Flustered-Wedding — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

29 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$150

$150 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	+18	$9	99¢	$18	+$9	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	+18	$9	84¢	$15	+$6	05-06 01:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	+9	$5	99¢	$9	+$5	05-06 01:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-05 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	19	+19	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	open	—	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	open	—	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$9	18	+18	open	—	05-06 01:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 03:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	+$4	05-05 02:40
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-04 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Up	+$4	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-05 07:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	05-06 01:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-05 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-05 03:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 21:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$4	05-05 05:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-04 23:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$4	05-05 01:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 20:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Up	$-4	05-05 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$4	05-05 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-04 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:58:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xaf93b8…
05-06 01:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xb7d6c3…
05-06 01:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xa21818…
05-06 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x96f305…
05-05 23:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x967a44…
05-05 22:45:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x1c58f4…
05-05 21:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x39c171…
05-05 21:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xe44d87…
05-05 21:05:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xa96534…
05-05 20:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x105b1a…
05-05 20:20:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb0f9c8…
05-05 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x4187e2…
05-05 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa981a7…
05-05 18:57:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x766cfc…
05-05 18:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x9bfbe8…
05-05 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x334df7…
05-05 05:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbe3b94…
05-05 05:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x1b7059…
05-05 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0c62bc…
05-05 03:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x614c99…
05-05 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x30f3c0…
05-05 03:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x8272e7…
05-05 03:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x9b69b9…
05-05 02:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xd83e70…
05-05 01:24:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x976268…
05-04 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xc3ed68…
05-04 23:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x8996ee…
05-04 22:39:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9f9377…
05-04 20:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7a644f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	22	$1.22K	101	05-06 02:19
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$2.74K	67	05-06 02:04
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	14	$1.72K	61	05-06 02:24
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	8	$845	70	05-06 01:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	7	$702	56	05-06 01:59
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	5	$6.35K	5	05-06 02:03
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	5	$1.01K	20	05-06 01:59
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	5	$592	118	05-06 02:03