Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$224

Unrealized P&L

+$252

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

274

Trades

1,120

lifetime

Volume

$116.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$5.95K

10 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 11-03 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

68% 59% -$2,142

Politics

16% 82% +$1,152

Crypto

14% 82% +$491

Sports

2% 50% +$637

Tech

0% 100% +$96

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+2,433	$1,318	53¢	$1.3K	-$29	10-30 17:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	+1,073	$985	94¢	$1.0K	+$18	10-19 21:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+1,749	$765	56¢	$971	+$206	10-21 21:15
GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	+984	$932	98¢	$962	+$30	10-10 11:40
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+996	$874	92¢	$912	+$38	11-03 09:15
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+708	$368	52¢	$372	+$4	10-23 01:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+242	$196	84¢	$204	+$8	10-12 21:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+364	$213	52¢	$189	-$24	11-01 18:57
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+50	$42	84¢	$42	+$0	10-26 01:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	+2	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	09-11 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	22	$10.7K	7,800	7,800	+0	No	-$2,036	09-02 16:14
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	31	$10.1K	10,557	10,557	+0	No	-$296	08-23 03:02
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	59	$6.9K	9,111	8,928	+183	Yes	-$1,344	09-03 21:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	3	$6.7K	6,892	106	+6,786	Yes	+$275	10-18 18:23
will bitcoin reach 85k in october 2026	4	$5.4K	5,170	797	+4,373	Yes	+$371	10-01 17:22
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?	29	$5.2K	3,460	3,460	+0	Yes	+$845	08-29 00:44
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?	4	$4.2K	2,195	2,195	+0	Yes	+$225	08-24 19:18
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	6	$3.1K	1,960	1,960	+0	No	+$784	08-03 07:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$2.7K	1,370	1,370	+0	Yes	+$30	10-31 15:43
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	2	$2.7K	3,554	0	+3,554	Islam Makhachev	+$888	08-15 18:56
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	5	$2.6K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	10-28 20:24
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	6	$2.5K	1,327	1,327	+0	Yes	+$101	10-24 03:12
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	20	$2.4K	1,435	1,435	+0	No	+$460	10-26 03:29
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 72m?	3	$2.2K	1,242	1,242	+0	Yes	+$228	08-17 14:13
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	2	$2.1K	1,223	1,223	+0	Yes	+$374	08-01 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	2	$2.0K	2,148	0	+2,148	Up	+$124	10-19 15:30
dota2 ironwi ty 2026 08 15 game1	1	$2.0K	2,051	0	+2,051	Iron Wing	+$51	08-15 12:42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	9	$1.8K	2,509	760	+1,749	open	—	10-21 21:15
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	4	$1.7K	1,839	0	+1,839	No	+$185	10-08 15:17
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	11	$1.6K	2,784	351	+2,433	open	—	10-30 17:55
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	16	$1.5K	4,080	4,080	+0	No	-$347	09-03 21:51
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?	2	$1.3K	750	750	+0	No	+$127	10-12 03:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,357	0	+1,357	No	+$39	11-01 21:51
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 34m?	4	$1.3K	1,335	0	+1,335	Yes	+$22	10-05 19:48
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	18	$1.3K	1,648	50	+1,598	open	—	10-28 22:03
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	7	$1.1K	700	648	+52	No	+$126	10-31 16:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	4	$985	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	10-19 21:49
GTA VI released by November 30?	18	$932	984	0	+984	open	—	10-10 11:40
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	9	$874	996	0	+996	open	—	11-03 09:15
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	10	$856	566	566	+0	Yes	+$153	10-11 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:15:21	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	773	89¢	$688	0x26d5f8…
11-03 07:11:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xa74fbf…
11-01 21:51:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	162	97¢	$157	0x518734…
11-01 21:14:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x94c62a…
11-01 21:13:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xf2735a…
11-01 21:13:21	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	652	97¢	$633	0x42ce2f…
11-01 18:57:40	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x2d3648…
10-31 22:55:42	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4d4153…
10-31 16:57:55	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	SELL	648	89¢	$577	0x93bafb…
10-31 15:43:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	1,370	100¢	$1,365	0xf8e0ae…
10-30 17:55:58	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x1e7f4a…
10-30 17:55:48	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x16c730…
10-30 17:49:15	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x84632b…
10-29 15:28:07	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x722efb…
10-29 03:17:40	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	470	70¢	$329	0xd8de95…
10-29 03:17:38	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x609670…
10-28 22:03:44	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x0dd269…
10-28 21:00:52	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	70	80¢	$56	0x67c693…
10-28 21:00:41	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x652544…
10-28 21:00:34	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?	No	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0x49e6f9…
10-28 20:24:49	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,374	100¢	$1,371	0x089726…
10-27 20:12:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,370	97¢	$1,334	0x0ec869…
10-27 20:02:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x7a5ee4…
10-27 19:44:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xbcc060…
10-27 11:35:24	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xd537b4…
10-26 15:19:03	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x139e72…
