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Realized P&L
-$830
Unrealized P&L
-$222
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
490
Trades
4,620
lifetime
Volume
$43.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$343
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-13 04:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
97% 30% -$681
Politics
2% 0% -$104
Sports
1% 29% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +1,858 $334 6¢ $111 -$222 11-12 16:59
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +141 -$1 56¢ $79 +$80 11-07 12:24
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +386 $151 16¢ $64 -$87 09-21 21:09
Will Hong Kong have 95mm or more of precipitation in November? Yes +160 $33 32¢ $50 +$17 11-13 04:35
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,100 $12 2¢ $19 +$7 07-12 13:55
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +400 $21 2¢ $8 -$13 08-04 22:52
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +262 -$10 2¢ $6 +$16 08-23 13:40
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +121 $18 4¢ $4 -$13 09-06 05:49
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +812 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-18 16:34
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +200 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 07-17 22:42
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? Yes +39 $0 1¢ $0 $0 08-05 09:30
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? Yes +6 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-01 14:31