Soupy-Creche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$208

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$36.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$698

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-15 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 47% $-36

Other

15% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+700	$490	100¢	$698	+$208	06-07 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	40	$7.5K	8,594	8,427	+168	open	—	05-29 02:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	21	$4.2K	3,924	3,224	+700	open	—	06-07 22:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-14 19:12
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$966	800	800	+0	open	—	03-13 01:38
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	2	$802	600	600	+0	open	—	03-17 17:21
btc updown 15m 1767555900	4	$453	413	229	+184	open	—	01-04 19:58
btc updown 15m 1767572100	3	$434	237	237	+0	open	—	01-05 00:32
btc updown 15m 1768091400	4	$424	251	250	+2	open	—	01-11 00:43
btc updown 15m 1768094100	1	$388	670	0	+670	open	—	01-11 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$353	278	167	+111	open	—	05-23 12:04
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	7	$333	208	208	+0	open	—	05-22 17:56
btc updown 15m 1781284500	3	$327	1,473	375	+1,099	open	—	06-12 17:24
btc updown 15m 1781279100	3	$315	628	628	+0	open	—	06-12 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$315	310	199	+111	open	—	05-25 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$303	215	114	+101	open	—	05-29 00:24
btc updown 15m 1767578400	2	$294	451	0	+451	open	—	01-05 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$282	216	216	+0	open	—	05-22 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$281	232	232	+0	open	—	05-25 14:08
btc updown 15m 1767587400	2	$256	156	156	+0	open	—	01-05 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$245	166	166	+0	open	—	05-26 05:24
cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	2	$234	160	160	+0	open	—	06-12 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$228	139	139	+0	open	—	05-28 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$221	138	138	+0	open	—	05-20 12:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$218	121	121	+0	open	—	05-28 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$214	119	119	+0	open	—	05-26 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$214	115	115	+0	open	—	05-27 00:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$213	119	119	+0	open	—	05-28 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$209	182	182	+0	open	—	05-26 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$207	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$206	118	118	+0	open	—	05-28 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:32:43	btc updown 5m 1781530200	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x6d67a5…
06-14 19:47:51	btc updown 15m 1781466300	Down	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x662a80…
06-14 19:12:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,300	39¢	$507	0x347589…
06-14 19:10:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0xa5121a…
06-13 17:31:13	btc updown 5m 1781371800	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x5bd8ad…
06-13 17:21:04	btc updown 15m 1781370900	Down	BUY	808	12¢	$100	0x7324e2…
06-13 17:11:39	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xdca494…
06-13 17:10:45	cs2 prv lgc 2026 06 13 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe33211…
06-12 22:37:13	btc updown 15m 1781303400	Up	SELL	115	12¢	$14	0x7a6b8c…
06-12 22:36:43	btc updown 15m 1781303400	Up	SELL	904	9¢	$83	0x74e040…
06-12 22:34:51	btc updown 15m 1781303400	Up	BUY	1,020	10¢	$100	0xee56a3…
06-12 22:09:04	btc updown 5m 1781301900	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x88da42…
06-12 17:52:33	btc updown 5m 1781286600	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xbda5ae…
06-12 17:51:34	btc updown 15m 1781286300	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x77aa00…
06-12 17:24:00	btc updown 15m 1781284500	Up	BUY	1,099	9¢	$100	0xf7024c…
06-12 17:21:36	btc updown 15m 1781284500	Up	SELL	375	34¢	$127	0xbfac14…
06-12 17:20:55	btc updown 15m 1781284500	Up	BUY	375	27¢	$100	0x4a6fcc…
06-12 17:14:13	eth updown 15m 1781283600	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf2d5cc…
06-12 17:11:12	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x0bcf3c…
06-12 17:08:15	btc updown 5m 1781283900	Down	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x1ec03c…
06-12 16:51:19	btc updown 15m 1781282700	Down	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x1e5588…
06-12 16:13:46	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 06 12 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0x44c6d2…
06-12 15:54:25	btc updown 15m 1781279100	Up	SELL	525	36¢	$188	0x49a2e6…
06-12 15:54:00	btc updown 15m 1781279100	Up	SELL	102	27¢	$28	0xea607e…
06-12 15:50:19	btc updown 15m 1781279100	Up	BUY	628	16¢	$100	0xc51f8b…
06-12 03:44:15	btc updown 5m 1781235600	Up	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x62201d…
06-08 23:54:54	btc updown 5m 1780962600	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x73baec…
06-07 22:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	86¢	$516	0x272e71…
06-07 22:15:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0x023bc6…
