Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$1,009
$29,153 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+92.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 7% YES on $832)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $3 | $150 | $147 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $55 | $621 | $566 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $27 | $575 | $548 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $1 | $77 | $76 |
| Median | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $2 | $13 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfe03…3248 | Down | +325 | $314 | $314 | 1 | 05-04 23:40 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | +184 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 05-04 23:49 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | +151 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-04 23:54 |
| Qualified-Spasm 0x6310…ec93 | Down | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-04 23:49 |
| Well-Worn-Back 0xbf68…ae5c | Up | +100 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-04 23:14 |
| Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | +60 | $13 | $13 | 6 | 05-04 23:10 |
| Short-Wrong 0xba05…4e58 | Down | +52 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-04 23:30 |
| Worthless-Elongation 0x4df0…2fcb | Up | +36 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Dearest-Hearthside 0xb181…ce32 | Down | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-04 23:29 |
| Helpful-Throne 0xc775…c180 | Down | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-04 23:30 |
| Rectangular-Fascia 0x04ae…5b69 | Down | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +13 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | +13 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 05-04 23:34 |
| Careless-Shipyard 0x0930…a0aa | Down | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-04 23:29 |
| Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-04 23:24 |
| Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Down | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 23:19 |
| Only-Strike 0x03c9…a4dd | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 22:19 |
| Gleeful-Trophy 0x13d2…b868 | Up | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-04 23:20 |
| Spotless-Bread 0x5795…ff38 | Down | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-04 23:19 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-04 23:29 |
| Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-04 23:34 |
| Bewitched-Mortal 0xaee7…d492 | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 23:34 |
| Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09 | Up | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 23:09 |
| Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 23:29 |
| Elementary-Epic 0x1b51…75c9 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 23:30 |
| Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 23:45 |
| Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-04 23:39 |
| Sneaky-Block 0xd9b3…ada6 | Up | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 23:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x74d5…d498 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 23:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 00:00:10 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x977422… |
| 05-04 23:54:58 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 151 | 99¢ | $150 | 0x52a4a0… |
| 05-04 23:49:52 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d046c… |
| 05-04 23:49:50 | Qualified-Spasm 0x6310…ec93 | Down | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xafc7a9… |
| 05-04 23:45:04 | Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd42faa… |
| 05-04 23:44:32 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 128 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xa71dbb… |
| 05-04 23:40:04 | (anonymous) 0xfe03…3248 | Down | BUY | 325 | 97¢ | $314 | 0x440aab… |
| 05-04 23:39:52 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6b17c3… |
| 05-04 23:39:52 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x24b1f5… |
| 05-04 23:39:40 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2ea174… |
| 05-04 23:39:36 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x6e6d48… |
| 05-04 23:39:34 | Composed-Province 0xfacc…4d07 | Down | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x12cc86… |
| 05-04 23:39:12 | Watery-Forehead 0x79cc…4d02 | Down | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x91c8d6… |
| 05-04 23:34:54 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xecb96b… |
| 05-04 23:34:48 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xb2f4c1… |
| 05-04 23:34:44 | Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a | Down | SELL | 67 | 93¢ | $63 | 0xc4b150… |
| 05-04 23:34:30 | Energetic-River 0x1505…8db3 | Down | SELL | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x6705fa… |
| 05-04 23:34:16 | Probable-Act 0xc89d…9dc0 | Down | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x041059… |
| 05-04 23:30:06 | Elementary-Epic 0x1b51…75c9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xa0ed65… |
| 05-04 23:30:06 | Helpful-Throne 0xc775…c180 | Down | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xd91d92… |
| 05-04 23:30:06 | Short-Wrong 0xba05…4e58 | Down | BUY | 26 | 78¢ | $20 | 0x4a328f… |
| 05-04 23:30:06 | Helpful-Throne 0xc775…c180 | Down | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x309010… |
| 05-04 23:30:00 | Sneaky-Block 0xd9b3…ada6 | Up | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfdf69f… |
| 05-04 23:29:58 | Dearest-Hearthside 0xb181…ce32 | Down | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0xda7a59… |
| 05-04 23:29:58 | Dearest-Hearthside 0xb181…ce32 | Down | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x4aaeb2… |
| 05-04 23:29:52 | Short-Wrong 0xba05…4e58 | Down | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0xa33456… |
| 05-04 23:29:40 | Villainous-Sequel 0xb972…6c79 | Down | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xb052ae… |
| 05-04 23:29:30 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xc26f5c… |
| 05-04 23:29:30 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x689d8d… |
| 05-04 23:29:28 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x3eb1e1… |
| 05-04 23:29:26 | Careless-Shipyard 0x0930…a0aa | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x68dbe3… |
| 05-04 23:29:24 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x08741b… |
| 05-04 23:29:22 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x2f37dc… |
| 05-04 23:29:22 | Mushy-Sidecar 0xc72b…5b5e | Down | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xe3d7cb… |
| 05-04 23:29:22 | Careless-Shipyard 0x0930…a0aa | Down | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x9da3d4… |
| 05-04 23:24:54 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x0315f2… |
| 05-04 23:24:44 | Impish-Wraparound 0x8397…5809 | Down | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xa98f21… |
| 05-04 23:20:02 | Gleeful-Trophy 0x13d2…b868 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6981dd… |
| 05-04 23:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x74d5…d498 | Down | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x15c167… |
| 05-04 23:19:56 | Spotless-Bread 0x5795…ff38 | Down | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0xd78fea… |
| 05-04 23:19:54 | Writhing-Vision 0xc882…0662 | Down | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xc59dc9… |
| 05-04 23:14:34 | Well-Worn-Back 0xbf68…ae5c | Up | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0xcd53c1… |
| 05-04 23:10:04 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x0771fa… |
| 05-04 23:10:00 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xea0b24… |
| 05-04 23:09:56 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb20daa… |
| 05-04 23:09:52 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xf0cbb7… |
| 05-04 23:09:52 | Gleeful-Trophy 0x13d2…b868 | Up | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3c428e… |
| 05-04 23:09:52 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x700b1d… |
| 05-04 23:09:46 | Rectangular-Fascia 0x04ae…5b69 | Down | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x51d11d… |
| 05-04 23:09:46 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xfe7d48… |
| 05-04 23:09:44 | Worthless-Elongation 0x4df0…2fcb | Up | BUY | 36 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x959f97… |
| 05-04 23:09:40 | Bountiful-Beet 0x6346…4950 | Up | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xc6eed3… |
| 05-04 23:09:36 | Yellow-Tactics 0x287e…4e09 | Up | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xd10b4c… |
| 05-04 23:09:34 | Bewitched-Mortal 0xaee7…d492 | Down | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x24f12d… |
| 05-04 23:04:42 | Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x0aea24… |
| 05-04 22:19:52 | Only-Strike 0x03c9…a4dd | Up | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x920731… |