+0	Down	+$82	05-22 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$281	232	232	+0	Up	+$81	05-25 14:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:30 UTC	2	$256	156	156	+0	Down	+$56	01-05 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$245	166	166	+0	Up	+$45	05-26 05:24
cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	2	$234	160	160	+0	Over	+$83	06-12 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$228	139	139	+0	Down	+$28	05-28 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$221	138	138	+0	Up	+$21	05-20 12:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$218	121	121	+0	Up	+$18	05-28 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$214	119	119	+0	Up	+$14	05-26 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$214	115	115	+0	Up	+$14	05-27 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$213	119	119	+0	Down	+$13	05-28 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$209	182	182	+0	Up	+$9	05-26 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x6d67a5…
06-15 13:20:37	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x1e3d0d…
06-14 20:29:07	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9d016d…
06-14 19:47:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x662a80…
06-14 19:12:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,300	39¢	$507	0x347589…
06-14 19:10:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0xa5121a…
06-13 17:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5bd8ad…
06-13 17:21:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	808	12¢	$100	0x7324e2…
06-13 17:11:39	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xdca494…
06-13 17:10:45	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe33211…
06-12 22:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	115	12¢	$14	0x7a6b8c…
06-12 22:36:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	Up	SELL	904	9¢	$83	0x74e040…
06-12 22:34:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,020	10¢	$100	0xee56a3…
06-12 22:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x88da42…
06-12 17:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xbda5ae…
06-12 17:51:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x77aa00…
06-12 17:24:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,099	9¢	$100	0xf7024c…
06-12 17:21:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Up	SELL	375	34¢	$127	0xbfac14…
06-12 17:20:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	375	27¢	$100	0x4a6fcc…
06-12 17:14:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf2d5cc…
06-12 17:11:12	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x0bcf3c…
06-12 17:08:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x1ec03c…
06-12 16:51:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x1e5588…
06-12 16:13:46	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0x44c6d2…
06-12 15:54:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	525	36¢	$188	0x49a2e6…
06-12 15:54:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	102	27¢	$28	0xea607e…
06-12 15:50:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	628	16¢	$100	0xc51f8b…
06-12 03:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x62201d…
06-12 02:16:37	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	1,000	60¢	$600	0xab84f4…
06-12 02:16:07	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	1,000	61¢	$610	0x3b456f…
06-08 23:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x73baec…
06-07 22:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0x272e71…
06-07 22:15:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0x023bc6…
06-04 23:05:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	82¢	$492	0x3e2645…
06-04 23:02:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0xa1f30e…
06-03 05:48:54	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2c331d…
06-02 22:46:50	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,800	17¢	$476	0x29f767…
06-02 22:41:30	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,800	17¢	$476	0xf5f691…
05-31 15:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	700	69¢	$483	0x1aa591…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	69¢	$483	0x324164…
05-29 02:24:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	31¢	$342	0x64b913…
05-29 02:09:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	44¢	$482	0x9bb2c9…
05-29 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xaa266a…
05-29 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd82451…
05-29 01:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc7a606…
05-29 00:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x300f24…
05-29 00:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	120	89¢	$107	0x800d03…
05-29 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf450fe…
05-29 00:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xf4bc84…
05-29 00:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x31785b…
05-29 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x379fca…
05-29 00:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	114	91¢	$103	0x32c317…
05-29 00:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x756feb…
05-29 00:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	144	45¢	$65	0x1a970b…
05-29 00:07:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	144	46¢	$66	0x381f36…
05-29 00:07:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	149	46¢	$68	0xe6e400…
05-29 00:05:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xeac9ce…
05-29 00:05:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x80a79a…
05-29 00:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x903c83…
05-29 00:03:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x9088ae…
05-29 00:03:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x169b27…
05-29 00:03:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x04f837…
05-29 00:03:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	46¢	$63	0x68bb6b…
05-28 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x1e9b7f…
05-28 19:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe2d5c0…
05-28 19:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	139	92¢	$128	0xaba087…
05-28 19:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb5174a…
05-28 19:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x92aa60…
05-28 19:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	118	90¢	$106	0x8f3fd1…
05-28 19:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x66e48c…
05-28 18:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0x263d42…
05-28 18:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x46f5b9…
05-28 18:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0xd2b9a3…
05-28 18:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x5cac81…
05-28 18:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x43637d…
05-28 17:57:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	43¢	$519	0x4e76ef…
05-28 17:57:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0x68fdc3…
05-28 17:54:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	365	45¢	$165	0x44ef39…
05-28 17:54:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	713	45¢	$322	0x124760…
05-28 16:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,500	34¢	$510	0x9d24d4…
05-28 15:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	524	65¢	$340	0xddec4f…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe16f9c…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xda0a0b…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x6c84a7…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x37c748…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x242352…
05-28 15:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xfbfec0…
05-28 15:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xc045d2…
05-28 15:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,500	35¢	$525	0x79eb60…
05-28 15:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x218213…
05-28 15:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb616c9…
05-28 15:39:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcd4603…
05-28 15:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7cefbf…
05-28 15:39:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x229c0c…
05-28 15:39:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	490	64¢	$314	0x0166a1…
05-27 16:11:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	900	58¢	$522	0x4718b7…
05-27 15:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe32517…
05-27 15:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	900	57¢	$513	0x5fed82…
05-27 15:22:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	38¢	$534	0xc9badb…
05-27 15:17:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,390	38¢	$534	0x58e538…