Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

25,543

Trades

218,023

lifetime

Volume

$655.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-28 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% -$3,103

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	—	+10	$7	100¢	$10	+$3	10-28 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	—	+10	$6	99¢	$10	+$4	10-28 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-28 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1d2706…
10-28 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc2dd46…
10-28 19:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd91c2e…
10-28 19:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x23aa95…
10-28 19:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc3a043…
10-28 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa8ebe3…
10-28 19:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7f7ef9…
10-28 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9c80b0…
10-28 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66e08c…
10-28 19:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x85102e…
10-28 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeb7597…
10-28 19:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdb7118…
10-28 19:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xf39aee…
10-28 19:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0fff31…
10-28 19:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x91c648…
10-28 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0802d7…
10-28 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x004d1b…
10-28 19:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x427383…
10-28 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe1ae72…
10-28 19:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd47746…
10-28 19:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaa1097…
10-28 19:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe2e791…
10-28 19:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x43a058…
10-28 19:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb2ad8c…
10-28 19:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0b12d7…
10-28 19:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x97232f…
10-28 19:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xfd13b9…
10-28 19:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x30cbdc…
10-28 19:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x51fc53…
10-28 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xdb76aa…
10-28 19:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xde0e89…
10-28 19:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa87fd3…
10-28 19:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xa0ca09…
10-28 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xaf00f8…
10-28 19:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe2a4fb…
10-28 19:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x836a2c…
10-28 19:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x016e1a…
10-28 19:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4469d4…
10-28 19:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x467260…
10-28 19:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6e45cb…
10-28 19:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3f36e0…
10-28 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x66b291…
10-28 19:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbcb214…
10-28 19:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xb6591e…
10-28 19:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd10be1…
10-28 19:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x81d3c7…
10-28 19:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa8666a…
10-28 19:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb00205…
10-28 19:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x19a8c5…
10-28 19:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdb9266…
10-28 19:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xeac292…
10-28 19:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x633b6b…
10-28 19:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4f6b6c…
10-28 19:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xea9fb9…
10-28 19:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x730844…
10-28 19:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb004f6…
10-28 19:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5c6b12…
10-28 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x382797…
10-28 19:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4e4847…
10-28 19:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xab8a80…
10-28 19:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x82b3cc…
10-28 19:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd2a819…
10-28 19:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x84f25f…
10-28 19:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xda4a20…
10-28 19:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x1347db…
10-28 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf90c34…
10-28 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x84f877…
10-28 19:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5a9a8e…
10-28 19:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x28908e…
10-28 19:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x1d8240…
10-28 19:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x0929c8…
10-28 19:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf16a0f…
10-28 19:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x38ddb5…
10-28 19:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdecc13…
10-28 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbfff69…
10-28 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9bcaff…
10-28 19:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe024f4…
10-28 19:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf0700c…
10-28 19:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa4189e…
10-28 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa1368a…
10-28 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xd23ca6…
10-28 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xa55b65…
10-28 19:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1a99d5…
10-28 19:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4b0e7d…
10-28 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x202f01…
10-28 19:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3bd1e9…
10-28 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x01bb2b…
10-28 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x860960…
10-28 19:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4b97c7…
10-28 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x9b5ec5…
10-28 19:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2897c1…
10-28 19:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb6e6b9…
10-28 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0x820c23…
10-28 19:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x6c4610…
10-28 19:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdd777b…
10-28 19:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc65423…
10-28 19:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x831efa…
10-28 19:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x69af4b…
10-28 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa6ac8e…
10-28 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x133095…