Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$17,626
Trades
1,065
Unique wallets
270
Liquidity
$11,357
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-11-13
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.4¢
(top1%: 91% YES on $9.6K
vs crowd: 91% YES on $17.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 85 | $11.8K | $1.0K | +$10.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 70 | $3.0K | $224 | +$2.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 59 | $735 | $222 | +$513 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 56 | $379 | $95 | +$284 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 70 | $8.7K | $824 | +$7.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 51 | $3.4K | $199 | +$3.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 21 | $337 | $26 | +$312 |
| Median | 17 | $136 | $15 | +$121 |
| Below median | 40 | $256 | $56 | +$200 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $208 | $55 | +$154 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 34 | $937 | $116 | +$820 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 24 | $1.9K | $293 | +$1.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Down | +3,318 | $39 | $39 | 17 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303 | Down | +2,528 | $17 | $17 | 5 | 11-12 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1d3…c279 | Up | +1,773 | $1,755 | $1,755 | 16 | 11-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | +1,500 | $1,486 | $1,486 | 17 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Demanding-Hippodrome 0xbdaa…fd60 | Up | +1,272 | $1,237 | $1,237 | 15 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | +1,200 | $1,195 | $1,195 | 1 | 11-12 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9dd…670a | Down | +1,053 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 11-12 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5380…d4b3 | Down | +761 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0dbd…fcd5 | Up | +713 | $517 | $536 | 12 | 11-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc52…95b2 | Down | +617 | $68 | $68 | 4 | 11-12 23:54 |
| Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3 | Down | +505 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Up | +500 | $490 | $490 | 1 | 11-12 23:54 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +440 | $87 | $87 | 27 | 11-12 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1fc…efa5 | Down | +430 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 11-12 23:54 |
| Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | +405 | $403 | $403 | 9 | 11-13 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | +394 | $305 | $305 | 7 | 11-12 23:51 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +363 | $58 | $58 | 15 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +359 | $113 | $113 | 21 | 11-12 23:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x22b3…a018 | Down | +349 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa716…301b | Up | +333 | $328 | $328 | 6 | 11-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | +326 | $306 | $306 | 13 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Unaware-Molding 0xe36a…6a85 | Up | +320 | $317 | $317 | 8 | 11-12 23:56 |
| Foolhardy-Suggestion 0x2216…aecc | Up | +320 | $317 | $317 | 8 | 11-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +304 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +260 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 11-12 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +259 | $32 | $32 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Up | +256 | $251 | $251 | 3 | 11-12 23:55 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +255 | $216 | $216 | 14 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Up | +245 | $224 | $224 | 9 | 11-12 23:56 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +230 | $158 | $158 | 10 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | +229 | $30 | $30 | 8 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +220 | $74 | $74 | 17 | 11-12 23:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | +207 | $205 | $205 | 2 | 11-12 23:55 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +206 | $9 | $9 | 4 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +206 | $198 | $394 | 12 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x916a…9398 | Down | +200 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 11-12 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Up | +198 | $167 | $167 | 4 | 11-12 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf548…c20e | Down | +198 | $51 | $51 | 8 | 11-12 23:56 |
| Cool-Cheese 0x898d…a68e | Up | +189 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 11-12 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x174e…86bc | Up | +187 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-12 23:44 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Down | +186 | $20 | $20 | 5 | 11-12 23:53 |
| Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | +181 | $157 | $157 | 3 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Down | +180 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Down | +180 | $10 | $10 | 8 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Down | +173 | $10 | $10 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702 | Up | +165 | $148 | $148 | 9 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702 | Down | +155 | $25 | $25 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Up | +152 | $139 | $139 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | +150 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 11-12 23:55 |
| Rubbery-Chiffonier 0xe8d6…c964 | Down | +150 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 11-12 23:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x1603…6312 | Up | +150 | $131 | $131 | 6 | 11-12 23:56 |
| Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Up | +150 | $136 | $136 | 6 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Insidious-Traditionalism 0x8ff6…7273 | Down | +146 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x073c…479a | Up | +138 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 11-12 23:55 |
| Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | +138 | $2 | $2 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | +135 | $19 | $19 | 7 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ffd…60f1 | Down | +129 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 11-12 23:53 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Up | +125 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 11-12 23:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | +120 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 11-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x384f…0200 | Down | +118 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 11-12 23:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 00:01:15 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x71f22e… |
| 11-13 00:01:15 | Identical-Frosting 0x679e…916c | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x71f22e… |
| 11-12 23:58:57 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x1338cf… |
| 11-12 23:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x0db8…05e6 | Up | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x1338cf… |
| 11-12 23:58:55 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1417bf… |
| 11-12 23:58:55 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1417bf… |
| 11-12 23:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x7e53…a456 | Up | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x2f05df… |
| 11-12 23:58:54 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0x2f05df… |
| 11-12 23:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x916a…9398 | Down | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f05df… |