06-04 23:05:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	82¢	$492	0x3e2645…
06-04 23:02:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	83¢	$498	0xa1f30e…
05-31 15:03:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	69¢	$483	0x324164…
05-29 02:24:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,100	31¢	$342	0x64b913…
05-29 02:09:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	44¢	$482	0x9bb2c9…
05-29 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xaa266a…
05-29 01:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd82451…
05-29 01:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc7a606…
05-29 00:52:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x300f24…
05-29 00:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	120	89¢	$107	0x800d03…
05-29 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf450fe…
05-29 00:32:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0xf4bc84…
05-29 00:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x31785b…
05-29 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x379fca…
05-29 00:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	114	91¢	$103	0x32c317…
05-29 00:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x756feb…
05-29 00:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	144	45¢	$65	0x1a970b…
05-29 00:07:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	144	46¢	$66	0x381f36…
05-29 00:07:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	149	46¢	$68	0xe6e400…
05-29 00:05:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xeac9ce…
05-29 00:05:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x80a79a…
05-29 00:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x903c83…
05-29 00:03:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x9088ae…
05-29 00:03:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x169b27…
05-29 00:03:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x04f837…
05-29 00:03:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	46¢	$63	0x68bb6b…
05-28 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x1e9b7f…
05-28 19:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xe2d5c0…
05-28 19:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	139	92¢	$128	0xaba087…
05-28 19:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb5174a…
05-28 19:06:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x92aa60…
05-28 19:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	118	90¢	$106	0x8f3fd1…
05-28 19:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x66e48c…
05-28 18:44:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0x263d42…
05-28 18:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x46f5b9…
05-28 18:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0xd2b9a3…
05-28 18:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x5cac81…
05-28 18:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x43637d…
05-28 17:57:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	43¢	$519	0x4e76ef…
05-28 17:57:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0x68fdc3…
05-28 17:54:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	365	45¢	$165	0x44ef39…
05-28 17:54:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	713	45¢	$322	0x124760…
05-28 16:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,500	34¢	$510	0x9d24d4…
05-28 15:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	524	65¢	$340	0xddec4f…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe16f9c…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xda0a0b…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x6c84a7…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x37c748…
05-28 15:40:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x242352…
05-28 15:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xfbfec0…
05-28 15:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xc045d2…
05-28 15:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,500	35¢	$525	0x79eb60…
05-28 15:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x218213…
05-28 15:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb616c9…
05-28 15:39:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcd4603…
05-28 15:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7cefbf…
05-28 15:39:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x229c0c…
05-28 15:39:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	490	64¢	$314	0x0166a1…
05-27 15:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe32517…
05-27 15:22:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,400	38¢	$534	0xc9badb…
05-27 15:17:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,390	38¢	$534	0x58e538…
05-27 15:16:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0ae583…
05-27 15:16:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6da39d…
05-27 00:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0xe123af…
05-27 00:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8770bd…
05-27 00:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xfe0927…
05-26 20:29:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	810	31¢	$251	0xe5a615…
05-26 20:23:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	978	32¢	$309	0x29c417…
05-26 15:48:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0xcad220…
05-26 15:48:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0x048874…
05-26 15:47:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	789	31¢	$248	0x22ed7c…