Cold-Monitoring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-17 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

81% 14% $-10

Politics

10% — —

Tech

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	10	$181	132	132	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 08:26
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	5	$114	120	120	+0	open	—	03-11 13:02
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	6	$110	106	106	+0	open	—	03-11 13:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$109	100	100	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 03:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	6	$106	101	101	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 11:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	4	$98	100	100	+0	Yes	$-2	05-11 12:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$83	50	50	+0	open	—	06-29 12:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 08:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 06:08
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	3	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 06:09
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	5	$47	100	100	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 07:29
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	4	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	07-17 10:14
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	2	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	06-30 03:54
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	4	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	06-29 10:36
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	05-11 05:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	2	$34	50	50	+0	Down	$-4	05-11 11:01
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	06-29 09:29
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	06-29 12:34
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	3	$25	50	50	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 08:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-05 13:25
will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 10:15
will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 09:58
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$9	50	50	+0	open	—	06-29 09:54
czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt05	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	07-17 09:14
criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	07-18 01:04
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	2	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 09:13
yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 01:04:33	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x47181a…
07-17 10:15:03	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd4b9ba…
07-17 10:14:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xb4d4ee…
07-17 10:12:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5aef46…
07-17 10:10:55	will a goal be scored during 91 105 minute 20260716181534262	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xbea5f4…
07-17 09:58:46	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xcf274b…
07-17 09:14:52	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7da944…
07-17 09:14:03	czr quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt05	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xf6c070…
07-17 09:13:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x91727a…
07-17 09:07:28	will pam bondi attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357122	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4b4dff…
07-17 08:58:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5459a2…
07-17 08:19:58	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xc31316…
07-17 08:09:16	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x011be9…
06-30 03:54:23	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x587759…
06-29 12:42:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x2724cc…
06-29 12:41:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x31522c…
06-29 12:34:58	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xdf7ac4…
06-29 12:33:05	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1f7f5c…
06-29 10:36:53	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x68fb03…
06-29 10:34:05	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x45f635…
06-29 10:16:59	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x967b94…
06-29 10:15:49	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x598db2…
06-29 10:08:26	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x60f0b0…
06-29 09:54:19	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x4e935a…
06-29 09:46:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xbdd4a0…
06-29 09:29:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x786fb8…
06-29 09:19:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3888f1…
06-29 09:05:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x09f0bd…
06-29 08:49:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x73dc11…
05-11 12:49:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xbc74c2…
05-11 12:44:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9b8621…
05-11 11:44:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xdb5c7c…
05-11 11:35:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xba7005…
05-11 11:01:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xc1174b…
05-11 10:42:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x2e7bbd…
05-11 08:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x9e7374…
05-11 08:22:27	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x91a1ab…
05-11 08:18:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x970ba2…
05-11 08:16:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x185569…
05-11 08:14:50	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x14724e…
05-11 08:07:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x6b97ee…
05-11 08:05:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x773ce1…
05-11 08:05:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	70¢	$16	0xc881f3…
05-11 08:05:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	70¢	$19	0x442846…
05-11 07:29:52	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x7f8e4d…
05-11 07:16:27	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x76617d…
05-11 06:59:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x397236…
05-11 06:53:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0xfaf62e…
05-11 06:44:36	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xce3292…
05-11 06:09:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xfe42ae…
05-11 06:09:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xa2ff47…
05-11 06:08:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x3931d4…
05-11 06:07:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xdfb24d…
05-11 06:01:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	No	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x754c9f…
05-11 05:52:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x5b8648…
05-11 05:46:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x35f87e…
05-11 05:30:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xfc6fcf…
05-11 05:18:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x7f9036…
05-11 05:17:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x18b9a3…
05-11 05:16:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbe8d8b…
05-11 05:15:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x397279…
05-11 05:12:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7d0178…
05-11 05:11:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc81e21…
05-11 05:08:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x72a85a…
05-11 05:08:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5e2ecf…
05-11 05:01:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf5da9d…
05-11 04:32:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xbdda7d…
05-11 04:31:53	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa31680…
05-11 04:25:23	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1abfbb…
05-11 03:50:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	53¢	$27	0xfc5249…
05-11 03:48:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x605914…
05-11 03:42:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xbd0040…
05-11 03:42:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xd3bc93…
03-11 13:14:57	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	46	43¢	$20	0xb0f4be…
03-11 13:14:09	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x38f485…
03-11 13:13:29	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x3d8c10…
03-11 13:02:57	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0xf6ce0c…
03-11 12:56:27	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x76fb63…
03-11 12:40:35	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	54	63¢	$34	0x2277d9…
03-11 12:37:03	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xc9aa26…
03-11 11:29:29	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	58	59¢	$34	0x7b8ac5…
03-11 10:05:01	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x08b135…
03-11 09:30:51	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xce5026…
03-11 09:30:11	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x2f73ff…
03-05 13:25:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x6cb3d1…
03-03 12:58:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x17bf6b…