Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved (90d)

13,670

Trades (90d)

159,602

219,662 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$408.3K

$653.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$44

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-30 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$3,070

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	—	+30	$25	100¢	$30	+$5	10-30 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	—	+14	$11	99¢	$14	+$3	10-30 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	—	+15	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-30 02:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2bb9b…
10-30 02:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8e4abf…
10-30 02:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x87af36…
10-30 02:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x63d7be…
10-30 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xa58817…
10-30 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x231e7e…
10-30 02:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6bc0d4…
10-30 02:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbc5c99…
10-30 02:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xf997ba…
10-30 02:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x563355…
10-30 02:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x754427…
10-30 02:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1d07db…
10-30 02:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf799fe…
10-30 02:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa1883a…
10-30 02:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf62c98…
10-30 02:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xd79e1e…
10-30 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe92825…
10-30 02:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4d4f35…
10-30 02:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xbc6a6e…
10-30 02:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x35188d…
10-30 02:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0e5b84…
10-30 02:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bdbe8…
10-30 02:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2d741f…
10-30 02:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x44f5db…
10-30 02:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5138b4…
10-30 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x90ab57…
10-30 02:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe9c7e2…
10-30 02:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xab1090…
10-30 02:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb3e1ae…
10-30 02:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xc2ad7c…
10-30 02:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x510f3f…
10-30 02:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4c7760…
10-30 02:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa7cca3…
10-30 02:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x17e7a1…
10-30 02:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x59c1f8…
10-30 02:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1e38f0…
10-30 02:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4899c2…
10-30 02:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x84f9fc…
10-30 02:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc6fc39…
10-30 02:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7adb54…
10-30 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a6be9…
10-30 02:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb539f9…
10-30 02:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0b5b07…
10-30 02:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f126f…
10-30 02:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc4133f…
10-30 02:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x2dd8e5…
10-30 02:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x2d5b01…
10-30 02:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcda5b5…
10-30 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc23c08…
10-30 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x020547…
10-30 02:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd3e696…
10-30 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x251756…
10-30 02:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa1a7bc…
10-30 02:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8b49f2…
10-30 02:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x977e7d…
10-30 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa37c7b…
10-30 02:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xea6596…
10-30 02:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xabca8c…
10-30 02:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x43d9ad…
10-30 02:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1fae27…
10-30 02:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6b29f1…
10-30 02:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xca7ee0…
10-30 02:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x75b9b6…
10-30 02:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf73273…
10-30 02:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xaf09e0…
10-30 02:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x08045a…
10-30 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x024e24…
10-30 02:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7965a4…
10-30 02:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5b05b1…
10-30 02:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7ae054…
10-30 02:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x25188b…
10-30 02:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa132f3…
10-30 02:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9fda75…
10-30 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x545980…
10-30 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2a70c0…
10-30 02:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x86ee1a…
10-30 02:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x410b67…
10-30 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2fa89e…
10-30 02:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x1c11d1…
10-30 02:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x536fa0…
10-30 02:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe927cd…
10-30 02:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7e289a…
10-30 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x73fd4c…
10-30 02:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf0fe2f…
10-30 02:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7da186…
10-30 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x5c326d…
10-30 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x156858…
10-30 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x63b957…
10-30 02:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8319da…
10-30 02:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd8ea17…
10-30 02:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x17bf8b…
10-30 02:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xee0f31…
10-30 02:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x37dc45…
10-30 02:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd7f922…
10-30 02:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x681364…
10-30 02:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc428f8…
10-30 02:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0xdb4e27…
10-30 02:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2db2c4…
10-30 02:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x13a935…
10-30 01:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3dc7ec…