Scarce-Armour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

366 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$9.77K lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-09 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 74% +$10

Other

7% 62% +$3

Politics

1% 33% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$221	183	121	+62	Up	-$18	05-30 18:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$175	155	91	+65	Up	+$19	05-31 10:33
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$153	108	54	+54	Down	+$6	06-05 08:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$151	110	55	+55	Down	+$7	05-31 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$151	105	54	+51	Down	+$2	05-30 20:34
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$130	560	0	+560	No	-$130	07-08 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	7	$123	139	88	+51	Down	+$14	05-30 20:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$120	146	94	+52	Up	-$29	05-30 17:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$115	123	61	+62	Down	-$23	05-31 11:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	11	$115	148	88	+60	Up	-$35	05-30 18:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$115	65	65	+0	No	+$15	05-10 20:05
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$113	63	63	+0	Down	+$13	06-03 19:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$110	112	0	+112	No	+$2	03-22 15:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:10 UTC	2	$110	64	64	+0	Up	+$10	06-09 17:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	3	$110	66	66	+0	Down	+$10	06-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$107	58	58	+0	Down	+$7	05-30 19:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:25 UTC	2	$105	58	58	+0	Up	+$5	06-05 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	2	$103	60	60	+0	Down	+$3	06-04 19:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	3	$103	57	57	+0	Down	+$3	06-04 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$103	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	06-03 19:05
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$103	56	56	+0	Up	+$3	06-12 18:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$103	53	53	+0	Down	+$3	05-31 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$102	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	05-31 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	2	$102	53	53	+0	Up	+$2	06-09 17:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$101	154	101	+53	Up	-$46	05-30 17:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$101	119	37	+82	Up	-$40	05-30 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$100	87	31	+55	Down	+$6	05-30 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	6	$99	116	37	+80	Up	+$28	05-31 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$94	90	39	+51	Down	-$5	05-30 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:47:13	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x4a0272…
07-08 13:25:22	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x7d4e65…
07-06 12:08:23	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x49dc58…
07-05 09:36:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x19c535…
06-29 21:10:14	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xbdadd9…
06-24 10:48:08	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xbb8008…
06-17 11:57:53	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xdc8f30…
06-17 11:24:41	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xe3ccfa…
06-17 11:21:34	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x5d3838…
06-12 20:59:33	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xb26b12…
06-12 20:49:55	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xf392ee…
06-12 20:24:40	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x45447e…
06-12 20:24:15	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	92	16¢	$15	0x66b2fe…
06-12 18:47:30	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x61d1d7…
06-12 18:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xca4762…
06-12 18:24:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x8dd68d…
06-12 18:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	52	94¢	$48	0x4aa1c6…
06-12 18:24:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x3d1f96…
06-12 15:39:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x80ede9…
06-12 15:29:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xbbf6ac…
06-12 15:23:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0x1e767b…
06-12 14:50:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0xbca758…
06-12 14:34:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x0e94c6…
06-12 14:14:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x55bcdc…
06-12 14:08:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xbd3fea…
06-12 14:07:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xca5b00…
06-12 14:06:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x440e58…
06-12 13:59:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x90d7ca…
06-09 17:38:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xcdcb7a…
06-09 17:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x498077…
06-09 17:34:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x8f301c…
06-09 17:29:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:25 UTC	Up	SELL	67	23¢	$16	0x7a9dda…
06-09 17:28:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xf4aab1…
06-09 17:24:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x65a9cb…
06-09 17:24:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	Down	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0xdac88f…
06-09 17:24:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x80c48f…
06-09 17:14:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:10 UTC	Up	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xc79a30…
06-09 17:14:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x7819b9…
06-09 16:49:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x0d5a95…
06-09 16:49:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xed9d3d…
06-08 16:14:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x050354…
06-08 16:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xad6dd0…
06-05 11:14:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x710f3e…
06-05 11:09:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xfc422e…
06-05 10:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x25cc1e…
06-05 09:53:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0x93d2ec…
06-05 09:49:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf74c69…
06-05 09:44:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x25e34f…
06-05 09:34:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x1f82d3…
06-05 09:29:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xa05c51…
06-05 09:29:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9b4356…
06-05 09:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x62ddce…
06-05 09:24:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x9fe68a…
06-05 09:12:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x8d97b3…
06-05 08:59:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3bd155…
06-05 08:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2e8718…
06-05 08:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc0bbdf…
06-05 08:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0xed075a…
06-05 08:08:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5bae6c…
06-04 19:54:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xb7e8a6…
06-04 19:48:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x4bde4a…
06-04 19:43:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	60	89¢	$53	0xb5ae52…
06-04 19:42:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x17f614…
06-04 19:37:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xf49dc7…
06-04 19:35:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x231d2c…
06-04 19:34:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x6e0ccb…
06-04 19:34:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xd53dbc…
06-04 19:33:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x14b288…
06-04 19:30:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3c1b91…
06-04 19:25:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb65443…
06-04 19:24:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x50a3ee…
06-04 19:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xcab746…
06-04 18:59:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x4104e4…
06-04 18:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x1313b2…
06-04 18:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3eb858…
06-04 18:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc384e5…
06-04 15:54:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x0371f9…
06-04 15:51:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	61¢	$11	0x045156…
06-04 15:51:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x54ac0a…
06-04 15:50:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$12	0xcd81d0…
06-04 15:50:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xa73618…
06-04 15:44:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7abd87…
06-04 15:44:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Down	SELL	50	92¢	$47	0x772022…
06-04 15:44:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x2ee210…
06-04 15:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x7306cb…
06-04 15:34:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x854e65…
06-04 15:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xee9168…
06-04 15:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x703704…
06-03 19:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0x5fdc46…
06-03 19:18:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x4b4e88…
06-03 19:05:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x9f17fa…
06-03 18:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x444a83…
06-03 18:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7af03b…
06-03 18:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x2a8639…
06-03 18:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0x02725c…
06-03 18:47:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x798e24…
06-03 17:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x4960b9…
06-03 17:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x396ced…
06-03 17:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5a4834…
06-03 17:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xfb2fd3…