Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

25,038

Trades

213,555

lifetime

Volume

$644.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-27 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% -$3,140

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	—	+17	$6	99¢	$17	+$11	10-27 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	—	+10	$8	100¢	$10	+$2	10-27 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	—	+12	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	10-27 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	—	+10	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-27 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:10 UTC	40	$201	199	237	-38	Up	-$18	06-04 03:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x247310…
10-27 12:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x281f09…
10-27 12:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5113d5…
10-27 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x603ede…
10-27 12:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x544a4b…
10-27 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x71444c…
10-27 12:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x7a860e…
10-27 12:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x767377…
10-27 12:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x481ee2…
10-27 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8847d1…
10-27 12:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x797f54…
10-27 12:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf84d01…
10-27 12:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9b0a04…
10-27 12:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf50afb…
10-27 12:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xd8a772…
10-27 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x97e19b…
10-27 12:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x8c19ab…
10-27 12:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x507d5f…
10-27 12:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa764c7…
10-27 12:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x335d86…
10-27 12:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x366eb4…
10-27 12:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcba3b4…
10-27 12:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0c293f…
10-27 12:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe544da…
10-27 12:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5207f6…
10-27 12:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf910c0…
10-27 12:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b08dc…
10-27 12:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe3d581…
10-27 12:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc379d3…
10-27 12:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x93aafb…
10-27 12:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa59545…
10-27 12:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xc63d3d…
10-27 12:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x709afa…
10-27 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcffb36…
10-27 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2fba67…
10-27 12:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf0ab88…
10-27 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa78b81…
10-27 12:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4bde3e…
10-27 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7eca76…
10-27 12:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x16f026…
10-27 12:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x170664…
10-27 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe7a3f8…
10-27 12:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4b329a…
10-27 12:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1dc3f1…
10-27 12:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x7934e1…
10-27 12:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x66c361…
10-27 12:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x3d996c…
10-27 12:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x0e25ff…
10-27 12:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x628918…
10-27 12:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6852ec…
10-27 12:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd84850…
10-27 12:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf9b866…
10-27 12:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x22381f…
10-27 12:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdd32d3…
10-27 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc89ffd…
10-27 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x81ebf1…
10-27 12:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x113162…
10-27 12:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8a7ce5…
10-27 12:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x78713b…
10-27 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x772959…
10-27 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x625d29…
10-27 12:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x995ab1…
10-27 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa79682…
10-27 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x0a966c…
10-27 12:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x6c1b80…
10-27 12:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x498404…
10-27 12:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbf9018…
10-27 12:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7bdce7…
10-27 12:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf3f46e…
10-27 12:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x702dac…
10-27 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x308c6b…
10-27 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0ec9ff…
10-27 12:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf4f331…
10-27 11:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfac7ad…
10-27 11:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x50ccd2…
10-27 11:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe218c7…
10-27 11:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa40f3b…
10-27 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe31fd0…
10-27 11:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb4d8df…
10-27 11:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x87c78f…
10-27 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x19b0c2…
10-27 11:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7d0a29…
10-27 11:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5b3e59…
10-27 11:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x36e080…
10-27 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xde4c9c…
10-27 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbf4fa4…
10-27 11:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xca58ab…
10-27 11:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x526180…
10-27 11:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x868a89…
10-27 11:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf3b561…
10-27 11:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdbe95f…
10-27 11:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb15a53…
10-27 11:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x73631d…
10-27 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7f5bc2…
10-27 11:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x854870…
10-27 11:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x24a826…
10-27 11:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5e6171…
10-27 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1b5ca9…
10-27 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xfefaff…
10-27 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf697e2…