Truthful-Procedure 0x2179ab…79bedb Create alert
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
+$386
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
753
Trades
58,140
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$244
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
57% 35% +$534
Politics
30% 57% +$1,320
Sports
14% 46% -$108
Crypto
0% 67% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -45,457 -$273 0¢ $-68 +$205 06-05 11:23
Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +5,301 -$4 1¢ $58 +$62 09-20 10:37
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -18,506 -$37 0¢ $-28 +$9 06-14 21:03
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +11,084 -$5 0¢ $28 +$32 11-10 16:01
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,318 $7 0¢ $11 +$4 11-10 17:02
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -6,515 -$39 0¢ $-10 +$29 06-05 11:24
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,000 $10 0¢ $8 -$2 11-04 17:08
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2,147 -$1 0¢ $4 +$5 09-25 23:45
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +2,556 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 09-24 19:44
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +2,272 $1 0¢ $3 +$3 09-26 05:37
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2,000 -$21 0¢ $-3 +$18 09-28 20:49
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2,629 $3 0¢ $3 +$0 09-05 19:17
Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +1,039 $1 0¢ $3 +$2 08-31 01:33
Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +824 $1 0¢ $2 +$2 08-31 01:33
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,286 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 09-05 19:17
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 11-04 14:15
Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +327 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 08-30 22:11
Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +778 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 08-30 22:11
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +250 -$1 0¢ $1 +$2 08-29 15:22
Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +620 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 08-30 22:11
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +506 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-23 07:24
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -741 -$13 0¢ $-1 +$12 05-12 00:13
Will Nate Ament win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +402 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 09-12 09:16
Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +199 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 08-30 17:53
Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +398 $0 0¢ $1 +$0 08-30 22:11
Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +331 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-30 22:11
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +55 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-06 15:20