Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$191

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-11 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$9	15	4	+11	Down	+$5	05-06 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	$-8	05-08 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	$-8	05-05 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Up	+$7	05-07 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	+$7	05-09 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	$-8	05-07 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Up	+$7	05-08 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	Down	+$8	05-06 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Up	$-8	05-06 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	open	—	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Up	$-8	05-09 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Up	+$7	05-11 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	$-8	05-09 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$7	0	15	-15	Down	+$7	05-08 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$7	0	15	-15	Up	+$7	05-09 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$6	0	15	-15	Up	+$6	05-09 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$6	0	15	-15	Up	+$6	05-06 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$6	0	19	-19	Up	$-13	05-06 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$6	0	15	-15	Down	+$6	05-10 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$5	0	11	-11	Down	$-6	05-07 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	0	15	-15	Down	+$5	05-08 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	0	10	-10	Up	+$5	05-07 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$4	0	15	-15	Up	+$4	05-09 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$4	0	15	-15	Down	+$4	05-10 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$3	0	6	-6	Up	+$3	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	0	6	-6	Up	$-4	05-05 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	0	4	-4	Down	$-2	05-11 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$2	0	4	-4	Up	$-2	05-06 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$2	0	6	-6	Down	+$2	05-05 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x14b3b7…
05-11 14:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x8ba3e4…
05-11 02:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xa7b6b9…
05-11 01:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x1d72dc…
05-11 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x35881d…
05-11 00:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xf1dfb6…
05-11 00:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x72fc8f…
05-10 11:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xa52050…
05-10 10:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0xd882a3…
05-10 09:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x955062…
05-10 03:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xb87ca7…
05-10 02:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xefcf0e…
05-09 17:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x24a10d…
05-09 11:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0xf7a06c…
05-09 11:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xf30f67…
05-09 11:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x981db7…
05-09 07:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xef723d…
05-09 06:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x46082b…
05-09 04:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xd82e7a…
05-09 04:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$6	0xf52e05…
05-09 03:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc8207e…
05-09 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x4374e3…
05-09 00:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0xc4f0a5…
05-09 00:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x8638c2…
05-08 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x9d4207…
05-08 13:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x7e6a69…
05-08 13:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xb7756b…
05-08 12:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xfe1abe…
05-08 09:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x686634…
05-08 07:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x89d66e…
05-08 07:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x00c9d1…
05-08 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xda93ed…
05-08 04:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x4c01f0…
05-07 16:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x904812…
05-07 10:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x50c987…
05-07 09:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xec2a1e…
05-07 08:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x88db4e…
05-07 07:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x6dd68d…
05-06 16:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xa32e88…
05-06 10:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x67224b…
05-06 08:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x69f6f5…
05-06 08:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xd3af99…
05-06 06:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x304d23…
05-06 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x762831…
05-06 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xb637d7…
05-06 05:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x5302bb…
05-06 04:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x50073b…
05-05 23:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x1e4def…
05-05 20:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x5aad17…
05-05 11:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x6ae387…
05-05 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8b0d3b…
05-05 04:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xc8403c…
05-05 03:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x8e61fd…
05-05 02:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x4ea89e…
05-05 02:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5b1b3b…
05-05 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe66952…
05-04 23:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xb65371…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	54	$18.6K	612	05-11 19:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	49	$19.6K	347	05-11 14:35
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	44	$3.43K	287	05-11 14:35
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	42	$1.33K	224	05-11 14:35
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	42	$1.12K	233	05-11 01:49
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	41	$6.02K	496	05-10 11:30
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	41	$2.48K	189	05-11 14:35
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	41	$2.31K	197	05-11 14:35