Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$201

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-27

last 09-27 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

73% 48% +$1

Politics

20% 71% +$10

Tech

5% 100% +$2

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$6	08-11 11:46
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$7	7	7	+0	No	+$3	08-11 11:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	08-11 11:47
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 11:47
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$0	08-12 00:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$4	11	0	+11	No	-$1	08-13 23:46
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$0	08-12 00:54
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	08-25 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$4	9	9	+0	No	$0	08-25 03:10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	-$1	08-25 03:10
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	09-27 01:56
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	No	-$1	08-25 03:10
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	09-19 13:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-19 19:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	09-10 13:19
spy up or down on september 18 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	09-18 01:13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	08-14 07:47
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	+$6	09-16 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	-$2	08-12 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	09-15 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	08-26 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	09-18 01:14
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-22 10:32
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-20 00:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	09-17 17:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-16 13:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	09-07 21:36
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	09-10 03:05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	09-22 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 01:57:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x340233…
09-27 01:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x7dbe4d…
09-27 01:57:11	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x94e4b2…
09-27 01:56:35	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x97e6bd…
09-27 01:25:41	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7ff5e1…
09-26 17:02:44	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbf93c9…
09-26 07:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x08be8e…
09-25 21:13:51	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb4f4fe…
09-24 10:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x394d42…
09-23 02:33:44	will coin reach 212 50 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8cbe89…
09-22 18:33:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc99075…
09-22 10:32:01	Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xac4b08…
09-20 00:10:40	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x762e27…
09-19 13:57:53	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd57193…
09-19 05:56:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x55b63e…
09-18 21:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe62ea8…
09-18 01:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x882a8d…
09-18 01:13:51	spy up or down on september 18 2026	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x222118…
09-17 17:11:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf14c2b…
09-16 06:34:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe81949…
09-15 22:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6e768d…
09-15 14:06:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x990555…
09-13 04:17:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x2f3f42…
09-10 13:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x325c28…
09-10 03:05:36	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x85a6b6…
09-08 05:56:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x20de76…
09-07 21:36:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf1f447…
09-07 13:35:25	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1fca75…
09-03 01:37:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x203003…
09-02 16:04:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 2?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc252f8…
09-02 06:46:00	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb86b58…
09-01 13:02:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1f4f97…
09-01 05:01:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcc4daf…
08-29 20:31:22	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb24125…
08-26 08:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0cb13e…
08-25 21:05:10	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x3afda8…
08-25 11:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xeebb26…
08-25 03:10:36	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x9c44dc…
08-25 03:10:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x671936…
08-25 03:10:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x253aa2…
08-25 03:10:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x95937e…
08-24 03:45:03	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xa8d28a…
08-23 19:43:55	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x832193…
08-23 09:56:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4de5b0…
08-23 01:53:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x16b7e5…
08-22 16:54:10	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf7c165…
08-22 01:14:49	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc70611…
08-21 16:28:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x043fe1…
08-21 08:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf2785a…
08-20 12:08:51	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x549f9c…
08-20 03:50:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc4bb4c…
08-19 19:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x01cd89…
08-19 08:29:57	spy closes above 765 on august 19 2026	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x441281…
08-16 21:12:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x188d1a…
08-16 13:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0666d5…
08-15 13:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd53c2b…
08-15 00:51:34	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc5cf69…
08-14 15:49:19	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa12769…
08-14 07:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xea53db…
08-14 07:47:33	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x611dc5…
08-13 23:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf0f90d…
08-13 23:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6ad08f…
08-13 14:39:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4cad7c…
08-13 06:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x60be18…
08-13 06:23:48	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x43c450…
08-12 21:54:57	Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8e01b7…
08-12 13:40:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x860fef…
08-12 05:39:28	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf8ac56…
08-12 00:54:27	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x00bce2…
08-12 00:54:15	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x207c92…
08-11 21:38:39	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5001bf…
08-11 13:27:21	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x24369a…
08-11 11:47:22	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4a4564…
08-11 11:47:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x2123d2…
08-11 11:46:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xc5bf29…
08-11 11:46:39	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x6fdb5d…
08-11 01:21:37	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4c01f4…
08-08 05:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd7394b…
08-07 21:04:03	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x573bf7…
08-05 20:10:11	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x420471…
08-05 20:09:50	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd30402…
08-05 12:09:15	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd1c426…
08-05 04:08:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6f4557…
08-04 20:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x20a123…
08-04 00:05:35	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x61192a…
08-03 16:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x55100a…
08-03 08:03:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5e694d…
08-02 23:33:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x660930…
08-02 15:32:35	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4a61cc…
08-02 06:50:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9e6f9c…
08-01 22:42:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x812478…
08-01 14:28:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdd4963…
08-01 03:35:05	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf25a10…
07-31 19:33:11	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb63f42…
07-31 11:30:15	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x082676…
07-31 02:40:20	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x64f441…
07-30 07:15:35	will trump say iran or israel 10 times during cabinet meeting 20260727172357439	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf41aa1…
07-29 10:55:38	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xdce38b…
07-28 16:37:35	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd30ab2…
07-28 05:20:43	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa422d2…