Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved (90d)

13,760

Trades (90d)

160,502

220,567 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$410.4K

$655.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-30 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$3,106

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	—	+20	$15	100¢	$20	+$5	10-30 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	—	+5	$3	98¢	$5	+$2	10-30 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	—	+5	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-30 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa0dca…
10-30 09:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5d9d04…
10-30 09:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x12c50e…
10-30 09:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd692a1…
10-30 09:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x50d6df…
10-30 09:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9eeffe…
10-30 09:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x66803b…
10-30 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x805dde…
10-30 09:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4cf835…
10-30 09:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xafdc47…
10-30 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x60ee43…
10-30 09:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x484f69…
10-30 09:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x74c771…
10-30 09:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xdef5b6…
10-30 09:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x069300…
10-30 09:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe52107…
10-30 09:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xbb1505…
10-30 09:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc22394…
10-30 09:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf1504a…
10-30 09:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xfbd0dc…
10-30 09:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xd7e31b…
10-30 09:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb6dcac…
10-30 09:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5db82a…
10-30 09:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x93e658…
10-30 09:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f3801…
10-30 09:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x568d57…
10-30 09:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7dd47f…
10-30 09:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x1e96ec…
10-30 09:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x28fa32…
10-30 09:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcb8bb4…
10-30 09:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc5d6ca…
10-30 09:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe3a933…
10-30 09:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9193e3…
10-30 09:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5578b8…
10-30 09:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5eff33…
10-30 09:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x73f628…
10-30 09:03:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd0b0fc…
10-30 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8f6738…
10-30 09:03:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc2352f…
10-30 09:03:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2a5612…
10-30 09:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe9285e…
10-30 09:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x41a5a8…
10-30 09:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7aba0e…
10-30 09:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc4b23f…
10-30 09:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xc0e1d7…
10-30 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x65a4e1…
10-30 09:00:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x630918…
10-30 09:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xffeec4…
10-30 09:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc4ae43…
10-30 09:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1ba744…
10-30 08:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd7f00d…
10-30 08:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe3eab0…
10-30 08:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2f4bfc…
10-30 08:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb6868b…
10-30 08:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9fead4…
10-30 08:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x46c472…
10-30 08:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x24a5e8…
10-30 08:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xdd27ca…
10-30 08:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x572d5d…
10-30 08:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7226e0…
10-30 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x31bfdd…
10-30 08:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcb9370…
10-30 08:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x99de09…
10-30 08:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd17d84…
10-30 08:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x67519b…
10-30 08:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd51f5b…
10-30 08:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe5ff45…
10-30 08:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5029e6…
10-30 08:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3143d4…
10-30 08:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x32cfa4…
10-30 08:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4aa8a8…
10-30 08:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2b80ea…
10-30 08:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x84590b…
10-30 08:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x1e3010…
10-30 08:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbb4101…
10-30 08:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x00e98a…
10-30 08:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x297f1b…
10-30 08:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe96394…
10-30 08:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcaa65c…
10-30 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe994fa…
10-30 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x930237…
10-30 08:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xee10e4…
10-30 08:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x638f12…
10-30 08:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdf4dfa…
10-30 08:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x11addb…
10-30 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x0fbce3…
10-30 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x39b1ba…
10-30 08:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd0da56…
10-30 08:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd65acf…
10-30 08:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x46f289…
10-30 08:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5bd910…
10-30 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4ab555…
10-30 08:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc69357…
10-30 08:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7acef7…
10-30 08:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xca264d…
10-30 08:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb32f27…
10-30 08:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x90134f…
10-30 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x41c0b7…
10-30 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x74bebb…
10-30 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61d15f…