Foolhardy-Suggestion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

10,538

Trades

20,170

lifetime

Volume

$156.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 23:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% +$62

Other

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum up or down january 6 5pm et	67	$259	348	176	+172	Up	+$1	01-06 22:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 16:30 UTC	30	$230	1,032	1,029	+3	Up	-$74	01-18 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 16:30 UTC	30	$229	424	53	+371	Up	-$6	01-15 16:37
bitcoin up or down january 6 10am et	27	$216	281	217	+64	Down	-$3	01-06 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 14:30 UTC	72	$199	216	178	+37	Down	-$39	01-16 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 05:15 UTC	66	$198	180	210	-29	Down	-$24	01-16 05:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 10:30 UTC	54	$192	270	129	+141	Down	+$74	01-15 10:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:30 UTC	56	$189	180	179	+1	Up	+$10	01-15 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$185	204	0	+204	Up	-$81	09-23 10:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:15 UTC	55	$173	192	190	+2	Up	$0	01-15 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	8	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	10-20 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	8	$158	160	0	+160	Down	+$2	10-20 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	8	$158	160	0	+160	Up	+$2	10-17 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	8	$158	161	0	+161	Down	+$2	10-20 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	8	$158	161	0	+161	Up	+$3	10-20 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$158	162	0	+162	Down	+$4	10-20 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$158	161	0	+161	Down	+$3	10-19 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 15:45 UTC	26	$158	144	142	+2	Up	+$5	01-18 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 15:45 UTC	70	$157	180	168	+12	Up	+$17	01-16 15:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 02:15 UTC	44	$156	150	137	+13	Up	+$19	01-16 02:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 15:15 UTC	57	$155	228	108	+120	Down	+$12	01-15 15:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:45 UTC	18	$154	175	185	-10	Up	-$46	01-06 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:30 UTC	37	$150	179	111	+68	Down	+$6	01-16 01:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 16:00 UTC	66	$145	186	114	+72	Down	-$27	01-15 16:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 04:30 UTC	48	$140	162	148	+14	Down	-$3	01-16 04:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC	8	$139	142	0	+142	Down	+$2	10-16 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	7	$139	140	0	+140	Up	+$1	10-19 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$139	140	0	+140	Up	+$2	10-20 01:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	7	$129	130	0	+130	Up	+$2	10-16 17:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 15:30 UTC	49	$125	138	125	+13	Down	+$8	01-16 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3f2207…
10-26 23:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd97cda…
10-26 23:33:57	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0cc87b…
10-26 23:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa8a5f0…
10-26 23:13:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ac81e…
10-26 23:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x644160…
10-26 22:43:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe78366…
10-26 22:43:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf52568…
10-26 22:43:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x2ad08b…
10-26 22:28:50	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x79da49…
10-26 22:19:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xedb222…
10-26 22:14:03	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa868d3…
10-26 22:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x6473ba…
10-26 22:13:11	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x414f4b…
10-26 21:58:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x247546…
10-26 21:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x3d8698…
10-26 21:44:03	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x15c9e4…
10-26 21:43:23	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb9b7ef…
10-26 21:40:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0198de…
10-26 21:27:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x6a559e…
10-26 21:19:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf7154d…
10-26 21:14:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xdf1e8a…
10-26 21:14:09	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe7183f…
10-26 20:54:14	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb1e583…
10-26 20:44:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2caa7e…
10-26 20:13:51	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x44015f…
10-26 18:43:33	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0df0b7…
10-26 18:14:21	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x35efd1…
10-26 18:13:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7cac51…
10-26 17:28:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x26aee2…
10-26 17:27:15	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8f0672…
10-26 17:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xded52b…
10-26 17:12:15	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5d1294…
10-26 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x360631…
10-26 17:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6dce24…
10-26 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6232e4…
10-26 17:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xda7347…
10-26 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd420d8…
10-26 17:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca42b8…
10-26 16:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf5a8c3…
10-26 16:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7c4dd7…
10-26 16:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x46088d…
10-26 16:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x41f6bd…
10-26 16:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x96d75f…
10-26 16:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x318f26…
10-26 16:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a702b…
10-26 16:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdb31c2…
10-26 16:13:00	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x7c6bc5…
10-26 16:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc2888d…
10-26 16:12:39	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb21bad…
10-26 16:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4cd5f1…
10-26 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7cc9a6…
10-26 15:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x96593a…
10-26 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xea2472…
10-26 15:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x235e71…
10-26 15:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0f2836…
10-26 15:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf599f3…
10-26 15:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x515202…
10-26 15:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x46bb2e…
10-26 15:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x960ca6…
10-26 15:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x2248b6…
10-26 15:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x79eb17…
10-26 15:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e253f…
10-26 15:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62f27f…
10-26 15:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ff46e…
10-26 15:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb00776…
10-26 15:18:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x59e23e…
10-26 15:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a61c7…
10-26 14:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6405ad…
10-26 14:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa59781…
10-26 14:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc63e2d…
10-26 14:57:47	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x8005bc…
10-26 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7dc8c7…
10-26 14:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xb510b4…
10-26 14:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3438da…
10-26 14:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xb2d240…
10-26 14:43:06	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x324c69…
10-26 14:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x68634d…
10-26 14:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a2402…
10-26 14:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0e6030…
10-26 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x867f60…
10-26 14:42:20	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6070a7…
10-26 14:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x583ae7…
10-26 14:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf927e5…
10-26 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc9a7d8…
10-26 14:29:02	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb242b0…
10-26 14:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd05639…
10-26 14:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ff164…
10-26 14:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x059694…
10-26 14:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe62c2e…
10-26 14:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf8692c…
10-26 14:18:54	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2b9604…
10-26 14:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb2ad27…
10-26 14:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0eee68…
10-26 14:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x274cf8…
10-26 14:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x04327c…
10-26 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x71fa69…
10-26 14:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xec57db…
10-26 12:42:29	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cf9bb…
10-26 12:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e7a70…