| 11-12 23:58:30 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb425c2… |
| 11-12 23:58:30 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb425c2… |
| 11-12 23:58:30 | jimprofit 0x72dd…5ea8 | Up | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xb425c2… |
| 11-12 23:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x916a…9398 | Down | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb425c2… |
| 11-12 23:58:07 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 1,200 | 100¢ | $1,195 | 0xf7227a… |
| 11-12 23:58:07 | Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303 | Down | BUY | 1,200 | 0¢ | $5 | 0xf7227a… |
| 11-12 23:58:00 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Down | SELL | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x836fe9… |
| 11-12 23:58:00 | Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303 | Down | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x836fe9… |
| 11-12 23:57:51 | (anonymous) 0xfddb…4529 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x31bc6a… |
| 11-12 23:57:51 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x31bc6a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | Gaseous-Mankind 0xdf08…d24a | Down | SELL | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Up | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6ed68b… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | Angelic-Sphynx 0xf79d…9fe9 | Down | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x6939…ed6a | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6ed68b… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xbe30…eaf5 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:48 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xab979a… |
| 11-12 23:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf01dca… |
| 11-12 23:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf01dca… |
| 11-12 23:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xbe30…eaf5 | Down | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf01dca… |
| 11-12 23:57:46 | Pleased-Flock 0xc6ac…3778 | Down | SELL | 56 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf01dca… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x751036… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | True-Linseed 0x2397…1b7f | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x751036… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | (anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702 | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:45 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0x857299… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Down | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | Clean-Felony 0xe349…2147 | Down | SELL | 133 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Up | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x1f1c…fd3c | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e53…a456 | Up | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x4bd0…00bf | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x93cf…760e | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xfabf…f746 | Down | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8b93ae… |
| 11-12 23:57:42 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x66d172… |
| 11-12 23:57:42 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Down | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x66d172… |
| 11-12 23:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x107559… |
| 11-12 23:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x107559… |
| 11-12 23:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9e9125… |
| 11-12 23:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Down | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e9125… |
| 11-12 23:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x1f1c…fd3c | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9e9125… |
| 11-12 23:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x95f5…7294 | Down | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9e9125… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xeb15f4… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Stained-Meaning 0x6972…ebcc | Up | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x50a58a… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x8833…5212 | Up | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail 0x7e5d…c4c3 | Up | BUY | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x50a58a… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x7e53…a456 | Down | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Moist-Bathrobe 0xdc87…6b19 | Up | BUY | 113 | 98¢ | $111 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x50a58a… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xccbb…028c | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e7c5d… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3 | Down | BUY | 505 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x3046a6… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x424e…263b | Down | BUY | 51 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d6cf2… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $149 | 0x50a58a… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Pleased-Flock 0xc6ac…3778 | Down | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x109d0e… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702 | Up | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x86b67c… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Bleak-Opinion 0x0100…a303 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e7c5d… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Animated-Advent 0xa8d0…ca74 | Up | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Up | BUY | 54 | 98¢ | $53 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Clean-Felony 0xe349…2147 | Down | BUY | 133 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x86b67c… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x22b3…a018 | Down | BUY | 349 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x50a58a… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd48180… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x929d…a81d | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x91a9…44b8 | Up | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x3046a6… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x5380…d4b3 | Down | BUY | 761 | 2¢ | $14 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xad29…2600 | Up | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3 | Up | BUY | 56 | 98¢ | $55 | 0x109d0e… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 89 | 99¢ | $88 | 0x3046a6… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xeb15f4… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x2b26…42f1 | Up | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 92 | 99¢ | $91 | 0x3046a6… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $61 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x98b8…5c1b | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x777bd8… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd48180… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0x80ef…e019 | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x3046a6… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x3d6cf2… |
| 11-12 23:57:36 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 87 | 99¢ | $86 | 0x86b67c… |
| 11-12 23:57:27 | Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93 | Up | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xfcfa3f… |
| 11-12 23:57:27 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xfcfa3f… |
| 11-12 23:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x4853…cecd | Down | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e4ed4… |
| 11-12 23:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7e4ed4… |