That-Vernacular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$521

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.9%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$4.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-19 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

37% 38% +$16

Crypto

29% 47% -$232

Other

27% 0% -$237

Sports

7% 33% -$67

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	4	$646	464	464	+0	Yes	-$11	03-27 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$551	893	893	+0	No	-$47	05-20 04:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	7	$492	741	708	+33	No	-$78	04-06 22:45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	7	$445	258	258	+0	Yes	-$9	03-27 14:58
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$375	286	286	+0	No	+$175	03-17 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$243	398	398	+0	No	-$123	07-05 05:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$241	145	145	+0	No	+$41	03-25 20:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$238	476	476	+0	Yes	-$84	04-17 06:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$229	426	426	+0	No	-$32	04-12 16:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$185	210	210	+0	Yes	+$113	07-19 21:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$175	115	115	+0	open	—	07-06 18:00
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$149	247	247	+0	No	-$51	05-14 14:02
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	3	$147	96	96	+0	Yes	-$20	05-09 18:19
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$133	139	139	+0	No	-$67	05-14 14:02
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$120	2,553	0	+2,553	No	-$120	07-06 18:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$111	170	170	+0	No	-$15	07-06 18:00
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$98	750	750	+0	No	-$22	03-25 20:04
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$97	127	0	+127	Yes	+$30	05-14 04:53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$64	312	312	+0	No	-$54	05-20 04:36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$60	1,091	0	+1,091	No	-$60	07-06 18:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	1	$20	182	0	+182	Yes	-$20	05-23 05:36
bitcoin above 70k on april 6	3	$13	77	72	+5	No	-$7	04-06 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:30 UTC	1	$11	162	0	+162	Down	-$11	03-26 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:00 UTC	1	$11	560	0	+560	Down	-$11	03-26 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:15 UTC	1	$8	818	0	+818	Up	-$8	03-26 19:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:25 UTC	1	$8	98	0	+98	Down	-$8	03-26 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 19:10 UTC	1	$6	116	0	+116	Down	-$6	03-26 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	4	$6	8	5	+3	Down	+$3	04-21 05:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	5	$5	33	31	+2	Up	-$1	04-21 05:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 03:30 UTC	2	$4	103	0	+103	Down	-$4	03-30 03:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:10:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	210	71¢	$149	0x8e0c9d…
07-10 01:31:05	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	210	17¢	$36	0xe01492…
07-06 18:36:19	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,553	5¢	$120	0x0daca1…
07-06 18:02:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,091	5¢	$60	0xd00243…
07-06 18:00:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	170	28¢	$48	0xb23f8c…
07-06 18:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	115	65¢	$75	0x9d7be7…
07-05 06:05:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	170	37¢	$63	0xe9f477…
07-05 05:53:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	398	15¢	$60	0x2a23c7…
06-12 03:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:50 UTC	Down	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x20fd02…
06-12 03:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8a3a26…
06-05 21:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdaa96f…
06-05 20:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x842d4e…
06-05 20:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x851805…
06-05 20:06:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xea06e9…
06-05 19:57:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9701e8…
06-05 19:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb8bd95…
05-25 04:37:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x42f0ea…
05-23 05:36:03	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x1bd143…
05-20 14:50:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	398	46¢	$183	0x9500ca…
05-20 04:36:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$5	0x238080…
05-20 04:36:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	690	25¢	$172	0x9f7dc4…
05-18 01:48:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xaa558e…
05-14 14:02:21	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	247	20¢	$49	0x946694…
05-14 14:02:07	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	139	24¢	$33	0x52afbd…
05-14 04:53:19	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	127	77¢	$97	0x2450bd…
05-14 04:52:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x40838c…
05-14 04:52:34	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	247	40¢	$100	0xcb29ee…
05-09 18:20:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	312	19¢	$59	0xa72312…
05-09 18:19:38	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	96	66¢	$63	0x3a5022…
05-04 21:56:12	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0xcf2e7c…
05-04 21:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	204	39¢	$79	0xd54181…
05-03 19:58:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$99	0x65548f…
04-22 04:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x738237…
04-21 05:47:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6fc867…
04-21 05:45:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x72c71c…
04-21 05:33:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x68444f…
04-21 05:21:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8b757e…
04-21 05:20:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xcbbe08…
04-21 05:18:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xef0ed2…
04-21 05:15:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe08fff…
04-21 05:12:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Down	SELL	29	2¢	$1	0x779b6b…
04-21 05:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xe38483…
04-21 05:04:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x51338d…
04-21 05:03:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x25a6d5…
04-21 05:02:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x38f22e…
04-21 04:56:36	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x030732…
04-21 04:53:40	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0452c0…
04-20 03:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5bef1b…
04-20 03:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4b188c…
04-19 22:00:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf60ffb…
04-19 21:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2946bc…
04-19 21:43:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0e4370…
04-19 21:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0580e5…
04-19 21:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x4a00de…
04-19 21:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbce398…
04-19 21:28:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc38ac6…
04-19 21:26:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc56f19…
04-19 19:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x931988…
04-19 19:59:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7795a2…
04-19 19:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7fea75…
04-19 19:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbeaa8f…
04-19 04:11:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x85e669…
04-19 04:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3b3332…
04-19 04:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x5e25f7…
04-19 04:05:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa5dc2e…
04-17 09:23:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x96e649…
04-17 09:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x816d5b…
04-17 09:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad3a0f…
04-17 06:43:08	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0x4ed3d4…
04-17 06:42:52	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	27	13¢	$4	0xe45ecc…
04-12 16:16:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xc8c316…
04-12 16:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	82	11¢	$9	0x242f77…
04-08 02:57:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	82	37¢	$30	0xffa3e6…
04-08 02:57:11	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	179	17¢	$30	0xe3924b…
04-06 22:47:51	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	179	29¢	$52	0xf239cb…
04-06 22:45:49	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	SELL	203	27¢	$55	0xb2471b…
04-06 22:35:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	BUY	213	30¢	$64	0xfbe52a…
04-06 22:33:03	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	SELL	232	29¢	$67	0x558076…
04-06 22:28:01	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	BUY	244	33¢	$81	0x287a4e…
04-06 22:24:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	SELL	273	31¢	$85	0x7451c0…
04-06 16:00:29	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	BUY	263	50¢	$131	0xa5d771…
04-06 16:00:13	bitcoin above 70k on april 7	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x49d0ab…
04-06 15:58:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 6	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x120125…
04-06 14:39:05	bitcoin above 70k on april 6	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xb55394…
04-06 14:34:59	bitcoin above 70k on april 6	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x8821c1…
04-01 18:13:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xd68ac7…
04-01 18:10:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa6980a…
04-01 17:58:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x771d10…
04-01 17:48:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x581974…
03-31 02:42:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe8a1e2…
03-31 01:57:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x41f993…
03-31 01:48:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6c950…
03-31 01:48:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x2e4dd4…
03-31 01:46:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xbac0ac…
03-31 01:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3b2e5b…
03-31 01:37:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb75888…
03-31 01:35:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe9c027…
03-31 01:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x633557…
03-31 01:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0f3abc…
03-31 01:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x805708…