Rare-Occasion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$1.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-05 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	4	$34	58	+58	Down	$-34	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	4	$34	53	+53	Up	+$19	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	4	$33	56	+56	open	—	05-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10PM ET	3	$31	44	+44	open	—	05-03 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	4	$31	41	+41	Up	+$10	05-04 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	3	$31	65	+65	open	—	05-03 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12PM ET	3	$30	56	+56	open	—	05-02 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	5	$29	46	+46	open	—	05-04 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	4	$27	42	+42	open	—	05-04 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9AM ET	3	$27	36	+36	open	—	05-02 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	4	$25	56	+56	open	—	05-04 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	3	$25	38	+38	open	—	05-03 22:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	3	$24	34	+34	Down	+$10	05-04 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	4	$24	33	+33	open	—	05-04 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	3	$24	37	+37	open	—	05-04 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	5	$23	33	+33	open	—	05-04 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	6	$22	31	+31	Up	+$9	05-05 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	4	$21	30	+30	Down	+$9	05-04 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	6	$19	23	+23	open	—	05-03 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	3	$18	23	+23	open	—	05-03 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	2	$17	26	+26	Down	$-17	05-04 22:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	5	$17	23	+23	open	—	05-01 13:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1PM ET	4	$17	29	+29	open	—	04-30 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	3	$17	22	+22	open	—	05-03 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10AM ET	5	$17	27	+27	open	—	05-02 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2AM ET	4	$16	26	+26	open	—	05-01 06:38
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9AM ET	5	$16	24	+24	open	—	04-28 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	2	$16	22	+22	Down	+$6	05-05 09:12
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4PM ET	3	$15	20	+20	open	—	04-27 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	2	$15	19	+19	open	—	05-04 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x38ab23…
05-05 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x39e702…
05-05 07:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4afa34…
05-05 07:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5fb7a1…
05-05 07:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7dc968…
05-05 07:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x43d6da…
05-05 05:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xda57b0…
05-05 05:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xa076c5…
05-05 05:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x73fb53…
05-05 05:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x5df112…
05-05 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc983c2…
05-05 05:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x433807…
05-05 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xf20c2b…
05-05 03:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x1808f3…
05-05 02:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x16fe83…
05-05 02:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x4fb8d6…
05-05 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc66fbd…
05-05 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0xb0964c…
05-05 01:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x8f2a02…
05-05 01:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x53baec…
05-05 00:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x66d1f3…
05-04 23:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc09c11…
05-04 23:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x09e178…
05-04 23:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x809528…
05-04 22:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x5f5a63…
05-04 22:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x87b3f5…
05-04 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x622cb3…
05-04 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x06ca9a…
05-04 21:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x82f89d…
05-04 21:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf375b5…
05-04 20:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xded3bb…
05-04 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x719714…
05-04 20:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x358092…
05-04 20:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x0519bc…
05-04 19:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7a14e0…
05-04 19:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xe3435e…
05-04 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xbee4c4…
05-04 18:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xe7c436…
05-04 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x99b402…
05-04 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe452aa…
05-04 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa70153…
05-04 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x1f4b77…
05-04 13:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcc4b08…
05-04 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x31a032…
05-04 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x7fae37…
05-04 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcb03dc…
05-04 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x6f7a3f…
05-04 12:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x087c5f…
05-04 12:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0xd635c0…
05-04 11:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd46063…
05-04 11:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x04ec9e…
05-04 08:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x37848b…
05-04 07:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x82233a…
05-04 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x3af096…
05-04 05:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xbb277c…
05-04 05:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xacffdd…
05-04 05:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa95f62…
05-04 05:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xa82d96…
05-04 05:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x2cee22…
05-04 04:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xb7a400…
05-04 04:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb15673…
05-04 04:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4d0653…
05-04 04:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0ddbc5…
05-04 04:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5d68c9…
05-04 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xcffb99…
05-04 03:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x999381…
05-04 03:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x78ee29…
05-04 03:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5bbb34…
05-04 01:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc65197…
05-04 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0x7e3b54…
05-04 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x68e247…
05-04 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xbefc68…
05-04 00:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x70cd23…
05-03 23:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xcd7cc8…
05-03 23:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x4bb19e…
05-03 22:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0454c9…
05-03 22:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x6d3e92…
05-03 22:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf2c511…
05-03 21:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x3313f2…
05-03 21:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x80b16d…
05-03 21:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6107fc…
05-03 20:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x699eb2…
05-03 17:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb3c415…
05-03 17:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xef1a26…
05-03 17:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x69b70c…
05-03 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb5adfc…
05-03 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa8be87…
05-03 17:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xe9e2a1…
05-03 14:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x97012a…
05-03 14:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xa03a25…
05-03 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x199f73…
05-03 14:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xfc568c…
05-03 12:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2c5ab0…
05-03 12:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd3405c…
05-03 12:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb0b733…
05-03 11:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x393ed6…
05-03 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xe26f84…
05-03 11:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc2f2be…
05-03 11:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4aa399…
05-03 11:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xbd3906…