Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$87

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 10-15 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

71% 46% -$15

Politics

15% 67% -$7

Tech

12% 100% +$7

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	1	$10	17	+17	No	+$7	07-27 15:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	1	$10	15	+15	No	-$10	08-03 23:04
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$10	14	+14	No	+$4	08-02 14:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	-$10	08-02 01:14
will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	-$5	07-28 07:23
spy up or down on september 2 2026	1	$5	11	+11	Up	-$5	09-02 07:21
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-18 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-25 19:05
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 12:14
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-30 03:19
will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-28 18:39
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-29 06:58
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	$0	07-27 07:38
Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	08-01 04:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	07-31 20:15
will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	07-31 04:07
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-26 14:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	10-02 11:17
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-25 21:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-02 19:18
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-10 04:40
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-15 15:06
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-09 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-24 20:04
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	10-03 04:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-30 02:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-07 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-09 18:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 22:29
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-26 06:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 15:06:38	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe0e3f4…
10-10 04:40:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3a815a…
10-09 18:59:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb52a15…
10-09 10:43:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x572edb…
10-09 02:42:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xaae4b0…
10-08 06:38:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbc55a5…
10-07 22:29:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x502879…
10-07 14:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xeb59b2…
10-07 04:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ddf78…
10-03 16:04:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x082f2d…
10-03 04:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc9000…
10-02 19:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6df028…
10-02 11:17:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x40836d…
09-30 02:32:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb7cb9d…
09-26 14:58:02	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x486e83…
09-26 06:26:20	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb81d9a…
09-25 21:02:32	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2ca14c…
09-25 12:55:32	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x44eb3f…
09-25 04:08:35	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc17705…
09-24 20:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x60af6d…
09-18 18:32:42	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xd5ec8c…
09-02 07:21:09	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x837a1e…
08-25 19:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x3ac612…
08-03 23:04:18	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb28a33…
08-02 14:06:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xce4f6c…
08-02 01:14:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x10e566…
08-01 04:15:51	Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x7b505a…
07-31 20:15:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe45bac…
07-31 12:14:44	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x581886…
07-31 04:07:54	will trump say million or billion or trillion 30 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357436	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x921f16…
07-30 03:19:14	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfa8d84…
07-29 06:58:26	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1c9557…
07-28 18:39:01	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x050ba0…
07-28 07:23:22	will warsh say dollar during july press conference 20260720204109050	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa1b7da…
07-27 15:50:57	Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x7695cf…
07-27 07:38:12	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8881e1…