10-26 15:18:54	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	62¢	$58	0x36fdc2…
10-26 15:02:03	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	140	91¢	$127	0x7b0736…
10-26 15:01:17	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xd11722…
10-26 15:01:08	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x39938c…
10-26 10:39:59	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	426	2¢	$8	0x3ad0c8…
10-26 03:29:42	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	1,094	100¢	$1,093	0x451273…
10-26 02:23:56	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16ce14…
10-26 01:49:03	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xfa2210…
10-26 00:13:51	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x84f23f…
10-26 00:10:53	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe76a88…
10-26 00:10:30	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xaa1d0b…
10-26 00:10:27	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0x8d9f06…
10-25 17:06:51	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf492a1…
10-24 16:17:36	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	92	62¢	$57	0x833c76…
10-24 16:17:06	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	395	69¢	$273	0x326926…
10-24 16:17:06	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x27bea6…
10-24 15:24:38	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0xdf1686…
10-24 15:24:32	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	105	69¢	$72	0xe692bf…
10-24 15:24:32	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	284	74¢	$209	0xc5fdbc…
10-24 15:24:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	87	73¢	$64	0x39b3a4…
10-24 15:24:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x6965e0…
10-24 13:15:32	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	61	62¢	$38	0xfd0a37…
10-24 12:47:51	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xea0901…
10-24 12:47:51	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	36	62¢	$22	0x072a89…
10-24 12:12:05	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xad41e5…
10-24 10:48:54	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x22551e…
10-24 10:45:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf58a34…
10-24 03:12:26	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	416	100¢	$416	0xb106d8…
10-24 02:50:35	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	910	100¢	$909	0xf60f63…
10-23 12:53:11	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0x1755bf…
10-23 12:51:42	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x3df9a8…
10-23 12:51:09	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xb17406…
10-23 12:51:06	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6844d1…
10-23 12:51:02	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5031ba…
10-23 12:50:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x350701…
10-23 12:50:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xa837a9…
10-23 01:11:15	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	708	52¢	$368	0xb6a70a…
10-22 18:17:27	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x7fe5a1…
10-22 12:31:18	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	404	49¢	$198	0xf1205c…
10-22 12:31:18	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x0a110d…
10-22 11:28:35	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x76a859…
10-22 05:44:40	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	359	52¢	$187	0x33a1c3…
10-21 21:30:56	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	600	96¢	$575	0xb0a055…
10-21 21:25:27	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	52¢	$73	0x5fa31a…
10-21 21:15:03	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x3f9b74…
10-21 20:22:50	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	870	54¢	$470	0x29b554…
10-21 14:26:26	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	22	56¢	$13	0x7d4002…
10-21 12:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 113 and 115 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xeb60bb…
10-21 12:38:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 113 and 115 million views on day 4?	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x2ba901…
10-21 08:50:00	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0xca4508…
10-21 08:50:00	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	566	81¢	$457	0x7e431d…
10-21 08:50:00	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x31c776…
10-21 08:49:47	Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?	Yes	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x5cd300…
10-21 07:52:33	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than $8M?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x8c26fe…
10-21 02:09:20	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x68aeb8…
10-21 01:41:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 113 and 115 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x446cb5…
10-20 18:17:48	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	90¢	$720	0xedce59…
10-20 13:11:12	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xd356c0…
10-20 11:11:35	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	240	93¢	$223	0x5622f3…
10-20 10:46:30	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	456	87¢	$398	0xbcab80…
10-20 00:29:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 112 and 115 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	402	85¢	$342	0xaff6d9…
10-19 22:42:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0xdd983c…
10-19 21:49:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x94bd3b…
10-19 20:00:20	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0003da…
10-19 20:00:05	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	552	94¢	$519	0x6fc58c…
10-19 19:05:11	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x83a4b6…
10-19 18:23:24	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	55¢	$289	0x70761e…
10-19 18:16:54	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	11¢	$47	0x40ac66…
10-19 17:16:11	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	SELL	250	75¢	$188	0x04e06d…
10-19 15:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	1,000	99¢	$992	0x970159…
10-19 13:50:11	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	164	62¢	$101	0x1055f1…
10-19 13:50:02	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xe1d241…
10-19 13:49:41	Paris curfew by October 24?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x24b913…
10-19 11:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	1,148	90¢	$1,032	0xc6b39a…