Foolhardy-Debt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$333

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 08-14 06:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1

Crypto

48% 97% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No		+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	07-19 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	3	$11	2	9	-7	No	$0	06-17 12:18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-10 18:18
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	3	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-21 10:18
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-07 10:18
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	2	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-19 14:28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-10 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-17 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	08-14 06:18
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	3	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	03-20 08:18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	07-01 12:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-07 12:18
bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	3	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	08-07 12:18
Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-26 18:18
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-11 06:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 11	3	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-11 06:54
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-09 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-14 12:18
will the price of ethereum be less than 1900 on march 24	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-24 09:11
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-26 18:18
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Ghana?	2	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-23 14:18
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	3	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-10 06:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-11 12:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-19 12:18
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-16 14:18
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-03 14:18
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-12 12:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-19 14:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-22 17:05
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-04 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 06:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc8e775…
08-14 06:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9662fd…
08-11 12:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb606e1…
08-11 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x38888c…
08-08 18:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc9d31…
08-07 12:18:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x408708…
08-07 12:18:15	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1126f5…
08-07 12:18:10	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd0526f…
07-29 12:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc91aef…
07-27 12:18:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3aa7b3…
07-27 12:18:13	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6289c2…
07-27 12:18:10	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4be968…
07-25 12:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ac758…
07-21 12:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x93a9e8…
07-19 14:28:30	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ea42c…
07-19 14:28:19	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe60893…
07-19 14:28:19	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3b06d3…
07-15 11:42:13	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x34a016…
07-11 16:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46a03d…
07-11 16:18:19	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc42597…
07-10 06:18:38	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4d5853…
07-10 06:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x845729…
07-10 06:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc51ba5…
07-10 06:18:16	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4e62d8…
07-10 06:18:10	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Belgium?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35670e…
07-07 10:18:22	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb228d…
07-07 10:18:22	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01a8ad…
07-07 10:18:13	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Colombia?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7988b…
07-07 10:18:13	Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Colombia?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x442871…
07-03 14:18:19	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf58d9a…
07-03 14:18:13	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe9e089…
07-01 12:18:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf98983…
07-01 12:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa56a80…
07-01 12:18:16	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 DR Congo?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63f80c…
06-30 11:31:43	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Sweden?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92cfca…
06-29 04:18:08	Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Paraguay?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1d9ddf…
06-29 03:31:10	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb273e1…
06-26 18:18:23	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5f130f…
06-26 18:18:23	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 France?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5cef66…
06-26 18:18:14	Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb43aee…
06-26 18:18:14	Exact Score: Senegal 0 - 3 Iraq?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d3f84…
06-23 14:18:22	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x715c0b…
06-23 14:18:22	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x432ca5…
06-23 14:18:13	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Ghana?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x04d9f8…
06-23 14:18:11	Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Ghana?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x485d94…
06-20 16:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb699f…
06-20 16:22:22	Exact Score: Germany 0 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa5cdbf…
06-19 16:18:28	Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Australia?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4d1ab2…
06-19 16:18:19	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Haiti?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xefc227…
06-18 14:18:16	Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 3 South Africa?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb0dde9…
06-17 12:18:20	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe32716…
06-17 08:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5a6fcf…
06-17 08:18:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x78a960…
06-10 18:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa10e3b…
06-10 18:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x795037…
06-10 18:18:16	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3f37d0…
06-10 18:12:39	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6f411…
06-08 12:12:22	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x47c400…
06-07 14:12:22	ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2bff1…
06-02 17:10:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe504ae…
05-30 18:24:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2faab4…
05-24 06:17:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe00bdc…
05-22 17:18:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9b0b61…
05-22 17:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e9f32…
05-19 12:18:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4347f…
05-19 12:18:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x450c4e…
05-16 18:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfb3741…
05-16 18:18:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x36b51a…
05-14 12:18:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7e720…
05-14 12:18:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfaca0e…
05-13 06:18:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe3cb21…
05-11 18:18:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa51c80…
05-10 15:17:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c62a8…
05-10 15:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2a54c7…
04-24 03:51:56	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48ac54…
04-21 10:18:20	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf95cd0…
04-21 10:18:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb74af1…
04-21 10:18:12	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x68de59…
04-21 10:18:10	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0296f4…
04-16 14:18:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf634bb…
04-16 14:18:12	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x694377…
04-12 12:18:15	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x021325…
04-11 06:54:25	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x19f5a0…
04-11 06:54:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7220c9…
04-11 06:54:09	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd2c62…
04-11 06:54:07	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe432d9…
04-11 06:54:07	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x029c44…
04-07 12:18:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x81694f…
04-07 12:18:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc4cd7…
04-07 12:18:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb65424…
04-06 06:18:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x73a33a…
04-04 12:18:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc317a…
04-04 12:18:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 460 479	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e6c41…
04-03 16:18:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k on april 3	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8df4e0…
04-03 16:18:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 4	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcbbdf3…
04-01 10:18:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 1	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x86be36…
04-01 10:18:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 400 419	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc9bcdf…
03-28 10:01:41	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa8d42b…
03-27 12:01:37	will bitcoin reach 75k on march 27	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb222c3…
03-25 05:14:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7bc84e…