Worried-Ceiling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-14 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

48% 50% +$68

Other

39% 35% +$1

Crypto

9% 33% +$2

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5	5	$171	92	92	+0	Over	+$13	05-10 03:04
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	4	$142	76	76	+0	Over	+$10	05-10 03:05
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	12	$99	61	61	+0	Timberwolves	+$12	05-11 02:09
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	3	$97	52	52	+0	Over	+$7	05-10 23:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	20	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	05-11 02:45
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$83	52	52	+0	open	—	05-11 02:09
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	2	$47	25	25	+0	Over	+$3	05-10 23:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	05-10 23:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$47	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	05-10 12:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	05-13 03:40
Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire	2	$45	25	25	+0	Chicago Sky	+$5	05-10 03:23
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	2	$44	26	26	+0	Portland Fire	+$1	05-13 03:41
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	4	$23	14	14	+0	No	$-0	05-11 00:49
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	3	$19	12	12	+0	PlayTime	+$5	05-10 23:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	12	$18	30	30	+0	No	$-0	05-11 02:17
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	2	$12	8	8	+0	Real Madrid CF	+$4	05-10 23:44
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	7	$11	56	0	+56	Minnesota Twins	+$45	05-10 03:23
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	3	$11	10	10	+0	Over	+$1	05-11 02:10
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	6	$11	30	0	+30	Under	$-11	05-10 23:47
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	6	$7	15	15	+0	NRG	$-0	05-11 00:29
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 03:40
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5	3	$6	24	0	+24	Under	$-6	05-10 03:26
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)	8	$5	88	0	+88	Pittsburgh Pirates	$-5	05-10 03:19
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	11	$4	66	0	+66	Ducks	$-4	05-11 04:07
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 02:00
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	5	$3	35	0	+35	San Francisco Giants	$-3	05-10 23:59
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)	1	$2	5	0	+5	Atlas FC	$-2	05-10 03:26
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5	1	$2	5	0	+5	Under	$-2	05-10 03:26
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner	1	$1	8	0	+8	Gentle Mates	$-1	05-10 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 22:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 02:00:13	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x4192f2…
05-13 03:41:35	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0xdc1e8a…
05-13 03:40:58	New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire	New York Liberty	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x609a18…
05-13 03:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x64881b…
05-11 04:07:46	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xdea454…
05-11 04:06:43	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x3107d6…
05-11 04:06:10	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x28f2a9…
05-11 04:05:38	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x26406e…
05-11 04:05:07	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xdeb247…
05-11 04:04:35	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xaf8af6…
05-11 04:04:02	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x883eae…
05-11 04:03:31	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xa2332c…
05-11 04:02:59	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x30e485…
05-11 04:02:26	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5b836f…
05-11 04:01:54	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x5ee427…
05-11 03:40:49	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x0b99c6…
05-11 03:40:47	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5f4fb0…
05-11 02:45:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xb9a584…
05-11 02:45:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x22750d…
05-11 02:45:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x80d51e…
05-11 02:45:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x14f101…
05-11 02:44:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xf34d59…
05-11 02:44:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb59dc0…
05-11 02:44:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xbb8882…
05-11 02:44:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xe3f44b…
05-11 02:43:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x28d673…
05-11 02:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf5417b…
05-11 02:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x2a9922…
05-11 02:42:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf16138…
05-11 02:42:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xc5f0ac…
05-11 02:42:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x3faa0d…
05-11 02:41:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xb36394…
05-11 02:41:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xd37234…
05-11 02:40:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xe04651…
05-11 02:40:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdc70d0…
05-11 02:40:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x87a053…
05-11 02:40:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x160831…
05-11 02:17:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc0f174…
05-11 02:12:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1fa4eb…
05-11 02:12:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4da975…
05-11 02:12:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0c9932…
05-11 02:11:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe7e296…
05-11 02:11:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc42e8a…
05-11 02:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x13b3ca…
05-11 02:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x709677…
05-11 02:10:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7f11fc…
05-11 02:09:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	61	91¢	$56	0x89accf…
05-11 02:09:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xc513b4…
05-11 02:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x26943b…
05-11 02:09:19	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	26	76¢	$20	0xc8e2fc…
05-11 02:09:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x7ef92c…
05-11 02:09:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x214e17…
05-11 02:09:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9d11f1…
05-11 00:57:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3f0dde…
05-11 00:57:24	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2b16f6…
05-11 00:56:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5138a5…
05-11 00:55:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x02e12b…
05-11 00:54:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9dfdf8…
05-11 00:49:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x569ca7…
05-11 00:49:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xb1505d…
05-11 00:48:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x3e81e4…
05-11 00:48:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x53b6a1…
05-11 00:46:31	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0xd5d92d…
05-11 00:42:45	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x33225b…
05-11 00:41:44	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xadff46…
05-11 00:41:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xdf4fa1…
05-11 00:40:43	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x27bbd8…
05-11 00:40:13	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xaedc25…
05-11 00:39:43	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x71bb5a…
05-11 00:29:22	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x114838…
05-11 00:29:19	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4067fa…
05-11 00:28:49	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xeacba1…
05-11 00:28:47	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa38105…
05-11 00:28:19	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2e629b…
05-11 00:28:17	Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG - Map 1 Winner	Sentinels	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0591c8…
05-11 00:00:52	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa11f7f…
05-11 00:00:19	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd29883…
05-10 23:59:09	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb019d8…
05-10 23:58:36	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x4896d4…
05-10 23:58:03	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0e6194…
05-10 23:57:28	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xb78ca8…
05-10 23:56:56	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x424d83…
05-10 23:47:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0x1eac56…
05-10 23:47:24	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x960972…
05-10 23:46:49	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfa831f…
05-10 23:46:12	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x83e201…
05-10 23:45:37	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7db3ac…
05-10 23:45:34	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PlayTime	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb3e7f4…
05-10 23:44:38	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0d4b6d…
05-10 23:44:34	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbeff13…
05-10 23:44:03	CR Vasco da Gama vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x813fe3…
05-10 23:42:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xd293fc…
05-10 23:42:25	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xb6d059…
05-10 23:42:25	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x848abe…
05-10 23:42:00	AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe5bcbe…
05-10 19:36:01	Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x03ffa5…
05-10 19:35:59	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xcf1e02…
05-10 19:35:59	Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x73026c…
05-10 19:25:41	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc64b4c…
05-10 19:25:08	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner	Fnatic	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x46ee69…